Trader consensus for the August 2026 nonfarm payrolls report centers on subdued job gains, with the 50,000–100,000 range commanding a 40% implied probability. This reflects the Federal Reserve’s ongoing policy easing amid cooling labor market signals, including softer prior-month employment readings, rising initial jobless claims, and moderating wage pressures that have tempered hiring momentum. The 0–50,000 bucket at 27% captures further downside risks tied to potential slowdown in consumer spending and business investment. Markets will closely watch the July employment release and latest inflation data for any revisions that could shift these probabilities before the early-September report.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया50,000 – 100,000 41%
0 – 50k 27%
-50k – 0 18%
150k+ 15%
$11,035 वॉल्यूम
$11,035 वॉल्यूम
5 सित, 2026
<-50k
3%
-50k – 0
18%
0 – 50k
27%
50,000 – 100,000
41%
100k – 150k
6%
150k+
15%
50,000 – 100,000 41%
0 – 50k 27%
-50k – 0 18%
150k+ 15%
$11,035 वॉल्यूम
$11,035 वॉल्यूम
5 सित, 2026
<-50k
$211 वॉल्यूम
3%
-50k – 0
$1,032 वॉल्यूम
18%
0 – 50k
$7,690 वॉल्यूम
27%
50,000 – 100,000
$1,534 वॉल्यूम
41%
100k – 150k
$202 वॉल्यूम
6%
150k+
$364 वॉल्यूम
15%
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for August 2026, scheduled to be released on September 4, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htmTrader consensus for the August 2026 nonfarm payrolls report centers on subdued job gains, with the 50,000–100,000 range commanding a 40% implied probability. This reflects the Federal Reserve’s ongoing policy easing amid cooling labor market signals, including softer prior-month employment readings, rising initial jobless claims, and moderating wage pressures that have tempered hiring momentum. The 0–50,000 bucket at 27% captures further downside risks tied to potential slowdown in consumer spending and business investment. Markets will closely watch the July employment release and latest inflation data for any revisions that could shift these probabilities before the early-September report.
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for August 2026, scheduled to be released on September 4, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 7, 2026, 1:07 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$11,035समाप्ति तिथि
5 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 7, 2026, 1:07 PM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for August 2026, scheduled to be released on September 4, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htmTrader consensus for the August 2026 nonfarm payrolls report centers on subdued job gains, with the 50,000–100,000 range commanding a 40% implied probability. This reflects the Federal Reserve’s ongoing policy easing amid cooling labor market signals, including softer prior-month employment readings, rising initial jobless claims, and moderating wage pressures that have tempered hiring momentum. The 0–50,000 bucket at 27% captures further downside risks tied to potential slowdown in consumer spending and business investment. Markets will closely watch the July employment release and latest inflation data for any revisions that could shift these probabilities before the early-September report.
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for August 2026, scheduled to be released on September 4, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
वॉल्यूम
$11,035समाप्ति तिथि
5 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 7, 2026, 1:07 PM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus for the August 2026 nonfarm payrolls report centers on subdued job gains, with the 50,000–100,000 range commanding a 40% implied probability. This reflects the Federal Reserve’s ongoing policy easing amid cooling labor market signals, including softer prior-month employment readings, rising initial jobless claims, and moderating wage pressures that have tempered hiring momentum. The 0–50,000 bucket at 27% captures further downside risks tied to potential slowdown in consumer spending and business investment. Markets will closely watch the July employment release and latest inflation data for any revisions that could shift these probabilities before the early-September report.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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