**Persistent above-target inflation remains the dominant force shaping trader views on the October 2026 FOMC decision, with June CPI showing headline inflation at 3.5% year-over-year and core at 2.6%, still well above the 2% target despite a sharp monthly decline driven by energy prices.** Stable labor market conditions, including a 4.2% unemployment rate in June, have reduced pressure for easing while supporting the case for a hold at the prevailing 3.5–3.75% federal funds rate range. Recent FOMC communications under Chair Kevin Warsh, including the July decision to leave rates unchanged amid some dissents for hikes and emphasis on price stability, have reinforced market-implied odds favoring no change at 68.5% while embedding a meaningful 22.5% probability of a 25 basis point increase. July CPI data due mid-August and the September meeting will provide key updates before October.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाअक्टूबर में फेड का फ़ैसला?
अक्टूबर में फेड का फ़ैसला?
कोई बदलाव नहीं 69%
25 बीपीएस वृद्धि 23%
25 बेसिस पॉइंट की कमी 5%
50+ बेसिस पॉइंट्स वृद्धि 2.5%
$457,646 वॉल्यूम
$457,646 वॉल्यूम
28 अक्टू, 2026
50+ बीपीएस कटौती
1%
25 बेसिस पॉइंट की कमी
5%
कोई बदलाव नहीं
69%
25 बीपीएस वृद्धि
23%
50+ बेसिस पॉइंट्स वृद्धि
2%
कोई बदलाव नहीं 69%
25 बीपीएस वृद्धि 23%
25 बेसिस पॉइंट की कमी 5%
50+ बेसिस पॉइंट्स वृद्धि 2.5%
$457,646 वॉल्यूम
$457,646 वॉल्यूम
28 अक्टू, 2026
50+ बीपीएस कटौती
$100,226 वॉल्यूम
1%
25 बेसिस पॉइंट की कमी
$104,575 वॉल्यूम
5%
कोई बदलाव नहीं
$102,537 वॉल्यूम
69%
25 बीपीएस वृद्धि
$107,665 वॉल्यूम
23%
50+ बेसिस पॉइंट्स वृद्धि
$42,643 वॉल्यूम
2%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's October 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27-28, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.**Persistent above-target inflation remains the dominant force shaping trader views on the October 2026 FOMC decision, with June CPI showing headline inflation at 3.5% year-over-year and core at 2.6%, still well above the 2% target despite a sharp monthly decline driven by energy prices.**
Stable labor market conditions, including a 4.2% unemployment rate in June, have reduced pressure for easing while supporting the case for a hold at the prevailing 3.5–3.75% federal funds rate range. Recent FOMC communications under Chair Kevin Warsh, including the July decision to leave rates unchanged amid some dissents for hikes and emphasis on price stability, have reinforced market-implied odds favoring no change at 68.5% while embedding a meaningful 22.5% probability of a 25 basis point increase. July CPI data due mid-August and the September meeting will provide key updates before October.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's October 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27-28, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's October 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27-28, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
बाज़ार खुला: Jun 17, 2026, 7:21 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$457,646समाप्ति तिथि
28 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jun 17, 2026, 7:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's October 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27-28, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.**Persistent above-target inflation remains the dominant force shaping trader views on the October 2026 FOMC decision, with June CPI showing headline inflation at 3.5% year-over-year and core at 2.6%, still well above the 2% target despite a sharp monthly decline driven by energy prices.**
Stable labor market conditions, including a 4.2% unemployment rate in June, have reduced pressure for easing while supporting the case for a hold at the prevailing 3.5–3.75% federal funds rate range. Recent FOMC communications under Chair Kevin Warsh, including the July decision to leave rates unchanged amid some dissents for hikes and emphasis on price stability, have reinforced market-implied odds favoring no change at 68.5% while embedding a meaningful 22.5% probability of a 25 basis point increase. July CPI data due mid-August and the September meeting will provide key updates before October.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's October 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27-28, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's October 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27-28, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
वॉल्यूम
$457,646समाप्ति तिथि
28 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jun 17, 2026, 7:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent above-target inflation remains the dominant force shaping trader views on the October 2026 FOMC decision, with June CPI showing headline inflation at 3.5% year-over-year and core at 2.6%, still well above the 2% target despite a sharp monthly decline driven by energy prices.** Stable labor market conditions, including a 4.2% unemployment rate in June, have reduced pressure for easing while supporting the case for a hold at the prevailing 3.5–3.75% federal funds rate range. Recent FOMC communications under Chair Kevin Warsh, including the July decision to leave rates unchanged amid some dissents for hikes and emphasis on price stability, have reinforced market-implied odds favoring no change at 68.5% while embedding a meaningful 22.5% probability of a 25 basis point increase. July CPI data due mid-August and the September meeting will provide key updates before October.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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