Recent monthly CPI readings, including the 4.45% July 2026 print driven by elevated energy and food prices amid Middle East conflict pressures on crude and the rupee, have anchored trader expectations for India's full-year 2026 inflation above 4.5%. The RBI's latest FY27 projection of around 5.0% reflects persistent food and fuel risks alongside a still-benign core, while policy rates remain on hold at 5.25% as growth concerns temper hawkish shifts. With monthly prints trending near or above 4.5% and base effects turning less favorable later in the year, market-implied odds heavily favor the 4.50%+ outcome over lower brackets.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया4.50%+ 80%
3.75% से 4.49% 13.3%
<0.75% 3.8%
3.00% से 3.74% 2.9%
$78,319 वॉल्यूम
$78,319 वॉल्यूम
12 जन, 2027
<0.75%
4%
0.75% से 1.49%
<1%
1.50% से 2.24%
1%
2.25% से 2.99%
1%
3.00% से 3.74%
3%
3.75% से 4.49%
13%
4.50%+
80%
4.50%+ 80%
3.75% से 4.49% 13.3%
<0.75% 3.8%
3.00% से 3.74% 2.9%
$78,319 वॉल्यूम
$78,319 वॉल्यूम
12 जन, 2027
<0.75%
$1,769 वॉल्यूम
4%
0.75% से 1.49%
$1,191 वॉल्यूम
<1%
1.50% से 2.24%
$1,265 वॉल्यूम
1%
2.25% से 2.99%
$24,989 वॉल्यूम
1%
3.00% से 3.74%
$2,081 वॉल्यूम
3%
3.75% से 4.49%
$29,540 वॉल्यूम
13%
4.50%+
$17,483 वॉल्यूम
80%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdfRecent monthly CPI readings, including the 4.45% July 2026 print driven by elevated energy and food prices amid Middle East conflict pressures on crude and the rupee, have anchored trader expectations for India's full-year 2026 inflation above 4.5%. The RBI's latest FY27 projection of around 5.0% reflects persistent food and fuel risks alongside a still-benign core, while policy rates remain on hold at 5.25% as growth concerns temper hawkish shifts. With monthly prints trending near or above 4.5% and base effects turning less favorable later in the year, market-implied odds heavily favor the 4.50%+ outcome over lower brackets.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
बाज़ार खुला: Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$78,319समाप्ति तिथि
12 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdfRecent monthly CPI readings, including the 4.45% July 2026 print driven by elevated energy and food prices amid Middle East conflict pressures on crude and the rupee, have anchored trader expectations for India's full-year 2026 inflation above 4.5%. The RBI's latest FY27 projection of around 5.0% reflects persistent food and fuel risks alongside a still-benign core, while policy rates remain on hold at 5.25% as growth concerns temper hawkish shifts. With monthly prints trending near or above 4.5% and base effects turning less favorable later in the year, market-implied odds heavily favor the 4.50%+ outcome over lower brackets.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
वॉल्यूम
$78,319समाप्ति तिथि
12 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent monthly CPI readings, including the 4.45% July 2026 print driven by elevated energy and food prices amid Middle East conflict pressures on crude and the rupee, have anchored trader expectations for India's full-year 2026 inflation above 4.5%. The RBI's latest FY27 projection of around 5.0% reflects persistent food and fuel risks alongside a still-benign core, while policy rates remain on hold at 5.25% as growth concerns temper hawkish shifts. With monthly prints trending near or above 4.5% and base effects turning less favorable later in the year, market-implied odds heavily favor the 4.50%+ outcome over lower brackets.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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