Recent upward pressure on the 10-year Treasury yield, currently trading near 4.65-4.70 percent as of mid-August 2026 after touching 4.72 percent earlier in the month, stems primarily from sticky inflation and shifting Federal Reserve expectations. July CPI came in at 3.4 percent year-over-year, only modestly lower, while the FOMC held the federal funds rate at 3.5-3.75 percent in late July with several members signaling openness to hikes later this year amid persistent price pressures. Market-implied odds reflect trader focus on whether yields can sustain moves above 4.8 percent before year-end, influenced by Treasury supply dynamics, labor market resilience, and upcoming data releases including the September CPI and FOMC meetings. These factors create a narrow window for further yield advances through December 2026.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया2027 से पहले 10 साल की ट्रेजरी उपज कितनी ऊंची होगी?
2027 से पहले 10 साल की ट्रेजरी उपज कितनी ऊंची होगी?
$284,581 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
4.8%
63%
5.0%
32%
5.2%
15%
5.5%
7%
5.7%
5%
6.0%
6%
$284,581 वॉल्यूम
4.8%
$59,299 वॉल्यूम
63%
5.0%
$81,004 वॉल्यूम
32%
5.2%
$25,519 वॉल्यूम
15%
5.5%
$5,202 वॉल्यूम
7%
5.7%
$4,220 वॉल्यूम
5%
6.0%
$3,052 वॉल्यूम
6%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).Recent upward pressure on the 10-year Treasury yield, currently trading near 4.65-4.70 percent as of mid-August 2026 after touching 4.72 percent earlier in the month, stems primarily from sticky inflation and shifting Federal Reserve expectations. July CPI came in at 3.4 percent year-over-year, only modestly lower, while the FOMC held the federal funds rate at 3.5-3.75 percent in late July with several members signaling openness to hikes later this year amid persistent price pressures. Market-implied odds reflect trader focus on whether yields can sustain moves above 4.8 percent before year-end, influenced by Treasury supply dynamics, labor market resilience, and upcoming data releases including the September CPI and FOMC meetings. These factors create a narrow window for further yield advances through December 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
बाज़ार खुला: Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$284,581समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).Recent upward pressure on the 10-year Treasury yield, currently trading near 4.65-4.70 percent as of mid-August 2026 after touching 4.72 percent earlier in the month, stems primarily from sticky inflation and shifting Federal Reserve expectations. July CPI came in at 3.4 percent year-over-year, only modestly lower, while the FOMC held the federal funds rate at 3.5-3.75 percent in late July with several members signaling openness to hikes later this year amid persistent price pressures. Market-implied odds reflect trader focus on whether yields can sustain moves above 4.8 percent before year-end, influenced by Treasury supply dynamics, labor market resilience, and upcoming data releases including the September CPI and FOMC meetings. These factors create a narrow window for further yield advances through December 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
वॉल्यूम
$284,581समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent upward pressure on the 10-year Treasury yield, currently trading near 4.65-4.70 percent as of mid-August 2026 after touching 4.72 percent earlier in the month, stems primarily from sticky inflation and shifting Federal Reserve expectations. July CPI came in at 3.4 percent year-over-year, only modestly lower, while the FOMC held the federal funds rate at 3.5-3.75 percent in late July with several members signaling openness to hikes later this year amid persistent price pressures. Market-implied odds reflect trader focus on whether yields can sustain moves above 4.8 percent before year-end, influenced by Treasury supply dynamics, labor market resilience, and upcoming data releases including the September CPI and FOMC meetings. These factors create a narrow window for further yield advances through December 2026.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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