Polymarket traders price a 43% implied probability for China's 2026 annual CPI to land in the 1.1–1.5% band, reflecting April's consumer price index rising 1.2% year-over-year—beating forecasts of 0.9%—driven by energy cost surges from the Iran conflict, with producer prices jumping 2.8% YoY to a 45-month high. Core CPI edged to 1.2% from 1.1%, signaling mild reflation amid persistent weak domestic demand, housing deflation, and Q1 average inflation of 0.9%. People's Bank of China highlights imported inflation risks while maintaining loose policy, supporting trader consensus for subdued annual growth below 2%, with May CPI data as the next key catalyst ahead of year-end resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाचीन वार्षिक मुद्रास्फीति 2026
चीन वार्षिक मुद्रास्फीति 2026
1.1 – 1.5% 54%
0.6 – 1.0% 30%
1.6 – 2.0% 28.3%
2.0-2.4% 13.4%
$40,784 वॉल्यूम
$40,784 वॉल्यूम
10 जन, 2027
<-1.0%
<1%
-0.9 – -0.5%
<1%
-0.4 – 0.0%
<1%
0.1 – 0.5%
3%
0.6 – 1.0%
30%
1.1 – 1.5%
43%
1.6 – 2.0%
24%
2.0-2.4%
11%
2.5%+
5%
1.1 – 1.5% 54%
0.6 – 1.0% 30%
1.6 – 2.0% 28.3%
2.0-2.4% 13.4%
$40,784 वॉल्यूम
$40,784 वॉल्यूम
10 जन, 2027
<-1.0%
$17,491 वॉल्यूम
<1%
-0.9 – -0.5%
$2,347 वॉल्यूम
<1%
-0.4 – 0.0%
$2,564 वॉल्यूम
<1%
0.1 – 0.5%
$2,851 वॉल्यूम
3%
0.6 – 1.0%
$2,956 वॉल्यूम
30%
1.1 – 1.5%
$3,461 वॉल्यूम
43%
1.6 – 2.0%
$3,992 वॉल्यूम
24%
2.0-2.4%
$2,580 वॉल्यूम
11%
2.5%+
$2,542 वॉल्यूम
5%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/Polymarket traders price a 43% implied probability for China's 2026 annual CPI to land in the 1.1–1.5% band, reflecting April's consumer price index rising 1.2% year-over-year—beating forecasts of 0.9%—driven by energy cost surges from the Iran conflict, with producer prices jumping 2.8% YoY to a 45-month high. Core CPI edged to 1.2% from 1.1%, signaling mild reflation amid persistent weak domestic demand, housing deflation, and Q1 average inflation of 0.9%. People's Bank of China highlights imported inflation risks while maintaining loose policy, supporting trader consensus for subdued annual growth below 2%, with May CPI data as the next key catalyst ahead of year-end resolution.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$40,784समाप्ति तिथि
10 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/Polymarket traders price a 43% implied probability for China's 2026 annual CPI to land in the 1.1–1.5% band, reflecting April's consumer price index rising 1.2% year-over-year—beating forecasts of 0.9%—driven by energy cost surges from the Iran conflict, with producer prices jumping 2.8% YoY to a 45-month high. Core CPI edged to 1.2% from 1.1%, signaling mild reflation amid persistent weak domestic demand, housing deflation, and Q1 average inflation of 0.9%. People's Bank of China highlights imported inflation risks while maintaining loose policy, supporting trader consensus for subdued annual growth below 2%, with May CPI data as the next key catalyst ahead of year-end resolution.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
वॉल्यूम
$40,784समाप्ति तिथि
10 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders price a 43% implied probability for China's 2026 annual CPI to land in the 1.1–1.5% band, reflecting April's consumer price index rising 1.2% year-over-year—beating forecasts of 0.9%—driven by energy cost surges from the Iran conflict, with producer prices jumping 2.8% YoY to a 45-month high. Core CPI edged to 1.2% from 1.1%, signaling mild reflation amid persistent weak domestic demand, housing deflation, and Q1 average inflation of 0.9%. People's Bank of China highlights imported inflation risks while maintaining loose policy, supporting trader consensus for subdued annual growth below 2%, with May CPI data as the next key catalyst ahead of year-end resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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