Rising inflation readings and a resilient labor market have pushed the 10-year Treasury yield to around 4.65-4.70% in mid-August 2026, with traders monitoring whether the Federal Reserve under Chair Kevin Warsh will shift from its 3.50-3.75% federal funds rate target toward hikes. Recent softer nonfarm payrolls data tempered near-term tightening expectations, yet persistent price pressures and higher oil prices have supported elevated long-term yields. Market-implied odds reflect uncertainty over the Fed's reaction function, with upcoming September FOMC deliberations, August CPI, and PCE releases likely to influence the path toward potential yield peaks before 2027 resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया2027 से पहले 10 साल की ट्रेजरी उपज कितनी ऊंची होगी?
2027 से पहले 10 साल की ट्रेजरी उपज कितनी ऊंची होगी?
$285,402 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
4.8%
64%
5.0%
32%
5.2%
15%
5.5%
7%
5.7%
7%
6.0%
7%
$285,402 वॉल्यूम
4.8%
$59,302 वॉल्यूम
64%
5.0%
$81,010 वॉल्यूम
32%
5.2%
$25,825 वॉल्यूम
15%
5.5%
$5,691 वॉल्यूम
7%
5.7%
$4,234 वॉल्यूम
7%
6.0%
$3,054 वॉल्यूम
7%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).Rising inflation readings and a resilient labor market have pushed the 10-year Treasury yield to around 4.65-4.70% in mid-August 2026, with traders monitoring whether the Federal Reserve under Chair Kevin Warsh will shift from its 3.50-3.75% federal funds rate target toward hikes. Recent softer nonfarm payrolls data tempered near-term tightening expectations, yet persistent price pressures and higher oil prices have supported elevated long-term yields. Market-implied odds reflect uncertainty over the Fed's reaction function, with upcoming September FOMC deliberations, August CPI, and PCE releases likely to influence the path toward potential yield peaks before 2027 resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
बाज़ार खुला: Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$285,402समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).Rising inflation readings and a resilient labor market have pushed the 10-year Treasury yield to around 4.65-4.70% in mid-August 2026, with traders monitoring whether the Federal Reserve under Chair Kevin Warsh will shift from its 3.50-3.75% federal funds rate target toward hikes. Recent softer nonfarm payrolls data tempered near-term tightening expectations, yet persistent price pressures and higher oil prices have supported elevated long-term yields. Market-implied odds reflect uncertainty over the Fed's reaction function, with upcoming September FOMC deliberations, August CPI, and PCE releases likely to influence the path toward potential yield peaks before 2027 resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
वॉल्यूम
$285,402समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Rising inflation readings and a resilient labor market have pushed the 10-year Treasury yield to around 4.65-4.70% in mid-August 2026, with traders monitoring whether the Federal Reserve under Chair Kevin Warsh will shift from its 3.50-3.75% federal funds rate target toward hikes. Recent softer nonfarm payrolls data tempered near-term tightening expectations, yet persistent price pressures and higher oil prices have supported elevated long-term yields. Market-implied odds reflect uncertainty over the Fed's reaction function, with upcoming September FOMC deliberations, August CPI, and PCE releases likely to influence the path toward potential yield peaks before 2027 resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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