Persistent above-target inflation, with core PCE at 3.3% as of June 2026, combined with a firm labor market and geopolitical energy-price pressures, has anchored the federal funds rate at 3.50–3.75% and kept the 10-year Treasury yield near 4.63% as of August 13. Trader consensus on the lowest yield before 2027 reflects limited scope for aggressive easing unless incoming CPI or employment data signal a sharper slowdown. Fiscal concerns and elevated term premiums continue to support higher long-term rates, while upcoming FOMC meetings and August–September inflation releases represent the key near-term catalysts that could shift market-implied odds for deeper yield compression.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$225,059 वॉल्यूम
3.9%
12%
3.8%
5%
3.7%
3%
3.6%
6%
3.5%
4%
3.0%
3%
2.0%
2%
1.0%
2%
$225,059 वॉल्यूम
3.9%
12%
3.8%
5%
3.7%
3%
3.6%
6%
3.5%
4%
3.0%
3%
2.0%
2%
1.0%
2%
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
बाज़ार खुला: Nov 12, 2025, 6:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Persistent above-target inflation, with core PCE at 3.3% as of June 2026, combined with a firm labor market and geopolitical energy-price pressures, has anchored the federal funds rate at 3.50–3.75% and kept the 10-year Treasury yield near 4.63% as of August 13. Trader consensus on the lowest yield before 2027 reflects limited scope for aggressive easing unless incoming CPI or employment data signal a sharper slowdown. Fiscal concerns and elevated term premiums continue to support higher long-term rates, while upcoming FOMC meetings and August–September inflation releases represent the key near-term catalysts that could shift market-implied odds for deeper yield compression.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया



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