Recent July 2026 employment data showed nonfarm payrolls declining by 23,000, below consensus, while the unemployment rate edged down to 4.1 percent amid a contracting labor force and participation rate at multi-year lows. This cooling dynamic, alongside FOMC projections centering near 4.3–4.5 percent for the year, shapes trader focus on whether softening demand or resilient growth will push the peak higher. Key upcoming releases include the September jobs report and September FOMC meeting, which could clarify monetary policy responses to inflation and labor trends amid forecasts ranging from 4.3 to 4.8 percent.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$481,362 वॉल्यूम
10 जन, 2026
5.0%
10%
5.5%
8%
6.0%
7%
7.0%
5%
10.0%
3%
$481,362 वॉल्यूम
5.0%
$123,066 वॉल्यूम
10%
5.5%
$200,575 वॉल्यूम
8%
6.0%
$75,518 वॉल्यूम
7%
7.0%
$31,207 वॉल्यूम
5%
10.0%
$50,996 वॉल्यूम
3%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in an “Employment Situation Report” for a reference month in 2026 is greater than or equal to the listed percentage. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The relevant reports for this market are the Employment Situation Reports for January-December, 2026. This market may not resolve to “No” until the Employment Situation report for December 2026 is released. If no Employment Situation Report for December 2026 is released by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, however, this market will resolve based on all previously published data up to that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for each month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent July 2026 employment data showed nonfarm payrolls declining by 23,000, below consensus, while the unemployment rate edged down to 4.1 percent amid a contracting labor force and participation rate at multi-year lows. This cooling dynamic, alongside FOMC projections centering near 4.3–4.5 percent for the year, shapes trader focus on whether softening demand or resilient growth will push the peak higher. Key upcoming releases include the September jobs report and September FOMC meeting, which could clarify monetary policy responses to inflation and labor trends amid forecasts ranging from 4.3 to 4.8 percent.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in an “Employment Situation Report” for a reference month in 2026 is greater than or equal to the listed percentage. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The relevant reports for this market are the Employment Situation Reports for January-December, 2026. This market may not resolve to “No” until the Employment Situation report for December 2026 is released. If no Employment Situation Report for December 2026 is released by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, however, this market will resolve based on all previously published data up to that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for each month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The relevant reports for this market are the Employment Situation Reports for January-December, 2026. This market may not resolve to “No” until the Employment Situation report for December 2026 is released. If no Employment Situation Report for December 2026 is released by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, however, this market will resolve based on all previously published data up to that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for each month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 2, 2026, 1:53 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$481,362समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 2, 2026, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in an “Employment Situation Report” for a reference month in 2026 is greater than or equal to the listed percentage. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The relevant reports for this market are the Employment Situation Reports for January-December, 2026. This market may not resolve to “No” until the Employment Situation report for December 2026 is released. If no Employment Situation Report for December 2026 is released by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, however, this market will resolve based on all previously published data up to that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for each month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent July 2026 employment data showed nonfarm payrolls declining by 23,000, below consensus, while the unemployment rate edged down to 4.1 percent amid a contracting labor force and participation rate at multi-year lows. This cooling dynamic, alongside FOMC projections centering near 4.3–4.5 percent for the year, shapes trader focus on whether softening demand or resilient growth will push the peak higher. Key upcoming releases include the September jobs report and September FOMC meeting, which could clarify monetary policy responses to inflation and labor trends amid forecasts ranging from 4.3 to 4.8 percent.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in an “Employment Situation Report” for a reference month in 2026 is greater than or equal to the listed percentage. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The relevant reports for this market are the Employment Situation Reports for January-December, 2026. This market may not resolve to “No” until the Employment Situation report for December 2026 is released. If no Employment Situation Report for December 2026 is released by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, however, this market will resolve based on all previously published data up to that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for each month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The relevant reports for this market are the Employment Situation Reports for January-December, 2026. This market may not resolve to “No” until the Employment Situation report for December 2026 is released. If no Employment Situation Report for December 2026 is released by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, however, this market will resolve based on all previously published data up to that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for each month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
वॉल्यूम
$481,362समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 2, 2026, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent July 2026 employment data showed nonfarm payrolls declining by 23,000, below consensus, while the unemployment rate edged down to 4.1 percent amid a contracting labor force and participation rate at multi-year lows. This cooling dynamic, alongside FOMC projections centering near 4.3–4.5 percent for the year, shapes trader focus on whether softening demand or resilient growth will push the peak higher. Key upcoming releases include the September jobs report and September FOMC meeting, which could clarify monetary policy responses to inflation and labor trends amid forecasts ranging from 4.3 to 4.8 percent.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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