Recent hotter-than-expected inflation data and a resilient labor market have strengthened consensus around holding the federal funds rate steady at the June 16-17 FOMC meeting, elevating the market-implied probability of zero dissents to 71.5%. Following April’s record four dissents—the most since 1992—over inclusion of an easing bias amid Middle East supply shocks and five straight years of above-target inflation, policymakers appear aligned on removing forward guidance that signals imminent cuts. Trader consensus reflects this shift, with June labor reports and the next CPI release likely to reinforce a data-dependent stance and limit room for further divisions.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHow many dissent at the next Fed meeting?
0 70%
1 18%
3 9%
2 7%
$17,916 वॉल्यूम
$17,916 वॉल्यूम
0
70%
1
18%
2
7%
3
9%
4+
2%
0 70%
1 18%
3 9%
2 7%
$17,916 वॉल्यूम
$17,916 वॉल्यूम
0
70%
1
18%
2
7%
3
9%
4+
2%
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 29, 2026, 7:50 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent hotter-than-expected inflation data and a resilient labor market have strengthened consensus around holding the federal funds rate steady at the June 16-17 FOMC meeting, elevating the market-implied probability of zero dissents to 71.5%. Following April’s record four dissents—the most since 1992—over inclusion of an easing bias amid Middle East supply shocks and five straight years of above-target inflation, policymakers appear aligned on removing forward guidance that signals imminent cuts. Trader consensus reflects this shift, with June labor reports and the next CPI release likely to reinforce a data-dependent stance and limit room for further divisions.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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