Polymarket traders reflect near-unanimous consensus with a 96.1% implied probability on "No" for Jerome Powell facing jail before 2027, driven by the U.S. Department of Justice's April 24, 2026, decision to drop its criminal probe into the Federal Reserve chair over alleged Eccles Building renovation overruns and congressional testimony—transferring the matter to the Fed's inspector general with no charges filed. This closure, viewed as politically motivated pressure amid Trump administration rate disputes, eliminates the sole credible legal threat, reinforcing Powell's position as he transitions from chair (term ends May 15, 2026) to Fed governor through January 2028. Tail risks include unforeseen congressional referrals or new probes, though barriers like prosecutorial discretion and lack of evidence render them improbable.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयानया
नया
31 दिस, 2026
नया
नया
31 दिस, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jerome Powell serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Polymarket traders reflect near-unanimous consensus with a 96.1% implied probability on "No" for Jerome Powell facing jail before 2027, driven by the U.S. Department of Justice's April 24, 2026, decision to drop its criminal probe into the Federal Reserve chair over alleged Eccles Building renovation overruns and congressional testimony—transferring the matter to the Fed's inspector general with no charges filed. This closure, viewed as politically motivated pressure amid Trump administration rate disputes, eliminates the sole credible legal threat, reinforcing Powell's position as he transitions from chair (term ends May 15, 2026) to Fed governor through January 2028. Tail risks include unforeseen congressional referrals or new probes, though barriers like prosecutorial discretion and lack of evidence render them improbable.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jerome Powell serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 12, 2026, 11:43 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$3,538समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 12, 2026, 11:43 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jerome Powell serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Polymarket traders reflect near-unanimous consensus with a 96.1% implied probability on "No" for Jerome Powell facing jail before 2027, driven by the U.S. Department of Justice's April 24, 2026, decision to drop its criminal probe into the Federal Reserve chair over alleged Eccles Building renovation overruns and congressional testimony—transferring the matter to the Fed's inspector general with no charges filed. This closure, viewed as politically motivated pressure amid Trump administration rate disputes, eliminates the sole credible legal threat, reinforcing Powell's position as he transitions from chair (term ends May 15, 2026) to Fed governor through January 2028. Tail risks include unforeseen congressional referrals or new probes, though barriers like prosecutorial discretion and lack of evidence render them improbable.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jerome Powell serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$3,538समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 12, 2026, 11:43 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Polymarket traders reflect near-unanimous consensus with a 96.1% implied probability on "No" for Jerome Powell facing jail before 2027, driven by the U.S. Department of Justice's April 24, 2026, decision to drop its criminal probe into the Federal Reserve chair over alleged Eccles Building renovation overruns and congressional testimony—transferring the matter to the Fed's inspector general with no charges filed. This closure, viewed as politically motivated pressure amid Trump administration rate disputes, eliminates the sole credible legal threat, reinforcing Powell's position as he transitions from chair (term ends May 15, 2026) to Fed governor through January 2028. Tail risks include unforeseen congressional referrals or new probes, though barriers like prosecutorial discretion and lack of evidence render them improbable.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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