Jerome Powell’s four-year term as Federal Reserve chair expired on May 15, 2026, prompting the Senate’s recent confirmation of Kevin Warsh as successor and concentrating trader probabilities on the immediate transition weeks. Powell stated he will continue serving as a governor for an undetermined period after stepping down from the chair role, citing concerns over institutional independence amid ongoing political pressures. This unusual overlap creates ambiguity around the precise handover date, keeping the May 15–22 and May 23–29 intervals nearly even at roughly 46 percent each. Historical precedent shows chairs typically depart cleanly at term end, yet the current board dynamics and Warsh’s confirmation timeline introduce modest uncertainty about whether the shift occurs before or after Memorial Day weekend.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाWhen will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?
When will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?
May 15–22 51.4%
May 23–29 36.9%
May 30–June 5 5.3%
June 6–12 2.2%
$165,251 वॉल्यूम
$165,251 वॉल्यूम
3 जुल, 2026
May 15–22
51%
May 23–29
43%
May 30–June 5
5%
June 6–12
2%
June 13–19
2%
June 20–26
1%
June 27–July 3
1%
After July 3
1%
May 15–22 51.4%
May 23–29 36.9%
May 30–June 5 5.3%
June 6–12 2.2%
$165,251 वॉल्यूम
$165,251 वॉल्यूम
3 जुल, 2026
May 15–22
$62,138 वॉल्यूम
51%
May 23–29
$8,197 वॉल्यूम
43%
May 30–June 5
$9,064 वॉल्यूम
5%
June 6–12
$9,011 वॉल्यूम
2%
June 13–19
$8,827 वॉल्यूम
2%
June 20–26
$10,043 वॉल्यूम
1%
June 27–July 3
$5,151 वॉल्यूम
1%
After July 3
$15,868 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jerome Powell’s four-year term as Federal Reserve chair expired on May 15, 2026, prompting the Senate’s recent confirmation of Kevin Warsh as successor and concentrating trader probabilities on the immediate transition weeks. Powell stated he will continue serving as a governor for an undetermined period after stepping down from the chair role, citing concerns over institutional independence amid ongoing political pressures. This unusual overlap creates ambiguity around the precise handover date, keeping the May 15–22 and May 23–29 intervals nearly even at roughly 46 percent each. Historical precedent shows chairs typically depart cleanly at term end, yet the current board dynamics and Warsh’s confirmation timeline introduce modest uncertainty about whether the shift occurs before or after Memorial Day weekend.
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$165,251समाप्ति तिथि
3 जुल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jerome Powell’s four-year term as Federal Reserve chair expired on May 15, 2026, prompting the Senate’s recent confirmation of Kevin Warsh as successor and concentrating trader probabilities on the immediate transition weeks. Powell stated he will continue serving as a governor for an undetermined period after stepping down from the chair role, citing concerns over institutional independence amid ongoing political pressures. This unusual overlap creates ambiguity around the precise handover date, keeping the May 15–22 and May 23–29 intervals nearly even at roughly 46 percent each. Historical precedent shows chairs typically depart cleanly at term end, yet the current board dynamics and Warsh’s confirmation timeline introduce modest uncertainty about whether the shift occurs before or after Memorial Day weekend.
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$165,251समाप्ति तिथि
3 जुल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Jerome Powell’s four-year term as Federal Reserve chair expired on May 15, 2026, prompting the Senate’s recent confirmation of Kevin Warsh as successor and concentrating trader probabilities on the immediate transition weeks. Powell stated he will continue serving as a governor for an undetermined period after stepping down from the chair role, citing concerns over institutional independence amid ongoing political pressures. This unusual overlap creates ambiguity around the precise handover date, keeping the May 15–22 and May 23–29 intervals nearly even at roughly 46 percent each. Historical precedent shows chairs typically depart cleanly at term end, yet the current board dynamics and Warsh’s confirmation timeline introduce modest uncertainty about whether the shift occurs before or after Memorial Day weekend.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न