Ongoing US sanctions enforcement and naval blockades have sharply curtailed Iranian crude exports since mid-2026, slashing foreign-currency inflows that normally support the rial and driving rapid depreciation amid elevated inflation and fiscal strain. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 2.0–3.5 million rials per USD because markets price in persistent export constraints offset by potential diplomatic openings or temporary waivers that could restore limited revenue flows before year-end. Further escalation in regional tensions or sustained production cuts would likely push rates higher, while verifiable progress on sanctions relief, resumed tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, or successful currency stabilization measures could anchor values nearer current levels.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया2.5 - 3.0M 27%
2.0 - 2.5M 25%
3.0 - 3.5M 25%
<2.0M 16%
$12,242 वॉल्यूम
$12,242 वॉल्यूम
<2.0M
16%
2.0 - 2.5M
25%
2.5 - 3.0M
27%
3.0 - 3.5M
25%
3.5 - 4.0M
8%
4.0M+
4%
2.5 - 3.0M 27%
2.0 - 2.5M 25%
3.0 - 3.5M 25%
<2.0M 16%
$12,242 वॉल्यूम
$12,242 वॉल्यूम
<2.0M
16%
2.0 - 2.5M
25%
2.5 - 3.0M
27%
3.0 - 3.5M
25%
3.5 - 4.0M
8%
4.0M+
4%
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 3, 2026, 6:23 PM ET
रिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
रिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing US sanctions enforcement and naval blockades have sharply curtailed Iranian crude exports since mid-2026, slashing foreign-currency inflows that normally support the rial and driving rapid depreciation amid elevated inflation and fiscal strain. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 2.0–3.5 million rials per USD because markets price in persistent export constraints offset by potential diplomatic openings or temporary waivers that could restore limited revenue flows before year-end. Further escalation in regional tensions or sustained production cuts would likely push rates higher, while verifiable progress on sanctions relief, resumed tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, or successful currency stabilization measures could anchor values nearer current levels.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया

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