Recent U.S. inflation data, including the August 2026 CPI rising 3.4% year-over-year with a 0.4% monthly increase driven by energy and housing costs, alongside a stable labor market with unemployment near 4.1-4.3%, have reinforced trader expectations for Federal Reserve caution. With the policy rate holding at 3.50-3.75% and economists broadly projecting no cuts before mid-2027, the 58.0% implied probability of no change at the January 2027 FOMC meeting reflects persistent above-target inflation and resilient economic conditions that reduce the case for immediate easing. Elevated geopolitical pressures on oil prices add to hawkish risks, supporting the combined 24.2% odds of a 25 basis point or larger hike while limiting downside move probabilities. The September 2026 meeting and subsequent data releases remain key near-term catalysts for any sentiment shifts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाNo change 58%
25 बीपीएस वृद्धि 23%
25 bps decrease 14%
50+ bps decrease 4.9%
$71,033 वॉल्यूम
$71,033 वॉल्यूम
27 जन, 2027
50+ bps decrease
5%
25 bps decrease
14%
No change
58%
25 बीपीएस वृद्धि
23%
50+ बीपीएस वृद्धि
2%
No change 58%
25 बीपीएस वृद्धि 23%
25 bps decrease 14%
50+ bps decrease 4.9%
$71,033 वॉल्यूम
$71,033 वॉल्यूम
27 जन, 2027
50+ bps decrease
$13,983 वॉल्यूम
5%
25 bps decrease
$14,873 वॉल्यूम
14%
No change
$21,181 वॉल्यूम
58%
25 बीपीएस वृद्धि
$17,011 वॉल्यूम
23%
50+ बीपीएस वृद्धि
$3,985 वॉल्यूम
2%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's January 2027 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Recent U.S. inflation data, including the August 2026 CPI rising 3.4% year-over-year with a 0.4% monthly increase driven by energy and housing costs, alongside a stable labor market with unemployment near 4.1-4.3%, have reinforced trader expectations for Federal Reserve caution. With the policy rate holding at 3.50-3.75% and economists broadly projecting no cuts before mid-2027, the 58.0% implied probability of no change at the January 2027 FOMC meeting reflects persistent above-target inflation and resilient economic conditions that reduce the case for immediate easing. Elevated geopolitical pressures on oil prices add to hawkish risks, supporting the combined 24.2% odds of a 25 basis point or larger hike while limiting downside move probabilities. The September 2026 meeting and subsequent data releases remain key near-term catalysts for any sentiment shifts.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's January 2027 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's January 2027 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 29, 2026, 8:39 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$71,033समाप्ति तिथि
27 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jul 29, 2026, 8:39 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's January 2027 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Recent U.S. inflation data, including the August 2026 CPI rising 3.4% year-over-year with a 0.4% monthly increase driven by energy and housing costs, alongside a stable labor market with unemployment near 4.1-4.3%, have reinforced trader expectations for Federal Reserve caution. With the policy rate holding at 3.50-3.75% and economists broadly projecting no cuts before mid-2027, the 58.0% implied probability of no change at the January 2027 FOMC meeting reflects persistent above-target inflation and resilient economic conditions that reduce the case for immediate easing. Elevated geopolitical pressures on oil prices add to hawkish risks, supporting the combined 24.2% odds of a 25 basis point or larger hike while limiting downside move probabilities. The September 2026 meeting and subsequent data releases remain key near-term catalysts for any sentiment shifts.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's January 2027 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's January 2027 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
वॉल्यूम
$71,033समाप्ति तिथि
27 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jul 29, 2026, 8:39 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent U.S. inflation data, including the August 2026 CPI rising 3.4% year-over-year with a 0.4% monthly increase driven by energy and housing costs, alongside a stable labor market with unemployment near 4.1-4.3%, have reinforced trader expectations for Federal Reserve caution. With the policy rate holding at 3.50-3.75% and economists broadly projecting no cuts before mid-2027, the 58.0% implied probability of no change at the January 2027 FOMC meeting reflects persistent above-target inflation and resilient economic conditions that reduce the case for immediate easing. Elevated geopolitical pressures on oil prices add to hawkish risks, supporting the combined 24.2% odds of a 25 basis point or larger hike while limiting downside move probabilities. The September 2026 meeting and subsequent data releases remain key near-term catalysts for any sentiment shifts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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