Recent below-target Japan core CPI readings, including 1.6% nationally in June and 1.9% for Tokyo in July 2026, combined with fading energy subsidy effects and subdued wage pass-through, have anchored trader sentiment near the ≤1.9% outcome at 51.7% implied probability. This edges out the 2.0-2.4% bin at 44.0% amid closely matched odds that reflect uncertainty over whether crude oil pressures and corporate price adjustments will lift the full-year average. Bank of Japan projections for fiscal 2026 core inflation near 2.5% contrast with persistent actual prints below the 2% target, while upcoming August data and labor market trends remain key swing factors for year-end resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया≤1.9% 51.8%
2.0-2.4% 44%
2.5-2.9% 1.3%
3.0-3.4% <1%
$36,520 वॉल्यूम
$36,520 वॉल्यूम
≤1.9%
52%
2.0-2.4%
44%
2.5-2.9%
1%
3.0-3.4%
1%
3.5-3.9%
<1%
4.0%+
<1%
≤1.9% 51.8%
2.0-2.4% 44%
2.5-2.9% 1.3%
3.0-3.4% <1%
$36,520 वॉल्यूम
$36,520 वॉल्यूम
≤1.9%
52%
2.0-2.4%
44%
2.5-2.9%
1%
3.0-3.4%
1%
3.5-3.9%
<1%
4.0%+
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
बाज़ार खुला: Jun 17, 2026, 7:25 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent below-target Japan core CPI readings, including 1.6% nationally in June and 1.9% for Tokyo in July 2026, combined with fading energy subsidy effects and subdued wage pass-through, have anchored trader sentiment near the ≤1.9% outcome at 51.7% implied probability. This edges out the 2.0-2.4% bin at 44.0% amid closely matched odds that reflect uncertainty over whether crude oil pressures and corporate price adjustments will lift the full-year average. Bank of Japan projections for fiscal 2026 core inflation near 2.5% contrast with persistent actual prints below the 2% target, while upcoming August data and labor market trends remain key swing factors for year-end resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया



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