Recent Japan core-core CPI readings have eased to 1.7% YoY in June 2026, reflecting the impact of government energy subsidies and softer commodity prices that have tempered headline pressures below the Bank of Japan’s 2% target. Trader sentiment for the 2026 outcome remains tightly balanced between the 2.0-2.4% and ≤1.9% brackets because underlying demand-driven inflation stays supported by steady service prices and wage gains, while a weaker yen and potential oil volatility introduce upside risks. The BOJ’s latest outlook and July meeting minutes highlight vigilance on overshoot potential, with market-implied odds pricing in continued normalization of monetary policy without aggressive acceleration. Upcoming monthly releases and any revisions to fiscal 2026 forecasts will likely serve as key catalysts for shifts in these probabilities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाJapan Core-Core CPI YoY in 2026
2.0-2.4% 54%
≤1.9% 47%
2.5-2.9% 1.4%
3.0-3.4% 1.4%
$36,663 वॉल्यूम
$36,663 वॉल्यूम
≤1.9%
47%
2.0-2.4%
54%
2.5-2.9%
1%
3.0-3.4%
1%
3.5-3.9%
<1%
4.0%+
1%
2.0-2.4% 54%
≤1.9% 47%
2.5-2.9% 1.4%
3.0-3.4% 1.4%
$36,663 वॉल्यूम
$36,663 वॉल्यूम
≤1.9%
47%
2.0-2.4%
54%
2.5-2.9%
1%
3.0-3.4%
1%
3.5-3.9%
<1%
4.0%+
1%
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
बाज़ार खुला: Jun 17, 2026, 7:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Japan core-core CPI readings have eased to 1.7% YoY in June 2026, reflecting the impact of government energy subsidies and softer commodity prices that have tempered headline pressures below the Bank of Japan’s 2% target. Trader sentiment for the 2026 outcome remains tightly balanced between the 2.0-2.4% and ≤1.9% brackets because underlying demand-driven inflation stays supported by steady service prices and wage gains, while a weaker yen and potential oil volatility introduce upside risks. The BOJ’s latest outlook and July meeting minutes highlight vigilance on overshoot potential, with market-implied odds pricing in continued normalization of monetary policy without aggressive acceleration. Upcoming monthly releases and any revisions to fiscal 2026 forecasts will likely serve as key catalysts for shifts in these probabilities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया


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