The 10-year Treasury yield has climbed to 4.47% as of May 14, 2026, up 18 basis points over the past month, driven primarily by hotter-than-expected April CPI inflation at 3.8% year-over-year—the highest since May 2023—signaling persistent price pressures amid sticky core readings. This has tempered rate-cut expectations, with the Federal Reserve holding the fed funds target at 3.50%-3.75% following its April 28-29 meeting, reflecting trader consensus on resilient labor markets and fiscal deficit expansion boosting Treasury supply. Yields hit 4.49% intraday on May 13 amid the CPI reaction, the highest since July 2025. Key catalysts ahead include May 16 nonfarm payrolls, June 16-17 FOMC, and May CPI release, which could push yields toward 5% if inflation reaccelerates or toward 4% on disinflation signals.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया2027 से पहले 10 साल की ट्रेजरी उपज कितनी ऊंची होगी?
2027 से पहले 10 साल की ट्रेजरी उपज कितनी ऊंची होगी?
$200,059 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
4.5%
96%
4.6%
50%
4.8%
23%
5.0%
11%
5.2%
9%
5.5%
7%
5.7%
7%
6.0%
5%
$200,059 वॉल्यूम
4.5%
$31,961 वॉल्यूम
96%
4.6%
$36,287 वॉल्यूम
50%
4.8%
$47,062 वॉल्यूम
23%
5.0%
$42,451 वॉल्यूम
11%
5.2%
$8,584 वॉल्यूम
9%
5.5%
$1,448 वॉल्यूम
7%
5.7%
$3,229 वॉल्यूम
7%
6.0%
$2,070 वॉल्यूम
5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).The 10-year Treasury yield has climbed to 4.47% as of May 14, 2026, up 18 basis points over the past month, driven primarily by hotter-than-expected April CPI inflation at 3.8% year-over-year—the highest since May 2023—signaling persistent price pressures amid sticky core readings. This has tempered rate-cut expectations, with the Federal Reserve holding the fed funds target at 3.50%-3.75% following its April 28-29 meeting, reflecting trader consensus on resilient labor markets and fiscal deficit expansion boosting Treasury supply. Yields hit 4.49% intraday on May 13 amid the CPI reaction, the highest since July 2025. Key catalysts ahead include May 16 nonfarm payrolls, June 16-17 FOMC, and May CPI release, which could push yields toward 5% if inflation reaccelerates or toward 4% on disinflation signals.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
बाज़ार खुला: Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$200,059समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).The 10-year Treasury yield has climbed to 4.47% as of May 14, 2026, up 18 basis points over the past month, driven primarily by hotter-than-expected April CPI inflation at 3.8% year-over-year—the highest since May 2023—signaling persistent price pressures amid sticky core readings. This has tempered rate-cut expectations, with the Federal Reserve holding the fed funds target at 3.50%-3.75% following its April 28-29 meeting, reflecting trader consensus on resilient labor markets and fiscal deficit expansion boosting Treasury supply. Yields hit 4.49% intraday on May 13 amid the CPI reaction, the highest since July 2025. Key catalysts ahead include May 16 nonfarm payrolls, June 16-17 FOMC, and May CPI release, which could push yields toward 5% if inflation reaccelerates or toward 4% on disinflation signals.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
वॉल्यूम
$200,059समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 10-year Treasury yield has climbed to 4.47% as of May 14, 2026, up 18 basis points over the past month, driven primarily by hotter-than-expected April CPI inflation at 3.8% year-over-year—the highest since May 2023—signaling persistent price pressures amid sticky core readings. This has tempered rate-cut expectations, with the Federal Reserve holding the fed funds target at 3.50%-3.75% following its April 28-29 meeting, reflecting trader consensus on resilient labor markets and fiscal deficit expansion boosting Treasury supply. Yields hit 4.49% intraday on May 13 amid the CPI reaction, the highest since July 2025. Key catalysts ahead include May 16 nonfarm payrolls, June 16-17 FOMC, and May CPI release, which could push yields toward 5% if inflation reaccelerates or toward 4% on disinflation signals.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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