**Trader sentiment in the Fed decisions (Jun-Sep) market heavily favors Pause–Pause–Pause at 76.0% implied probability, reflecting the Federal Open Market Committee’s unanimous holds at the June and July 2026 meetings that left the federal funds rate at 3.50–3.75%.** Elevated inflation readings, including June CPI near 3.5% year-over-year and energy price spikes tied to geopolitical supply risks, have shifted market focus from earlier easing expectations toward a cautious stance. New Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s emphasis on restoring price stability has reinforced hawkish signals, with some participants now pricing a possible September hike. The September 15–16 FOMC meeting, which includes updated economic projections and a revised dot plot, remains the key near-term catalyst that could sustain the pause or introduce volatility if inflation data soften or labor conditions deteriorate further.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाPause–Pause–Pause 76%
Other 22%
Pause–Pause–Cut 1.8%
$743,524 वॉल्यूम
$743,524 वॉल्यूम
16 सित, 2026
Pause–Pause–Pause
76%
Pause–Pause–Cut
2%
Other
22%
Pause–Pause–Pause 76%
Other 22%
Pause–Pause–Cut 1.8%
$743,524 वॉल्यूम
$743,524 वॉल्यूम
16 सित, 2026
Pause–Pause–Pause
$290,888 वॉल्यूम
76%
Pause–Pause–Cut
$76,486 वॉल्यूम
2%
Other
$320,274 वॉल्यूम
22%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm**Trader sentiment in the Fed decisions (Jun-Sep) market heavily favors Pause–Pause–Pause at 76.0% implied probability, reflecting the Federal Open Market Committee’s unanimous holds at the June and July 2026 meetings that left the federal funds rate at 3.50–3.75%.** Elevated inflation readings, including June CPI near 3.5% year-over-year and energy price spikes tied to geopolitical supply risks, have shifted market focus from earlier easing expectations toward a cautious stance. New Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s emphasis on restoring price stability has reinforced hawkish signals, with some participants now pricing a possible September hike. The September 15–16 FOMC meeting, which includes updated economic projections and a revised dot plot, remains the key near-term catalyst that could sustain the pause or introduce volatility if inflation data soften or labor conditions deteriorate further.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 29, 2026, 7:50 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$743,524समाप्ति तिथि
16 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 29, 2026, 7:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm**Trader sentiment in the Fed decisions (Jun-Sep) market heavily favors Pause–Pause–Pause at 76.0% implied probability, reflecting the Federal Open Market Committee’s unanimous holds at the June and July 2026 meetings that left the federal funds rate at 3.50–3.75%.** Elevated inflation readings, including June CPI near 3.5% year-over-year and energy price spikes tied to geopolitical supply risks, have shifted market focus from earlier easing expectations toward a cautious stance. New Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s emphasis on restoring price stability has reinforced hawkish signals, with some participants now pricing a possible September hike. The September 15–16 FOMC meeting, which includes updated economic projections and a revised dot plot, remains the key near-term catalyst that could sustain the pause or introduce volatility if inflation data soften or labor conditions deteriorate further.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
वॉल्यूम
$743,524समाप्ति तिथि
16 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 29, 2026, 7:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment in the Fed decisions (Jun-Sep) market heavily favors Pause–Pause–Pause at 76.0% implied probability, reflecting the Federal Open Market Committee’s unanimous holds at the June and July 2026 meetings that left the federal funds rate at 3.50–3.75%.** Elevated inflation readings, including June CPI near 3.5% year-over-year and energy price spikes tied to geopolitical supply risks, have shifted market focus from earlier easing expectations toward a cautious stance. New Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s emphasis on restoring price stability has reinforced hawkish signals, with some participants now pricing a possible September hike. The September 15–16 FOMC meeting, which includes updated economic projections and a revised dot plot, remains the key near-term catalyst that could sustain the pause or introduce volatility if inflation data soften or labor conditions deteriorate further.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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