Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Federal Reserve rate changes across the June 16-17, July 28-29, and September 15-16 FOMC meetings, with Pause–Pause–Pause at an 83.5% implied probability, driven by hotter-than-expected April 2026 CPI rising 0.6% monthly amid persistent inflation pressures above the 2% target. Resilient labor data, including April payroll gains of 115,000 and unemployment steady at 4.3%, alongside the Fed's April 29 decision to maintain the federal funds target range at 3.50%-3.75%, have prompted hawkish repricing in Fed funds futures, diminishing near-term rate cut odds. Upcoming June FOMC and May CPI release loom as key catalysts that could reinforce or test this steady-policy stance.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाPause–Pause–Pause 84%
Pause–Pause–Cut 14%
Other 14%
Pause–Cut–Pause 11%
नया
नया
16 सित, 2026
Cut–Pause–Pause
7%
Cut–Pause–Cut
9%
Cut–Cut–Pause
1%
Cut–Cut–Cut
2%
Pause–Pause–Pause
84%
Pause–Pause–Cut
14%
Pause–Cut–Pause
11%
Pause–Cut–Cut
9%
Other
14%
Pause–Pause–Pause 84%
Pause–Pause–Cut 14%
Other 14%
Pause–Cut–Pause 11%
नया
नया
16 सित, 2026
Cut–Pause–Pause
$83 वॉल्यूम
7%
Cut–Pause–Cut
$105 वॉल्यूम
9%
Cut–Cut–Pause
$155 वॉल्यूम
1%
Cut–Cut–Cut
$79 वॉल्यूम
2%
Pause–Pause–Pause
$349 वॉल्यूम
84%
Pause–Pause–Cut
$146 वॉल्यूम
14%
Pause–Cut–Pause
$105 वॉल्यूम
11%
Pause–Cut–Cut
$105 वॉल्यूम
9%
Other
$105 वॉल्यूम
14%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmTrader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Federal Reserve rate changes across the June 16-17, July 28-29, and September 15-16 FOMC meetings, with Pause–Pause–Pause at an 83.5% implied probability, driven by hotter-than-expected April 2026 CPI rising 0.6% monthly amid persistent inflation pressures above the 2% target. Resilient labor data, including April payroll gains of 115,000 and unemployment steady at 4.3%, alongside the Fed's April 29 decision to maintain the federal funds target range at 3.50%-3.75%, have prompted hawkish repricing in Fed funds futures, diminishing near-term rate cut odds. Upcoming June FOMC and May CPI release loom as key catalysts that could reinforce or test this steady-policy stance.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 29, 2026, 7:50 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,235समाप्ति तिथि
16 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 29, 2026, 7:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmTrader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Federal Reserve rate changes across the June 16-17, July 28-29, and September 15-16 FOMC meetings, with Pause–Pause–Pause at an 83.5% implied probability, driven by hotter-than-expected April 2026 CPI rising 0.6% monthly amid persistent inflation pressures above the 2% target. Resilient labor data, including April payroll gains of 115,000 and unemployment steady at 4.3%, alongside the Fed's April 29 decision to maintain the federal funds target range at 3.50%-3.75%, have prompted hawkish repricing in Fed funds futures, diminishing near-term rate cut odds. Upcoming June FOMC and May CPI release loom as key catalysts that could reinforce or test this steady-policy stance.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
वॉल्यूम
$1,235समाप्ति तिथि
16 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 29, 2026, 7:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Federal Reserve rate changes across the June 16-17, July 28-29, and September 15-16 FOMC meetings, with Pause–Pause–Pause at an 83.5% implied probability, driven by hotter-than-expected April 2026 CPI rising 0.6% monthly amid persistent inflation pressures above the 2% target. Resilient labor data, including April payroll gains of 115,000 and unemployment steady at 4.3%, alongside the Fed's April 29 decision to maintain the federal funds target range at 3.50%-3.75%, have prompted hawkish repricing in Fed funds futures, diminishing near-term rate cut odds. Upcoming June FOMC and May CPI release loom as key catalysts that could reinforce or test this steady-policy stance.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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