Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 54.9% implied probability to Canada’s 2026 annual CPI falling in the 2.5–2.9% band, closely tracking the Bank of Canada’s upgraded April forecast of 2.3% average inflation—lifted from 2.0% due to persistent gasoline price surges from Middle East tensions, including the Iran conflict. March 2026 CPI accelerated to 2.4% year-over-year from 1.8%, fueled by energy costs, while core measures held steady near target, supporting the nearby 43.4% odds for 1.5–1.9%. Higher bands like 4.0%+ at 29.8% reflect tariff risks and oil volatility, with April CPI data—due imminently—poised as the next sentiment catalyst amid the 1–3% inflation-control range.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाकनाडा वार्षिक मुद्रास्फीति 2026
कनाडा वार्षिक मुद्रास्फीति 2026
2.5–2.9% 46.9%
3.5-3.9% 27.1%
3.0-3.4% 21.1%
2.0–2.4% 20.0%
$16,408 वॉल्यूम
$16,408 वॉल्यूम
18 जन, 2027
<1.0%
26%
1.0–1.4%
6%
1.5–1.9%
40%
2.0–2.4%
19%
2.5–2.9%
52%
3.0-3.4%
21%
3.5-3.9%
27%
4.0%+
30%
2.5–2.9% 46.9%
3.5-3.9% 27.1%
3.0-3.4% 21.1%
2.0–2.4% 20.0%
$16,408 वॉल्यूम
$16,408 वॉल्यूम
18 जन, 2027
<1.0%
$318 वॉल्यूम
26%
1.0–1.4%
$355 वॉल्यूम
6%
1.5–1.9%
$656 वॉल्यूम
40%
2.0–2.4%
$468 वॉल्यूम
19%
2.5–2.9%
$502 वॉल्यूम
52%
3.0-3.4%
$13,465 वॉल्यूम
21%
3.5-3.9%
$287 वॉल्यूम
27%
4.0%+
$357 वॉल्यूम
30%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 54.9% implied probability to Canada’s 2026 annual CPI falling in the 2.5–2.9% band, closely tracking the Bank of Canada’s upgraded April forecast of 2.3% average inflation—lifted from 2.0% due to persistent gasoline price surges from Middle East tensions, including the Iran conflict. March 2026 CPI accelerated to 2.4% year-over-year from 1.8%, fueled by energy costs, while core measures held steady near target, supporting the nearby 43.4% odds for 1.5–1.9%. Higher bands like 4.0%+ at 29.8% reflect tariff risks and oil volatility, with April CPI data—due imminently—poised as the next sentiment catalyst amid the 1–3% inflation-control range.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$16,408समाप्ति तिथि
18 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 54.9% implied probability to Canada’s 2026 annual CPI falling in the 2.5–2.9% band, closely tracking the Bank of Canada’s upgraded April forecast of 2.3% average inflation—lifted from 2.0% due to persistent gasoline price surges from Middle East tensions, including the Iran conflict. March 2026 CPI accelerated to 2.4% year-over-year from 1.8%, fueled by energy costs, while core measures held steady near target, supporting the nearby 43.4% odds for 1.5–1.9%. Higher bands like 4.0%+ at 29.8% reflect tariff risks and oil volatility, with April CPI data—due imminently—poised as the next sentiment catalyst amid the 1–3% inflation-control range.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
वॉल्यूम
$16,408समाप्ति तिथि
18 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 54.9% implied probability to Canada’s 2026 annual CPI falling in the 2.5–2.9% band, closely tracking the Bank of Canada’s upgraded April forecast of 2.3% average inflation—lifted from 2.0% due to persistent gasoline price surges from Middle East tensions, including the Iran conflict. March 2026 CPI accelerated to 2.4% year-over-year from 1.8%, fueled by energy costs, while core measures held steady near target, supporting the nearby 43.4% odds for 1.5–1.9%. Higher bands like 4.0%+ at 29.8% reflect tariff risks and oil volatility, with April CPI data—due imminently—poised as the next sentiment catalyst amid the 1–3% inflation-control range.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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