The Bank of Japan's September 18 rate hike to 1.25%—its highest since 1995—combined with underlying CPI inflation near the 2% target and fiscal expansion under Prime Minister Takaichi, anchors trader expectations for further normalization. The 10-year JGB yield, currently near 2.98% after briefly touching 3.04% earlier in September, has climbed more than 130 basis points over the past year amid yen weakness, energy price pressures, and reduced monetary accommodation. Market-implied odds of 67.3% for a close above 3.0% by December 31 reflect this path, tempered by two dissenting board members signaling a potentially measured pace ahead. Key near-term catalysts include October inflation data and any additional policy signals before year-end.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया3.0%+ 67.3%
2.8-3.0% 17.6%
2.4-2.6% 6.5%
2.6-2.8% 3.0%
$29,873 वॉल्यूम
$29,873 वॉल्यूम
30 दिस, 2026
<2.0%
1%
2.0-2.2%
2%
2.2-2.4%
<1%
2.4-2.6%
6%
2.6-2.8%
3%
2.8-3.0%
18%
3.0%+
67%
3.0%+ 67.3%
2.8-3.0% 17.6%
2.4-2.6% 6.5%
2.6-2.8% 3.0%
$29,873 वॉल्यूम
$29,873 वॉल्यूम
30 दिस, 2026
<2.0%
$1,370 वॉल्यूम
1%
2.0-2.2%
$1,701 वॉल्यूम
2%
2.2-2.4%
$1,263 वॉल्यूम
<1%
2.4-2.6%
$2,562 वॉल्यूम
6%
2.6-2.8%
$2,556 वॉल्यूम
3%
2.8-3.0%
$8,716 वॉल्यूम
18%
3.0%+
$11,705 वॉल्यूम
67%
This market will resolve according to the 10-year Japanese government bond (JGB) yield on the last reported day of 2026, as reported by the Japanese Ministry of Finance.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Japanese Ministry of Finance’s “Interest Rate” data for Japanese Government Bonds found at (https://www.mof.go.jp/english/policy/jgbs/reference/interest_rate/index.htm). The resolution will be based on the value listed in the column labelled “10Y” in row corresponding to the latest reported date of 2026.
The latest reported date will be confirmed once the Japanese Ministry of Finance publishes its first 10-year government bond yield for a 2027 date. The last 2026 date published before that point will be treated as the final reported date of 2026. If the Ministry of Finance has not published any 2027 yield data for the specified date by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve using the most recent 2026 yield published as of that date.The Bank of Japan's September 18 rate hike to 1.25%—its highest since 1995—combined with underlying CPI inflation near the 2% target and fiscal expansion under Prime Minister Takaichi, anchors trader expectations for further normalization. The 10-year JGB yield, currently near 2.98% after briefly touching 3.04% earlier in September, has climbed more than 130 basis points over the past year amid yen weakness, energy price pressures, and reduced monetary accommodation. Market-implied odds of 67.3% for a close above 3.0% by December 31 reflect this path, tempered by two dissenting board members signaling a potentially measured pace ahead. Key near-term catalysts include October inflation data and any additional policy signals before year-end.
This market will resolve according to the 10-year Japanese government bond (JGB) yield on the last reported day of 2026, as reported by the Japanese Ministry of Finance.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Japanese Ministry of Finance’s “Interest Rate” data for Japanese Government Bonds found at (https://www.mof.go.jp/english/policy/jgbs/reference/interest_rate/index.htm). The resolution will be based on the value listed in the column labelled “10Y” in row corresponding to the latest reported date of 2026.
The latest reported date will be confirmed once the Japanese Ministry of Finance publishes its first 10-year government bond yield for a 2027 date. The last 2026 date published before that point will be treated as the final reported date of 2026. If the Ministry of Finance has not published any 2027 yield data for the specified date by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve using the most recent 2026 yield published as of that date.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Japanese Ministry of Finance’s “Interest Rate” data for Japanese Government Bonds found at (https://www.mof.go.jp/english/policy/jgbs/reference/interest_rate/index.htm). The resolution will be based on the value listed in the column labelled “10Y” in row corresponding to the latest reported date of 2026.
The latest reported date will be confirmed once the Japanese Ministry of Finance publishes its first 10-year government bond yield for a 2027 date. The last 2026 date published before that point will be treated as the final reported date of 2026. If the Ministry of Finance has not published any 2027 yield data for the specified date by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve using the most recent 2026 yield published as of that date.
बाज़ार खुला: Jun 10, 2026, 4:35 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$29,873समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jun 10, 2026, 4:35 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the 10-year Japanese government bond (JGB) yield on the last reported day of 2026, as reported by the Japanese Ministry of Finance.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Japanese Ministry of Finance’s “Interest Rate” data for Japanese Government Bonds found at (https://www.mof.go.jp/english/policy/jgbs/reference/interest_rate/index.htm). The resolution will be based on the value listed in the column labelled “10Y” in row corresponding to the latest reported date of 2026.
The latest reported date will be confirmed once the Japanese Ministry of Finance publishes its first 10-year government bond yield for a 2027 date. The last 2026 date published before that point will be treated as the final reported date of 2026. If the Ministry of Finance has not published any 2027 yield data for the specified date by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve using the most recent 2026 yield published as of that date.The Bank of Japan's September 18 rate hike to 1.25%—its highest since 1995—combined with underlying CPI inflation near the 2% target and fiscal expansion under Prime Minister Takaichi, anchors trader expectations for further normalization. The 10-year JGB yield, currently near 2.98% after briefly touching 3.04% earlier in September, has climbed more than 130 basis points over the past year amid yen weakness, energy price pressures, and reduced monetary accommodation. Market-implied odds of 67.3% for a close above 3.0% by December 31 reflect this path, tempered by two dissenting board members signaling a potentially measured pace ahead. Key near-term catalysts include October inflation data and any additional policy signals before year-end.
This market will resolve according to the 10-year Japanese government bond (JGB) yield on the last reported day of 2026, as reported by the Japanese Ministry of Finance.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Japanese Ministry of Finance’s “Interest Rate” data for Japanese Government Bonds found at (https://www.mof.go.jp/english/policy/jgbs/reference/interest_rate/index.htm). The resolution will be based on the value listed in the column labelled “10Y” in row corresponding to the latest reported date of 2026.
The latest reported date will be confirmed once the Japanese Ministry of Finance publishes its first 10-year government bond yield for a 2027 date. The last 2026 date published before that point will be treated as the final reported date of 2026. If the Ministry of Finance has not published any 2027 yield data for the specified date by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve using the most recent 2026 yield published as of that date.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Japanese Ministry of Finance’s “Interest Rate” data for Japanese Government Bonds found at (https://www.mof.go.jp/english/policy/jgbs/reference/interest_rate/index.htm). The resolution will be based on the value listed in the column labelled “10Y” in row corresponding to the latest reported date of 2026.
The latest reported date will be confirmed once the Japanese Ministry of Finance publishes its first 10-year government bond yield for a 2027 date. The last 2026 date published before that point will be treated as the final reported date of 2026. If the Ministry of Finance has not published any 2027 yield data for the specified date by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve using the most recent 2026 yield published as of that date.
वॉल्यूम
$29,873समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jun 10, 2026, 4:35 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The Bank of Japan's September 18 rate hike to 1.25%—its highest since 1995—combined with underlying CPI inflation near the 2% target and fiscal expansion under Prime Minister Takaichi, anchors trader expectations for further normalization. The 10-year JGB yield, currently near 2.98% after briefly touching 3.04% earlier in September, has climbed more than 130 basis points over the past year amid yen weakness, energy price pressures, and reduced monetary accommodation. Market-implied odds of 67.3% for a close above 3.0% by December 31 reflect this path, tempered by two dissenting board members signaling a potentially measured pace ahead. Key near-term catalysts include October inflation data and any additional policy signals before year-end.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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