Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 81% implied probability for India annual CPI inflation exceeding 4.50% in 2026, driven by the Reserve Bank of India's April 2026 Monetary Policy Committee upward revision to a 4.6% average for FY27 (April 2026–March 2027), citing West Asia tensions, surging crude oil prices, and recent petrol/diesel hikes of Rs 3 per litre. April 2026 CPI edged higher to 3.48% year-over-year from 3.40% in March, with food and core components accelerating amid WPI inflation at 8.3%, signaling persistent upside risks beyond the RBI's 4% target within its 2–6% band. Lower bands below 3.75% garner under 10% odds each, reflecting limited support for disinflation amid elevated commodity input costs; watch May CPI data and June MPC for trajectory shifts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया4.50%+ 82%
2.25% से 2.99% 8.2%
<0.75% 4.0%
0.75% से 1.49% 1.9%
$60,464 वॉल्यूम
$60,464 वॉल्यूम
12 जन, 2027
<0.75%
4%
0.75% से 1.49%
2%
1.50% से 2.24%
9%
2.25% से 2.99%
8%
3.00% से 3.74%
8%
3.75% से 4.49%
1%
4.50%+
82%
4.50%+ 82%
2.25% से 2.99% 8.2%
<0.75% 4.0%
0.75% से 1.49% 1.9%
$60,464 वॉल्यूम
$60,464 वॉल्यूम
12 जन, 2027
<0.75%
$806 वॉल्यूम
4%
0.75% से 1.49%
$525 वॉल्यूम
2%
1.50% से 2.24%
$415 वॉल्यूम
9%
2.25% से 2.99%
$23,739 वॉल्यूम
8%
3.00% से 3.74%
$517 वॉल्यूम
8%
3.75% से 4.49%
$23,208 वॉल्यूम
1%
4.50%+
$11,254 वॉल्यूम
82%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdfTrader consensus on Polymarket prices an 81% implied probability for India annual CPI inflation exceeding 4.50% in 2026, driven by the Reserve Bank of India's April 2026 Monetary Policy Committee upward revision to a 4.6% average for FY27 (April 2026–March 2027), citing West Asia tensions, surging crude oil prices, and recent petrol/diesel hikes of Rs 3 per litre. April 2026 CPI edged higher to 3.48% year-over-year from 3.40% in March, with food and core components accelerating amid WPI inflation at 8.3%, signaling persistent upside risks beyond the RBI's 4% target within its 2–6% band. Lower bands below 3.75% garner under 10% odds each, reflecting limited support for disinflation amid elevated commodity input costs; watch May CPI data and June MPC for trajectory shifts.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
बाज़ार खुला: Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$60,464समाप्ति तिथि
12 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdfTrader consensus on Polymarket prices an 81% implied probability for India annual CPI inflation exceeding 4.50% in 2026, driven by the Reserve Bank of India's April 2026 Monetary Policy Committee upward revision to a 4.6% average for FY27 (April 2026–March 2027), citing West Asia tensions, surging crude oil prices, and recent petrol/diesel hikes of Rs 3 per litre. April 2026 CPI edged higher to 3.48% year-over-year from 3.40% in March, with food and core components accelerating amid WPI inflation at 8.3%, signaling persistent upside risks beyond the RBI's 4% target within its 2–6% band. Lower bands below 3.75% garner under 10% odds each, reflecting limited support for disinflation amid elevated commodity input costs; watch May CPI data and June MPC for trajectory shifts.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
वॉल्यूम
$60,464समाप्ति तिथि
12 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 81% implied probability for India annual CPI inflation exceeding 4.50% in 2026, driven by the Reserve Bank of India's April 2026 Monetary Policy Committee upward revision to a 4.6% average for FY27 (April 2026–March 2027), citing West Asia tensions, surging crude oil prices, and recent petrol/diesel hikes of Rs 3 per litre. April 2026 CPI edged higher to 3.48% year-over-year from 3.40% in March, with food and core components accelerating amid WPI inflation at 8.3%, signaling persistent upside risks beyond the RBI's 4% target within its 2–6% band. Lower bands below 3.75% garner under 10% odds each, reflecting limited support for disinflation amid elevated commodity input costs; watch May CPI data and June MPC for trajectory shifts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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