Recent July 2026 data showing a 4.1% unemployment rate alongside 3.4% headline CPI have anchored trader sentiment toward a soft landing, with job losses of 23,000 reflecting labor market cooling without breaching the 5% threshold. Inflation's continued moderation below 3.5%, driven by easing energy and shelter components, reinforces the 53.5% implied probability for that outcome while keeping overheating at 40% amid residual upside risks from prior supply shocks. Stagflation and slack scenarios remain marginal at under 5% combined, as the data continue to price in resilient growth and contained price pressures through year-end.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाSoft Landing (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation <3.5%) 54%
Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%) 40%
Stagflation (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%) 4.4%
Slack (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation <3.5%) 1.3%
$67,343 वॉल्यूम
$67,343 वॉल्यूम
31 जन, 2027
Soft Landing (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)
54%
Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)
40%
Stagflation (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)
4%
Slack (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)
1%
Soft Landing (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation <3.5%) 54%
Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%) 40%
Stagflation (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%) 4.4%
Slack (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation <3.5%) 1.3%
$67,343 वॉल्यूम
$67,343 वॉल्यूम
31 जन, 2027
Soft Landing (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)
$30,763 वॉल्यूम
54%
Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)
$23,981 वॉल्यूम
40%
Stagflation (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)
$10,309 वॉल्यूम
4%
Slack (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)
$2,290 वॉल्यूम
1%
The unemployment rate is defined as the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed as a percent of the civilian labor force, denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation release. The inflation rate is defined as the 12-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U), before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Consumer Price Index release.
This market will resolve according to the unemployment rate and the inflation rate published for December 2026.
If either the December 2026 inflation rate or the December 2026 unemployment rate is not published by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the most recently published available value of the rate for a month prior to December 2026.
This market will resolve to “Soft Landing (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)” if the unemployment rate is less than 5.0% and the inflation rate is less than 3.5%.
This market will resolve to “Stagflation (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)” if the unemployment rate is greater than or equal to 5.0% and the inflation rate is greater than or equal to 3.5%.
This market will resolve to “Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)” if the unemployment rate is less than 5.0% and the inflation rate is greater than or equal to 3.5%.
This market will resolve to “Slack (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)” if the unemployment rate is greater than or equal to 5.0% and the inflation rate is less than 3.5%.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bureau of Labor Statistics, specifically its Employment Situation and Consumer Price Index releases.Recent July 2026 data showing a 4.1% unemployment rate alongside 3.4% headline CPI have anchored trader sentiment toward a soft landing, with job losses of 23,000 reflecting labor market cooling without breaching the 5% threshold. Inflation's continued moderation below 3.5%, driven by easing energy and shelter components, reinforces the 53.5% implied probability for that outcome while keeping overheating at 40% amid residual upside risks from prior supply shocks. Stagflation and slack scenarios remain marginal at under 5% combined, as the data continue to price in resilient growth and contained price pressures through year-end.
The unemployment rate is defined as the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed as a percent of the civilian labor force, denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation release. The inflation rate is defined as the 12-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U), before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Consumer Price Index release.
This market will resolve according to the unemployment rate and the inflation rate published for December 2026.
If either the December 2026 inflation rate or the December 2026 unemployment rate is not published by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the most recently published available value of the rate for a month prior to December 2026.
This market will resolve to “Soft Landing (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)” if the unemployment rate is less than 5.0% and the inflation rate is less than 3.5%.
This market will resolve to “Stagflation (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)” if the unemployment rate is greater than or equal to 5.0% and the inflation rate is greater than or equal to 3.5%.
This market will resolve to “Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)” if the unemployment rate is less than 5.0% and the inflation rate is greater than or equal to 3.5%.
This market will resolve to “Slack (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)” if the unemployment rate is greater than or equal to 5.0% and the inflation rate is less than 3.5%.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bureau of Labor Statistics, specifically its Employment Situation and Consumer Price Index releases.
This market will resolve according to the unemployment rate and the inflation rate published for December 2026.
If either the December 2026 inflation rate or the December 2026 unemployment rate is not published by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the most recently published available value of the rate for a month prior to December 2026.
This market will resolve to “Soft Landing (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)” if the unemployment rate is less than 5.0% and the inflation rate is less than 3.5%.
This market will resolve to “Stagflation (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)” if the unemployment rate is greater than or equal to 5.0% and the inflation rate is greater than or equal to 3.5%.
This market will resolve to “Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)” if the unemployment rate is less than 5.0% and the inflation rate is greater than or equal to 3.5%.
This market will resolve to “Slack (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)” if the unemployment rate is greater than or equal to 5.0% and the inflation rate is less than 3.5%.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bureau of Labor Statistics, specifically its Employment Situation and Consumer Price Index releases.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 24, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$67,343समाप्ति तिथि
31 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Apr 24, 2026, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The unemployment rate is defined as the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed as a percent of the civilian labor force, denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation release. The inflation rate is defined as the 12-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U), before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Consumer Price Index release.
This market will resolve according to the unemployment rate and the inflation rate published for December 2026.
If either the December 2026 inflation rate or the December 2026 unemployment rate is not published by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the most recently published available value of the rate for a month prior to December 2026.
This market will resolve to “Soft Landing (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)” if the unemployment rate is less than 5.0% and the inflation rate is less than 3.5%.
This market will resolve to “Stagflation (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)” if the unemployment rate is greater than or equal to 5.0% and the inflation rate is greater than or equal to 3.5%.
This market will resolve to “Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)” if the unemployment rate is less than 5.0% and the inflation rate is greater than or equal to 3.5%.
This market will resolve to “Slack (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)” if the unemployment rate is greater than or equal to 5.0% and the inflation rate is less than 3.5%.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bureau of Labor Statistics, specifically its Employment Situation and Consumer Price Index releases.Recent July 2026 data showing a 4.1% unemployment rate alongside 3.4% headline CPI have anchored trader sentiment toward a soft landing, with job losses of 23,000 reflecting labor market cooling without breaching the 5% threshold. Inflation's continued moderation below 3.5%, driven by easing energy and shelter components, reinforces the 53.5% implied probability for that outcome while keeping overheating at 40% amid residual upside risks from prior supply shocks. Stagflation and slack scenarios remain marginal at under 5% combined, as the data continue to price in resilient growth and contained price pressures through year-end.
The unemployment rate is defined as the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed as a percent of the civilian labor force, denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation release. The inflation rate is defined as the 12-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U), before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Consumer Price Index release.
This market will resolve according to the unemployment rate and the inflation rate published for December 2026.
If either the December 2026 inflation rate or the December 2026 unemployment rate is not published by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the most recently published available value of the rate for a month prior to December 2026.
This market will resolve to “Soft Landing (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)” if the unemployment rate is less than 5.0% and the inflation rate is less than 3.5%.
This market will resolve to “Stagflation (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)” if the unemployment rate is greater than or equal to 5.0% and the inflation rate is greater than or equal to 3.5%.
This market will resolve to “Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)” if the unemployment rate is less than 5.0% and the inflation rate is greater than or equal to 3.5%.
This market will resolve to “Slack (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)” if the unemployment rate is greater than or equal to 5.0% and the inflation rate is less than 3.5%.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bureau of Labor Statistics, specifically its Employment Situation and Consumer Price Index releases.
This market will resolve according to the unemployment rate and the inflation rate published for December 2026.
If either the December 2026 inflation rate or the December 2026 unemployment rate is not published by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the most recently published available value of the rate for a month prior to December 2026.
This market will resolve to “Soft Landing (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)” if the unemployment rate is less than 5.0% and the inflation rate is less than 3.5%.
This market will resolve to “Stagflation (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)” if the unemployment rate is greater than or equal to 5.0% and the inflation rate is greater than or equal to 3.5%.
This market will resolve to “Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)” if the unemployment rate is less than 5.0% and the inflation rate is greater than or equal to 3.5%.
This market will resolve to “Slack (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)” if the unemployment rate is greater than or equal to 5.0% and the inflation rate is less than 3.5%.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bureau of Labor Statistics, specifically its Employment Situation and Consumer Price Index releases.
वॉल्यूम
$67,343समाप्ति तिथि
31 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Apr 24, 2026, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent July 2026 data showing a 4.1% unemployment rate alongside 3.4% headline CPI have anchored trader sentiment toward a soft landing, with job losses of 23,000 reflecting labor market cooling without breaching the 5% threshold. Inflation's continued moderation below 3.5%, driven by easing energy and shelter components, reinforces the 53.5% implied probability for that outcome while keeping overheating at 40% amid residual upside risks from prior supply shocks. Stagflation and slack scenarios remain marginal at under 5% combined, as the data continue to price in resilient growth and contained price pressures through year-end.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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