Chen Ting-fei holds a commanding position in the Tainan mayoral race as the Democratic Progressive Party nominee, reflecting the city’s sustained DPP dominance since the late 1990s and her consistent double-digit leads in recent polls and AI simulations. She secured the nomination after defeating fellow legislator Lin Chun-hsien in the party primary and has emphasized rural welfare, medical access, and housing initiatives. KMT candidate Hsieh Lung-chieh, the main challenger, focuses on affordable housing and senior care while seeking to erode the long-standing green-camp advantage ahead of the November 28 vote. Televised policy sessions scheduled for mid-November provide limited remaining opportunities for shifts. Trader pricing aligns with structural factors including Tainan’s electoral history and Chen’s prior victories over Hsieh, though late developments such as turnout surges or unforeseen controversies could still influence the final result.