Recent cooling in UK CPI to 2.6% year-over-year in June 2026, driven by lower transport and food prices, underpins the leading 2.5–2.9% outcome bin, though the Bank of England’s 3.75% Bank Rate and forward guidance highlight persistent upside risks from Middle East energy price volatility. Official forecasts, including revised Treasury projections for 3.4% in Q4 2026, reflect these pressures alongside moderating core inflation at 2.6%. Market-implied odds remain dispersed because the full-year average hinges on whether geopolitical shocks amplify second-round effects or whether labor market slack and prior monetary tightening contain the rebound, with the September MPC meeting and upcoming energy data as key near-term catalysts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाU.K. Annual Inflation 2026
U.K. Annual Inflation 2026
2.5–2.9% 23.4%
4.0-4.4% 12%
2.0–2.4% 8.8%
3.5–3.9% 8.4%
$52,629 वॉल्यूम
$52,629 वॉल्यूम
20 जन, 2027
<1.0%
<1%
1.0–1.4%
4%
1.5–1.9%
2%
2.0–2.4%
9%
2.5–2.9%
23%
3.0–3.4%
-
3.5–3.9%
8%
4.0-4.4%
12%
4.5%+
8%
2.5–2.9% 23.4%
4.0-4.4% 12%
2.0–2.4% 8.8%
3.5–3.9% 8.4%
$52,629 वॉल्यूम
$52,629 वॉल्यूम
20 जन, 2027
<1.0%
$876 वॉल्यूम
<1%
1.0–1.4%
$1,193 वॉल्यूम
4%
1.5–1.9%
$554 वॉल्यूम
2%
2.0–2.4%
$4,051 वॉल्यूम
9%
2.5–2.9%
$13,417 वॉल्यूम
23%
3.0–3.4%
$0 वॉल्यूम
-
3.5–3.9%
$21,242 वॉल्यूम
8%
4.0-4.4%
$3,426 वॉल्यूम
12%
4.5%+
$7,869 वॉल्यूम
8%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendarRecent cooling in UK CPI to 2.6% year-over-year in June 2026, driven by lower transport and food prices, underpins the leading 2.5–2.9% outcome bin, though the Bank of England’s 3.75% Bank Rate and forward guidance highlight persistent upside risks from Middle East energy price volatility. Official forecasts, including revised Treasury projections for 3.4% in Q4 2026, reflect these pressures alongside moderating core inflation at 2.6%. Market-implied odds remain dispersed because the full-year average hinges on whether geopolitical shocks amplify second-round effects or whether labor market slack and prior monetary tightening contain the rebound, with the September MPC meeting and upcoming energy data as key near-term catalysts.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$52,629समाप्ति तिथि
20 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendarRecent cooling in UK CPI to 2.6% year-over-year in June 2026, driven by lower transport and food prices, underpins the leading 2.5–2.9% outcome bin, though the Bank of England’s 3.75% Bank Rate and forward guidance highlight persistent upside risks from Middle East energy price volatility. Official forecasts, including revised Treasury projections for 3.4% in Q4 2026, reflect these pressures alongside moderating core inflation at 2.6%. Market-implied odds remain dispersed because the full-year average hinges on whether geopolitical shocks amplify second-round effects or whether labor market slack and prior monetary tightening contain the rebound, with the September MPC meeting and upcoming energy data as key near-term catalysts.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
वॉल्यूम
$52,629समाप्ति तिथि
20 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent cooling in UK CPI to 2.6% year-over-year in June 2026, driven by lower transport and food prices, underpins the leading 2.5–2.9% outcome bin, though the Bank of England’s 3.75% Bank Rate and forward guidance highlight persistent upside risks from Middle East energy price volatility. Official forecasts, including revised Treasury projections for 3.4% in Q4 2026, reflect these pressures alongside moderating core inflation at 2.6%. Market-implied odds remain dispersed because the full-year average hinges on whether geopolitical shocks amplify second-round effects or whether labor market slack and prior monetary tightening contain the rebound, with the September MPC meeting and upcoming energy data as key near-term catalysts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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