The April 2026 dismissal of the Department of Justice criminal investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell—centered on headquarters renovation costs and congressional testimony—anchors the low market-implied probability of federal charges by year-end. A federal judge quashed related grand jury subpoenas for lack of evidence beyond policy disagreements, with no subsequent filings, inspector general referrals, or prosecutorial activity reported through mid-August. Powell’s transition from chair in May to a governor role through 2028 has further reduced exposure. While polarized political dynamics could theoretically prompt renewed scrutiny, the judicial record and probe closure create substantial barriers, reflected in trader consensus pricing near-certain resolution to no charges.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$318,488 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
31 दिसंबर, 2026
3%
$318,488 वॉल्यूम
31 दिसंबर, 2026
$2,043 वॉल्यूम
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The April 2026 dismissal of the Department of Justice criminal investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell—centered on headquarters renovation costs and congressional testimony—anchors the low market-implied probability of federal charges by year-end. A federal judge quashed related grand jury subpoenas for lack of evidence beyond policy disagreements, with no subsequent filings, inspector general referrals, or prosecutorial activity reported through mid-August. Powell’s transition from chair in May to a governor role through 2028 has further reduced exposure. While polarized political dynamics could theoretically prompt renewed scrutiny, the judicial record and probe closure create substantial barriers, reflected in trader consensus pricing near-certain resolution to no charges.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Jun 28, 2026, 5:15 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$318,488समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jun 28, 2026, 5:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The April 2026 dismissal of the Department of Justice criminal investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell—centered on headquarters renovation costs and congressional testimony—anchors the low market-implied probability of federal charges by year-end. A federal judge quashed related grand jury subpoenas for lack of evidence beyond policy disagreements, with no subsequent filings, inspector general referrals, or prosecutorial activity reported through mid-August. Powell’s transition from chair in May to a governor role through 2028 has further reduced exposure. While polarized political dynamics could theoretically prompt renewed scrutiny, the judicial record and probe closure create substantial barriers, reflected in trader consensus pricing near-certain resolution to no charges.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$318,488समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jun 28, 2026, 5:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The April 2026 dismissal of the Department of Justice criminal investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell—centered on headquarters renovation costs and congressional testimony—anchors the low market-implied probability of federal charges by year-end. A federal judge quashed related grand jury subpoenas for lack of evidence beyond policy disagreements, with no subsequent filings, inspector general referrals, or prosecutorial activity reported through mid-August. Powell’s transition from chair in May to a governor role through 2028 has further reduced exposure. While polarized political dynamics could theoretically prompt renewed scrutiny, the judicial record and probe closure create substantial barriers, reflected in trader consensus pricing near-certain resolution to no charges.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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