Recent Q2 2026 euro area GDP data showing 0.4% quarter-on-quarter and 1.0% year-on-year expansion, alongside consensus forecasts clustered at 0.8–0.9% for the full year, underpin the 78.3% market-implied probability for 0–1.0% annual growth. Energy price shocks tied to Middle East developments have elevated ECB staff projections for 2026 inflation to around 3.0%, prompting a June rate hike and subsequent holds at the deposit facility rate of 2.25%. This restrictive stance, combined with downward revisions from the IMF, OECD, and Vanguard, reflects downside risks to domestic demand and trade that limit upside scenarios. Markets price limited odds for outcomes above 2.0% given resilient but subdued labor markets and absent strong fiscal offsets, while contraction risks remain contained at 3.2%. Key upcoming data releases and ECB communications through year-end will influence any shifts in these aggregated trader probabilities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाEurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026
Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026
0-1.0% 79.0%
1.0-2.0% 16%
4.0-5.0% 3.5%
<0% 3.4%
$30,355 वॉल्यूम
$30,355 वॉल्यूम
31 जन, 2027
<0%
3%
0-1.0%
79%
1.0-2.0%
16%
2.0-3.0%
1%
3.0-4.0%
<1%
4.0-5.0%
3%
5.0-6.0%
<1%
6.0-7.0%
<1%
7.0%+
<1%
0-1.0% 79.0%
1.0-2.0% 16%
4.0-5.0% 3.5%
<0% 3.4%
$30,355 वॉल्यूम
$30,355 वॉल्यूम
31 जन, 2027
<0%
$1,672 वॉल्यूम
3%
0-1.0%
$11,512 वॉल्यूम
79%
1.0-2.0%
$7,131 वॉल्यूम
16%
2.0-3.0%
$1,180 वॉल्यूम
1%
3.0-4.0%
$1,096 वॉल्यूम
<1%
4.0-5.0%
$2,203 वॉल्यूम
3%
5.0-6.0%
$1,185 वॉल्यूम
<1%
6.0-7.0%
$2,648 वॉल्यूम
<1%
7.0%+
$1,728 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Q2 2026 euro area GDP data showing 0.4% quarter-on-quarter and 1.0% year-on-year expansion, alongside consensus forecasts clustered at 0.8–0.9% for the full year, underpin the 78.3% market-implied probability for 0–1.0% annual growth. Energy price shocks tied to Middle East developments have elevated ECB staff projections for 2026 inflation to around 3.0%, prompting a June rate hike and subsequent holds at the deposit facility rate of 2.25%. This restrictive stance, combined with downward revisions from the IMF, OECD, and Vanguard, reflects downside risks to domestic demand and trade that limit upside scenarios. Markets price limited odds for outcomes above 2.0% given resilient but subdued labor markets and absent strong fiscal offsets, while contraction risks remain contained at 3.2%. Key upcoming data releases and ECB communications through year-end will influence any shifts in these aggregated trader probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 21, 2026, 7:29 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$30,355समाप्ति तिथि
31 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jan 21, 2026, 7:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Q2 2026 euro area GDP data showing 0.4% quarter-on-quarter and 1.0% year-on-year expansion, alongside consensus forecasts clustered at 0.8–0.9% for the full year, underpin the 78.3% market-implied probability for 0–1.0% annual growth. Energy price shocks tied to Middle East developments have elevated ECB staff projections for 2026 inflation to around 3.0%, prompting a June rate hike and subsequent holds at the deposit facility rate of 2.25%. This restrictive stance, combined with downward revisions from the IMF, OECD, and Vanguard, reflects downside risks to domestic demand and trade that limit upside scenarios. Markets price limited odds for outcomes above 2.0% given resilient but subdued labor markets and absent strong fiscal offsets, while contraction risks remain contained at 3.2%. Key upcoming data releases and ECB communications through year-end will influence any shifts in these aggregated trader probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$30,355समाप्ति तिथि
31 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jan 21, 2026, 7:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent Q2 2026 euro area GDP data showing 0.4% quarter-on-quarter and 1.0% year-on-year expansion, alongside consensus forecasts clustered at 0.8–0.9% for the full year, underpin the 78.3% market-implied probability for 0–1.0% annual growth. Energy price shocks tied to Middle East developments have elevated ECB staff projections for 2026 inflation to around 3.0%, prompting a June rate hike and subsequent holds at the deposit facility rate of 2.25%. This restrictive stance, combined with downward revisions from the IMF, OECD, and Vanguard, reflects downside risks to domestic demand and trade that limit upside scenarios. Markets price limited odds for outcomes above 2.0% given resilient but subdued labor markets and absent strong fiscal offsets, while contraction risks remain contained at 3.2%. Key upcoming data releases and ECB communications through year-end will influence any shifts in these aggregated trader probabilities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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