Recent polling averages place incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva at 38–44% in first-round voting intention for the October 4, 2026 election, ahead of Flávio Bolsonaro at 28–40%, producing typical projected margins of 5–15 points. Lula’s position draws support from targeted economic measures including expanded debt-relief programs and temporary fuel subsidies, alongside his incumbency advantage. Flávio Bolsonaro, formally nominated by the Liberal Party in late July after his father’s endorsement, recovered from earlier mid-year setbacks tied to audio disclosures and family tensions but trails in head-to-head surveys. Right-wing vote fragmentation among lower-polling contenders further concentrates support behind the two frontrunners. Trader pricing on first-round victory margins reflects these consistent survey gaps and the absence of major late shifts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाब्राज़ील राष्ट्रपति चुनाव का पहला दौर: जीत का अंतर
ब्राज़ील राष्ट्रपति चुनाव का पहला दौर: जीत का अंतर
लूला दा सिल्वा 5-10% 38%
लूला दा सिल्वा 10-15% 26.8%
लूला दा सिल्वा <5% 21%
फ्लावियो बोलसोनारो 5-10% 9.1%
$323,323 वॉल्यूम
$323,323 वॉल्यूम
4 अक्टू, 2026
लूला दा सिल्वा 15%+
5%
लूला दा सिल्वा 10-15%
27%
लूला दा सिल्वा 5-10%
38%
लूला दा सिल्वा <5%
21%
फ्लावियो बोल्सोनारो 10%+
4%
फ्लावियो बोलसोनारो 5-10%
7%
फ़्लावियो बोल्सोनारो <5%
6%
रेनेन सैंटोस विजय
1%
तार्सीसियो डी फ्रीतास की जीत
<1%
रातिन्हो जूनियर की विजय
1%
अन्य
1%
लूला दा सिल्वा 5-10% 38%
लूला दा सिल्वा 10-15% 26.8%
लूला दा सिल्वा <5% 21%
फ्लावियो बोलसोनारो 5-10% 9.1%
$323,323 वॉल्यूम
$323,323 वॉल्यूम
4 अक्टू, 2026
लूला दा सिल्वा 15%+
$12,152 वॉल्यूम
5%
लूला दा सिल्वा 10-15%
$26,843 वॉल्यूम
27%
लूला दा सिल्वा 5-10%
$18,154 वॉल्यूम
38%
लूला दा सिल्वा <5%
$19,690 वॉल्यूम
21%
फ्लावियो बोल्सोनारो 10%+
$6,355 वॉल्यूम
4%
फ्लावियो बोलसोनारो 5-10%
$6,104 वॉल्यूम
7%
फ़्लावियो बोल्सोनारो <5%
$10,490 वॉल्यूम
6%
रेनेन सैंटोस विजय
$210,825 वॉल्यूम
1%
तार्सीसियो डी फ्रीतास की जीत
$3,532 वॉल्यूम
<1%
रातिन्हो जूनियर की विजय
$4,155 वॉल्यूम
1%
अन्य
$5,022 वॉल्यूम
1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the next Brazil Presidential Election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the vote count has been made official.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent polling averages place incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva at 38–44% in first-round voting intention for the October 4, 2026 election, ahead of Flávio Bolsonaro at 28–40%, producing typical projected margins of 5–15 points. Lula’s position draws support from targeted economic measures including expanded debt-relief programs and temporary fuel subsidies, alongside his incumbency advantage. Flávio Bolsonaro, formally nominated by the Liberal Party in late July after his father’s endorsement, recovered from earlier mid-year setbacks tied to audio disclosures and family tensions but trails in head-to-head surveys. Right-wing vote fragmentation among lower-polling contenders further concentrates support behind the two frontrunners. Trader pricing on first-round victory margins reflects these consistent survey gaps and the absence of major late shifts.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the next Brazil Presidential Election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the vote count has been made official.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the next Brazil Presidential Election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the vote count has been made official.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
बाज़ार खुला: Feb 11, 2026, 5:44 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$323,323समाप्ति तिथि
4 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Feb 11, 2026, 5:44 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the next Brazil Presidential Election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the vote count has been made official.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent polling averages place incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva at 38–44% in first-round voting intention for the October 4, 2026 election, ahead of Flávio Bolsonaro at 28–40%, producing typical projected margins of 5–15 points. Lula’s position draws support from targeted economic measures including expanded debt-relief programs and temporary fuel subsidies, alongside his incumbency advantage. Flávio Bolsonaro, formally nominated by the Liberal Party in late July after his father’s endorsement, recovered from earlier mid-year setbacks tied to audio disclosures and family tensions but trails in head-to-head surveys. Right-wing vote fragmentation among lower-polling contenders further concentrates support behind the two frontrunners. Trader pricing on first-round victory margins reflects these consistent survey gaps and the absence of major late shifts.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the next Brazil Presidential Election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the vote count has been made official.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the next Brazil Presidential Election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the vote count has been made official.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
वॉल्यूम
$323,323समाप्ति तिथि
4 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Feb 11, 2026, 5:44 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling averages place incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva at 38–44% in first-round voting intention for the October 4, 2026 election, ahead of Flávio Bolsonaro at 28–40%, producing typical projected margins of 5–15 points. Lula’s position draws support from targeted economic measures including expanded debt-relief programs and temporary fuel subsidies, alongside his incumbency advantage. Flávio Bolsonaro, formally nominated by the Liberal Party in late July after his father’s endorsement, recovered from earlier mid-year setbacks tied to audio disclosures and family tensions but trails in head-to-head surveys. Right-wing vote fragmentation among lower-polling contenders further concentrates support behind the two frontrunners. Trader pricing on first-round victory margins reflects these consistent survey gaps and the absence of major late shifts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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