Recent July final University of Michigan consumer sentiment rose sharply to 55.2 from 49.5 in June, its highest level since February, on broad improvements across demographics and a pullback in year-ahead inflation expectations to 4.2% from 4.6%. Traders appear to weigh whether this rebound—tied to cooler gasoline prices post-Iran conflict—extends into the preliminary August reading due August 14, or reverts amid still-elevated prices and sentiment remaining 11% below year-ago levels. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around the 52–57.9 range, reflecting uncertainty over labor-market stability, monetary-policy signals, and any fresh inflation data that could shift the index before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया55.0–57.9 41%
52.0–54.9 33%
<49.0 10.1%
58.0–60.9 10%
नया
नया
28 अग, 2026
<49.0
7%
49.0–51.9
6%
52.0–54.9
33%
55.0–57.9
41%
58.0–60.9
10%
61.0–63.9
6%
64.0+
2%
55.0–57.9 41%
52.0–54.9 33%
<49.0 10.1%
58.0–60.9 10%
नया
नया
28 अग, 2026
<49.0
$247 वॉल्यूम
7%
49.0–51.9
$293 वॉल्यूम
6%
52.0–54.9
$3,365 वॉल्यूम
33%
55.0–57.9
$1,170 वॉल्यूम
41%
58.0–60.9
$611 वॉल्यूम
10%
61.0–63.9
$163 वॉल्यूम
6%
64.0+
$219 वॉल्यूम
2%
This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for August 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for August 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for August 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on August 28, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July final University of Michigan consumer sentiment rose sharply to 55.2 from 49.5 in June, its highest level since February, on broad improvements across demographics and a pullback in year-ahead inflation expectations to 4.2% from 4.6%. Traders appear to weigh whether this rebound—tied to cooler gasoline prices post-Iran conflict—extends into the preliminary August reading due August 14, or reverts amid still-elevated prices and sentiment remaining 11% below year-ago levels. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around the 52–57.9 range, reflecting uncertainty over labor-market stability, monetary-policy signals, and any fresh inflation data that could shift the index before resolution.
This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for August 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for August 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for August 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on August 28, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for August 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for August 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on August 28, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 4, 2026, 6:16 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$6,068समाप्ति तिथि
28 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 4, 2026, 6:16 PM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for August 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for August 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for August 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on August 28, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July final University of Michigan consumer sentiment rose sharply to 55.2 from 49.5 in June, its highest level since February, on broad improvements across demographics and a pullback in year-ahead inflation expectations to 4.2% from 4.6%. Traders appear to weigh whether this rebound—tied to cooler gasoline prices post-Iran conflict—extends into the preliminary August reading due August 14, or reverts amid still-elevated prices and sentiment remaining 11% below year-ago levels. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around the 52–57.9 range, reflecting uncertainty over labor-market stability, monetary-policy signals, and any fresh inflation data that could shift the index before resolution.
This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for August 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for August 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for August 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on August 28, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for August 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for August 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on August 28, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
वॉल्यूम
$6,068समाप्ति तिथि
28 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 4, 2026, 6:16 PM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent July final University of Michigan consumer sentiment rose sharply to 55.2 from 49.5 in June, its highest level since February, on broad improvements across demographics and a pullback in year-ahead inflation expectations to 4.2% from 4.6%. Traders appear to weigh whether this rebound—tied to cooler gasoline prices post-Iran conflict—extends into the preliminary August reading due August 14, or reverts amid still-elevated prices and sentiment remaining 11% below year-ago levels. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around the 52–57.9 range, reflecting uncertainty over labor-market stability, monetary-policy signals, and any fresh inflation data that could shift the index before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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