Recent labor market data show the U.S. unemployment rate holding steady at 4.3 percent in April 2026 after nonfarm payrolls rose a modest 115,000, below prior months and signaling gradual cooling amid slower hiring and fewer job openings. The Federal Open Market Committee’s March 2026 projections place the median unemployment rate at 4.4 percent for year-end 2026, while private forecasts anticipate a rise toward 4.8 percent as GDP growth moderates to around 1.8 percent. Key upcoming releases include the May employment report on June 5 and the June FOMC meeting, which will clarify whether softening demand or policy adjustments push the rate higher before year-end. Trader focus centers on these data points as the primary drivers of implied probabilities for the 2026 peak.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$388,623 वॉल्यूम
10 जन, 2026
5.0%
28%
5.5%
14%
6.0%
13%
7.0%
10%
10.0%
4%
$388,623 वॉल्यूम
5.0%
$102,277 वॉल्यूम
28%
5.5%
$186,661 वॉल्यूम
14%
6.0%
$52,180 वॉल्यूम
13%
7.0%
$21,510 वॉल्यूम
10%
10.0%
$25,994 वॉल्यूम
4%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in an “Employment Situation Report” for a reference month in 2026 is greater than or equal to the listed percentage. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The relevant reports for this market are the Employment Situation Reports for January-December, 2026. This market may not resolve to “No” until the Employment Situation report for December 2026 is released. If no Employment Situation Report for December 2026 is released by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, however, this market will resolve based on all previously published data up to that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for each month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent labor market data show the U.S. unemployment rate holding steady at 4.3 percent in April 2026 after nonfarm payrolls rose a modest 115,000, below prior months and signaling gradual cooling amid slower hiring and fewer job openings. The Federal Open Market Committee’s March 2026 projections place the median unemployment rate at 4.4 percent for year-end 2026, while private forecasts anticipate a rise toward 4.8 percent as GDP growth moderates to around 1.8 percent. Key upcoming releases include the May employment report on June 5 and the June FOMC meeting, which will clarify whether softening demand or policy adjustments push the rate higher before year-end. Trader focus centers on these data points as the primary drivers of implied probabilities for the 2026 peak.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in an “Employment Situation Report” for a reference month in 2026 is greater than or equal to the listed percentage. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The relevant reports for this market are the Employment Situation Reports for January-December, 2026. This market may not resolve to “No” until the Employment Situation report for December 2026 is released. If no Employment Situation Report for December 2026 is released by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, however, this market will resolve based on all previously published data up to that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for each month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The relevant reports for this market are the Employment Situation Reports for January-December, 2026. This market may not resolve to “No” until the Employment Situation report for December 2026 is released. If no Employment Situation Report for December 2026 is released by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, however, this market will resolve based on all previously published data up to that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for each month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 2, 2026, 1:53 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$388,623समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 2, 2026, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in an “Employment Situation Report” for a reference month in 2026 is greater than or equal to the listed percentage. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The relevant reports for this market are the Employment Situation Reports for January-December, 2026. This market may not resolve to “No” until the Employment Situation report for December 2026 is released. If no Employment Situation Report for December 2026 is released by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, however, this market will resolve based on all previously published data up to that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for each month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent labor market data show the U.S. unemployment rate holding steady at 4.3 percent in April 2026 after nonfarm payrolls rose a modest 115,000, below prior months and signaling gradual cooling amid slower hiring and fewer job openings. The Federal Open Market Committee’s March 2026 projections place the median unemployment rate at 4.4 percent for year-end 2026, while private forecasts anticipate a rise toward 4.8 percent as GDP growth moderates to around 1.8 percent. Key upcoming releases include the May employment report on June 5 and the June FOMC meeting, which will clarify whether softening demand or policy adjustments push the rate higher before year-end. Trader focus centers on these data points as the primary drivers of implied probabilities for the 2026 peak.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in an “Employment Situation Report” for a reference month in 2026 is greater than or equal to the listed percentage. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The relevant reports for this market are the Employment Situation Reports for January-December, 2026. This market may not resolve to “No” until the Employment Situation report for December 2026 is released. If no Employment Situation Report for December 2026 is released by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, however, this market will resolve based on all previously published data up to that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for each month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The relevant reports for this market are the Employment Situation Reports for January-December, 2026. This market may not resolve to “No” until the Employment Situation report for December 2026 is released. If no Employment Situation Report for December 2026 is released by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, however, this market will resolve based on all previously published data up to that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for each month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
वॉल्यूम
$388,623समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 2, 2026, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent labor market data show the U.S. unemployment rate holding steady at 4.3 percent in April 2026 after nonfarm payrolls rose a modest 115,000, below prior months and signaling gradual cooling amid slower hiring and fewer job openings. The Federal Open Market Committee’s March 2026 projections place the median unemployment rate at 4.4 percent for year-end 2026, while private forecasts anticipate a rise toward 4.8 percent as GDP growth moderates to around 1.8 percent. Key upcoming releases include the May employment report on June 5 and the June FOMC meeting, which will clarify whether softening demand or policy adjustments push the rate higher before year-end. Trader focus centers on these data points as the primary drivers of implied probabilities for the 2026 peak.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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