Recent stability in U.S. services activity underpins the 53.5% market-implied probability for an August 2026 ISM Services PMI reading in the 54.0–54.9 range. The July index held at 54.1, following 54.0 in June and 54.5 in May, reflecting resilient business activity and new orders despite persistent employment contraction. Traders appear to price in continuation of this narrow expansion band amid easing tariff and geopolitical commentary, alongside lingering pressure from petroleum costs and mortgage rates. The parallel manufacturing PMI surge to 55.6 in July signals broader economic momentum that could support services readings near current levels. The August release on September 3 will test whether momentum holds or softens toward the 52–53 zone now carrying 32% combined probability.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया53.0–53.9 22%
54.0–54.9 22%
52.0–52.9 22%
55.0–55.9 11%
नया
नया
3 सित, 2026
<50.0
1%
50.0–50.9
<1%
51.0–51.9
<1%
52.0–52.9
22%
53.0–53.9
26%
54.0–54.9
37%
55.0–55.9
11%
56.0–56.9
<1%
57.0–57.9
26%
58.0+
11%
53.0–53.9 22%
54.0–54.9 22%
52.0–52.9 22%
55.0–55.9 11%
नया
नया
3 सित, 2026
<50.0
$145 वॉल्यूम
1%
50.0–50.9
$126 वॉल्यूम
<1%
51.0–51.9
$165 वॉल्यूम
<1%
52.0–52.9
$2,242 वॉल्यूम
22%
53.0–53.9
$1,021 वॉल्यूम
26%
54.0–54.9
$1,184 वॉल्यूम
37%
55.0–55.9
$168 वॉल्यूम
11%
56.0–56.9
$73 वॉल्यूम
<1%
57.0–57.9
$242 वॉल्यूम
26%
58.0+
$211 वॉल्यूम
11%
This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent stability in U.S. services activity underpins the 53.5% market-implied probability for an August 2026 ISM Services PMI reading in the 54.0–54.9 range. The July index held at 54.1, following 54.0 in June and 54.5 in May, reflecting resilient business activity and new orders despite persistent employment contraction. Traders appear to price in continuation of this narrow expansion band amid easing tariff and geopolitical commentary, alongside lingering pressure from petroleum costs and mortgage rates. The parallel manufacturing PMI surge to 55.6 in July signals broader economic momentum that could support services readings near current levels. The August release on September 3 will test whether momentum holds or softens toward the 52–53 zone now carrying 32% combined probability.
This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$5,577समाप्ति तिथि
3 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ETThis is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent stability in U.S. services activity underpins the 53.5% market-implied probability for an August 2026 ISM Services PMI reading in the 54.0–54.9 range. The July index held at 54.1, following 54.0 in June and 54.5 in May, reflecting resilient business activity and new orders despite persistent employment contraction. Traders appear to price in continuation of this narrow expansion band amid easing tariff and geopolitical commentary, alongside lingering pressure from petroleum costs and mortgage rates. The parallel manufacturing PMI surge to 55.6 in July signals broader economic momentum that could support services readings near current levels. The August release on September 3 will test whether momentum holds or softens toward the 52–53 zone now carrying 32% combined probability.
This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
वॉल्यूम
$5,577समाप्ति तिथि
3 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ETRecent stability in U.S. services activity underpins the 53.5% market-implied probability for an August 2026 ISM Services PMI reading in the 54.0–54.9 range. The July index held at 54.1, following 54.0 in June and 54.5 in May, reflecting resilient business activity and new orders despite persistent employment contraction. Traders appear to price in continuation of this narrow expansion band amid easing tariff and geopolitical commentary, alongside lingering pressure from petroleum costs and mortgage rates. The parallel manufacturing PMI surge to 55.6 in July signals broader economic momentum that could support services readings near current levels. The August release on September 3 will test whether momentum holds or softens toward the 52–53 zone now carrying 32% combined probability.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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