The NDA coalition government led by Prime Minister Narendra Modi maintains a stable majority in the Lok Sabha, with no recent no-confidence motions or snap election signals as of mid-May 2026, anchoring trader consensus at 89.6% for "No" on Modi exiting office by year-end. BJP's strong performance in April 2026 state assembly elections, including gains in West Bengal that ousted key opposition strongholds, has bolstered perceptions of national dominance despite a narrow 2024 mandate. A defeated Constitution Amendment Bill earlier in April marked a rare legislative setback but failed to trigger coalition fractures among allies like TDP and JD(U). With the full term extending to 2029 and no major disruptions, traders see limited paths to an early leadership change barring unforeseen scandals or economic shocks.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयामोदी 31 दिसंबर, 2026 तक बाहर हो जाएंगे?
मोदी 31 दिसंबर, 2026 तक बाहर हो जाएंगे?
हाँ
$32,087 वॉल्यूम
$32,087 वॉल्यूम
हाँ
$32,087 वॉल्यूम
$32,087 वॉल्यूम
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The NDA coalition government led by Prime Minister Narendra Modi maintains a stable majority in the Lok Sabha, with no recent no-confidence motions or snap election signals as of mid-May 2026, anchoring trader consensus at 89.6% for "No" on Modi exiting office by year-end. BJP's strong performance in April 2026 state assembly elections, including gains in West Bengal that ousted key opposition strongholds, has bolstered perceptions of national dominance despite a narrow 2024 mandate. A defeated Constitution Amendment Bill earlier in April marked a rare legislative setback but failed to trigger coalition fractures among allies like TDP and JD(U). With the full term extending to 2029 and no major disruptions, traders see limited paths to an early leadership change barring unforeseen scandals or economic shocks.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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