Ricardo Ferraço (MDB), the current governor who assumed office in April 2026 after Renato Casagrande’s resignation to run for Senate, holds the leading position in the Espírito Santo gubernatorial race at 62.5% implied probability. Recent polling from late August and early September, including Real Time Big Data and Quaest surveys, shows Ferraço ahead in first-round scenarios (typically 35-43%) and favored in runoff matchups against main challenger Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos), the former Vitória mayor at 34.5%. Pazolini’s support stems from his municipal record and party coalition, while other registered candidates such as Helder Salomão (PT) register lower single-digit shares. The first-round vote on October 4 and potential runoff on October 25 remain the key resolution triggers, with Ferraço’s incumbency and state management focus providing the primary edge reflected in trader pricing.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयारिकार्डो फेरासो 64%
लोरेन्ज़ो पाजोलिनी 36%
सेरजियो विदिगल <1%
अर्नाल्दिन्हो बोर्गो <1%
$40,321 वॉल्यूम
$40,321 वॉल्यूम
4 अक्टू, 2026
रिकार्डो फेरासो
64%
लोरेन्ज़ो पाजोलिनी
36%
सेरजियो विदिगल
<1%
अर्नाल्दिन्हो बोर्गो
<1%
यूक्लेरियो सम्पायो
<1%
रिकार्डो फेरासो 64%
लोरेन्ज़ो पाजोलिनी 36%
सेरजियो विदिगल <1%
अर्नाल्दिन्हो बोर्गो <1%
$40,321 वॉल्यूम
$40,321 वॉल्यूम
4 अक्टू, 2026
रिकार्डो फेरासो
$14,496 वॉल्यूम
64%
लोरेन्ज़ो पाजोलिनी
$13,944 वॉल्यूम
36%
सेरजियो विदिगल
$3,569 वॉल्यूम
<1%
अर्नाल्दिन्हो बोर्गो
$4,885 वॉल्यूम
<1%
यूक्लेरियो सम्पायो
$3,428 वॉल्यूम
<1%
The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ricardo Ferraço (MDB), the current governor who assumed office in April 2026 after Renato Casagrande’s resignation to run for Senate, holds the leading position in the Espírito Santo gubernatorial race at 62.5% implied probability. Recent polling from late August and early September, including Real Time Big Data and Quaest surveys, shows Ferraço ahead in first-round scenarios (typically 35-43%) and favored in runoff matchups against main challenger Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos), the former Vitória mayor at 34.5%. Pazolini’s support stems from his municipal record and party coalition, while other registered candidates such as Helder Salomão (PT) register lower single-digit shares. The first-round vote on October 4 and potential runoff on October 25 remain the key resolution triggers, with Ferraço’s incumbency and state management focus providing the primary edge reflected in trader pricing.
The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
बाज़ार खुला: Jun 12, 2026, 10:41 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$40,321समाप्ति तिथि
5 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jun 12, 2026, 10:41 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ricardo Ferraço (MDB), the current governor who assumed office in April 2026 after Renato Casagrande’s resignation to run for Senate, holds the leading position in the Espírito Santo gubernatorial race at 62.5% implied probability. Recent polling from late August and early September, including Real Time Big Data and Quaest surveys, shows Ferraço ahead in first-round scenarios (typically 35-43%) and favored in runoff matchups against main challenger Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos), the former Vitória mayor at 34.5%. Pazolini’s support stems from his municipal record and party coalition, while other registered candidates such as Helder Salomão (PT) register lower single-digit shares. The first-round vote on October 4 and potential runoff on October 25 remain the key resolution triggers, with Ferraço’s incumbency and state management focus providing the primary edge reflected in trader pricing.
The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
वॉल्यूम
$40,321समाप्ति तिथि
5 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jun 12, 2026, 10:41 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Ricardo Ferraço (MDB), the current governor who assumed office in April 2026 after Renato Casagrande’s resignation to run for Senate, holds the leading position in the Espírito Santo gubernatorial race at 62.5% implied probability. Recent polling from late August and early September, including Real Time Big Data and Quaest surveys, shows Ferraço ahead in first-round scenarios (typically 35-43%) and favored in runoff matchups against main challenger Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos), the former Vitória mayor at 34.5%. Pazolini’s support stems from his municipal record and party coalition, while other registered candidates such as Helder Salomão (PT) register lower single-digit shares. The first-round vote on October 4 and potential runoff on October 25 remain the key resolution triggers, with Ferraço’s incumbency and state management focus providing the primary edge reflected in trader pricing.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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