Recent Fed communications and the September 16 FOMC decision drive the 83.5% market-implied odds for at least one additional rate hike in 2026. Officials raised the federal funds target range to 3.75-4.00% and the dot plot showed 16 of 18 participants projecting at least one further 25-basis-point increase by year-end, citing persistent inflation with August CPI at 3.4% year-over-year and upgraded PCE forecasts to 3.7%. Resilient growth, solid labor market conditions, and Chair Warsh’s emphasis on removing accommodation have shifted trader consensus toward tighter policy through December, though October timing remains uncertain ahead of midterms.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाहाँ
84% संभावना
नया
$38,973 वॉल्यूम
नया
$38,973 वॉल्यूम
8 दिस, 2026
हाँ
84% संभावना
नया
$38,973 वॉल्यूम
नया
$38,973 वॉल्यूम
8 दिस, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between September 17, 2026 and the completion of the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8 to 9, 2026, inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the December meeting. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any change to the target federal funds rate announced at the conclusion of the September 15 to 16, 2026 FOMC meeting will not count toward this market. Emergency rate hikes announced on or after September 17, 2026 will qualify.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent Fed communications and the September 16 FOMC decision drive the 83.5% market-implied odds for at least one additional rate hike in 2026. Officials raised the federal funds target range to 3.75-4.00% and the dot plot showed 16 of 18 participants projecting at least one further 25-basis-point increase by year-end, citing persistent inflation with August CPI at 3.4% year-over-year and upgraded PCE forecasts to 3.7%. Resilient growth, solid labor market conditions, and Chair Warsh’s emphasis on removing accommodation have shifted trader consensus toward tighter policy through December, though October timing remains uncertain ahead of midterms.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between September 17, 2026 and the completion of the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8 to 9, 2026, inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the December meeting. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any change to the target federal funds rate announced at the conclusion of the September 15 to 16, 2026 FOMC meeting will not count toward this market. Emergency rate hikes announced on or after September 17, 2026 will qualify.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Any change to the target federal funds rate announced at the conclusion of the September 15 to 16, 2026 FOMC meeting will not count toward this market. Emergency rate hikes announced on or after September 17, 2026 will qualify.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 16, 2026, 2:24 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$38,973समाप्ति तिथि
9 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 16, 2026, 2:24 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between September 17, 2026 and the completion of the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8 to 9, 2026, inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the December meeting. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any change to the target federal funds rate announced at the conclusion of the September 15 to 16, 2026 FOMC meeting will not count toward this market. Emergency rate hikes announced on or after September 17, 2026 will qualify.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent Fed communications and the September 16 FOMC decision drive the 83.5% market-implied odds for at least one additional rate hike in 2026. Officials raised the federal funds target range to 3.75-4.00% and the dot plot showed 16 of 18 participants projecting at least one further 25-basis-point increase by year-end, citing persistent inflation with August CPI at 3.4% year-over-year and upgraded PCE forecasts to 3.7%. Resilient growth, solid labor market conditions, and Chair Warsh’s emphasis on removing accommodation have shifted trader consensus toward tighter policy through December, though October timing remains uncertain ahead of midterms.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between September 17, 2026 and the completion of the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8 to 9, 2026, inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the December meeting. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any change to the target federal funds rate announced at the conclusion of the September 15 to 16, 2026 FOMC meeting will not count toward this market. Emergency rate hikes announced on or after September 17, 2026 will qualify.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Any change to the target federal funds rate announced at the conclusion of the September 15 to 16, 2026 FOMC meeting will not count toward this market. Emergency rate hikes announced on or after September 17, 2026 will qualify.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$38,973समाप्ति तिथि
9 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 16, 2026, 2:24 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...Recent Fed communications and the September 16 FOMC decision drive the 83.5% market-implied odds for at least one additional rate hike in 2026. Officials raised the federal funds target range to 3.75-4.00% and the dot plot showed 16 of 18 participants projecting at least one further 25-basis-point increase by year-end, citing persistent inflation with August CPI at 3.4% year-over-year and upgraded PCE forecasts to 3.7%. Resilient growth, solid labor market conditions, and Chair Warsh’s emphasis on removing accommodation have shifted trader consensus toward tighter policy through December, though October timing remains uncertain ahead of midterms.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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