Recent U.S. labor market data show the unemployment rate holding at 4.1% in August 2026, with nonfarm payrolls rising 162,000 and initial claims remaining near historic lows around 206,000. Federal Reserve projections released September 16 lowered the median 2026 unemployment forecast to 4.1% from 4.3% in June, reflecting resilient hiring despite the FOMC raising its federal funds rate path to 4.1% amid firmer PCE inflation at 3.7%. Traders weigh these stable conditions and modest GDP growth expectations of 2.3% against risks from policy tightening and any future slowdown in consumer spending or sectors like leisure and hospitality. The next employment report on October 2 and upcoming FOMC meetings will provide key updates on whether the rate stays anchored near current levels.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया2026 में अमेरिकी बेरोजगारी कितनी बढ़ेगी?
2026 में अमेरिकी बेरोजगारी कितनी बढ़ेगी?
$511,909 वॉल्यूम
31 जन, 2027
5.0%
9%
5.5%
7%
6.0%
6%
7.0%
5%
10.0%
4%
$511,909 वॉल्यूम
5.0%
$141,937 वॉल्यूम
9%
5.5%
$205,407 वॉल्यूम
7%
6.0%
$80,285 वॉल्यूम
6%
7.0%
$33,088 वॉल्यूम
5%
10.0%
$51,193 वॉल्यूम
4%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in an “Employment Situation Report” for a reference month in 2026 is greater than or equal to the listed percentage. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The relevant reports for this market are the Employment Situation Reports for January-December, 2026. This market may not resolve to “No” until the Employment Situation report for December 2026 is released. If no Employment Situation Report for December 2026 is released by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, however, this market will resolve based on all previously published data up to that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for each month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent U.S. labor market data show the unemployment rate holding at 4.1% in August 2026, with nonfarm payrolls rising 162,000 and initial claims remaining near historic lows around 206,000. Federal Reserve projections released September 16 lowered the median 2026 unemployment forecast to 4.1% from 4.3% in June, reflecting resilient hiring despite the FOMC raising its federal funds rate path to 4.1% amid firmer PCE inflation at 3.7%. Traders weigh these stable conditions and modest GDP growth expectations of 2.3% against risks from policy tightening and any future slowdown in consumer spending or sectors like leisure and hospitality. The next employment report on October 2 and upcoming FOMC meetings will provide key updates on whether the rate stays anchored near current levels.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in an “Employment Situation Report” for a reference month in 2026 is greater than or equal to the listed percentage. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The relevant reports for this market are the Employment Situation Reports for January-December, 2026. This market may not resolve to “No” until the Employment Situation report for December 2026 is released. If no Employment Situation Report for December 2026 is released by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, however, this market will resolve based on all previously published data up to that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for each month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The relevant reports for this market are the Employment Situation Reports for January-December, 2026. This market may not resolve to “No” until the Employment Situation report for December 2026 is released. If no Employment Situation Report for December 2026 is released by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, however, this market will resolve based on all previously published data up to that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for each month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 2, 2026, 1:53 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$511,909समाप्ति तिथि
1 फ़र, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jan 2, 2026, 1:53 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in an “Employment Situation Report” for a reference month in 2026 is greater than or equal to the listed percentage. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The relevant reports for this market are the Employment Situation Reports for January-December, 2026. This market may not resolve to “No” until the Employment Situation report for December 2026 is released. If no Employment Situation Report for December 2026 is released by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, however, this market will resolve based on all previously published data up to that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for each month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent U.S. labor market data show the unemployment rate holding at 4.1% in August 2026, with nonfarm payrolls rising 162,000 and initial claims remaining near historic lows around 206,000. Federal Reserve projections released September 16 lowered the median 2026 unemployment forecast to 4.1% from 4.3% in June, reflecting resilient hiring despite the FOMC raising its federal funds rate path to 4.1% amid firmer PCE inflation at 3.7%. Traders weigh these stable conditions and modest GDP growth expectations of 2.3% against risks from policy tightening and any future slowdown in consumer spending or sectors like leisure and hospitality. The next employment report on October 2 and upcoming FOMC meetings will provide key updates on whether the rate stays anchored near current levels.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in an “Employment Situation Report” for a reference month in 2026 is greater than or equal to the listed percentage. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The relevant reports for this market are the Employment Situation Reports for January-December, 2026. This market may not resolve to “No” until the Employment Situation report for December 2026 is released. If no Employment Situation Report for December 2026 is released by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, however, this market will resolve based on all previously published data up to that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for each month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The relevant reports for this market are the Employment Situation Reports for January-December, 2026. This market may not resolve to “No” until the Employment Situation report for December 2026 is released. If no Employment Situation Report for December 2026 is released by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, however, this market will resolve based on all previously published data up to that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for each month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
वॉल्यूम
$511,909समाप्ति तिथि
1 फ़र, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jan 2, 2026, 1:53 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...Recent U.S. labor market data show the unemployment rate holding at 4.1% in August 2026, with nonfarm payrolls rising 162,000 and initial claims remaining near historic lows around 206,000. Federal Reserve projections released September 16 lowered the median 2026 unemployment forecast to 4.1% from 4.3% in June, reflecting resilient hiring despite the FOMC raising its federal funds rate path to 4.1% amid firmer PCE inflation at 3.7%. Traders weigh these stable conditions and modest GDP growth expectations of 2.3% against risks from policy tightening and any future slowdown in consumer spending or sectors like leisure and hospitality. The next employment report on October 2 and upcoming FOMC meetings will provide key updates on whether the rate stays anchored near current levels.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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