Ricardo Ferraço (MDB), the current governor who assumed office after Renato Casagrande’s resignation, holds the strongest position in recent Real Time Big Data polling for the October 4, 2026, first-round vote, leading Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos) by 6 points in simulated scenarios while winning all tested runoff matchups. Traders price Ferraço highest at 55.5 percent, reflecting his roughly 77 percent approval rating and institutional backing from the MDB-led coalition, though high undecided shares and multiple other names keep the implied probability from rising further. Pazolini’s 28.5 percent reflects his base among conservative voters and visibility as Vitória’s mayor, while lower-priced contenders such as Arnaldinho Borgo and Euclério Sampaio remain long shots pending clearer alliance patterns. Late-cycle polling shifts, formal party coalitions, or economic indicators under the incumbent could widen or narrow the gap before the runoff threshold is settled.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाएस्पिरिटो सैंटो गवर्नर चुनाव विजेता
एस्पिरिटो सैंटो गवर्नर चुनाव विजेता
रिकार्डो फेरासो 56%
लोरेन्ज़ो पाजोलिनी 29%
सेरजियो विदिगल 8.9%
अर्नाल्दिन्हो बोर्गो 8.3%
नया
नया
5 अक्टू, 2026
रिकार्डो फेरासो
56%
लोरेन्ज़ो पाजोलिनी
29%
सेरजियो विदिगल
9%
अर्नाल्दिन्हो बोर्गो
8%
यूक्लेरियो सम्पायो
5%
रिकार्डो फेरासो 56%
लोरेन्ज़ो पाजोलिनी 29%
सेरजियो विदिगल 8.9%
अर्नाल्दिन्हो बोर्गो 8.3%
नया
नया
5 अक्टू, 2026
रिकार्डो फेरासो
$60 वॉल्यूम
56%
लोरेन्ज़ो पाजोलिनी
$120 वॉल्यूम
29%
सेरजियो विदिगल
$37 वॉल्यूम
9%
अर्नाल्दिन्हो बोर्गो
$141 वॉल्यूम
8%
यूक्लेरियो सम्पायो
$150 वॉल्यूम
5%
The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ricardo Ferraço (MDB), the current governor who assumed office after Renato Casagrande’s resignation, holds the strongest position in recent Real Time Big Data polling for the October 4, 2026, first-round vote, leading Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos) by 6 points in simulated scenarios while winning all tested runoff matchups. Traders price Ferraço highest at 55.5 percent, reflecting his roughly 77 percent approval rating and institutional backing from the MDB-led coalition, though high undecided shares and multiple other names keep the implied probability from rising further. Pazolini’s 28.5 percent reflects his base among conservative voters and visibility as Vitória’s mayor, while lower-priced contenders such as Arnaldinho Borgo and Euclério Sampaio remain long shots pending clearer alliance patterns. Late-cycle polling shifts, formal party coalitions, or economic indicators under the incumbent could widen or narrow the gap before the runoff threshold is settled.
The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
बाज़ार खुला: Jun 12, 2026, 10:41 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$508समाप्ति तिथि
5 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jun 12, 2026, 10:41 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ricardo Ferraço (MDB), the current governor who assumed office after Renato Casagrande’s resignation, holds the strongest position in recent Real Time Big Data polling for the October 4, 2026, first-round vote, leading Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos) by 6 points in simulated scenarios while winning all tested runoff matchups. Traders price Ferraço highest at 55.5 percent, reflecting his roughly 77 percent approval rating and institutional backing from the MDB-led coalition, though high undecided shares and multiple other names keep the implied probability from rising further. Pazolini’s 28.5 percent reflects his base among conservative voters and visibility as Vitória’s mayor, while lower-priced contenders such as Arnaldinho Borgo and Euclério Sampaio remain long shots pending clearer alliance patterns. Late-cycle polling shifts, formal party coalitions, or economic indicators under the incumbent could widen or narrow the gap before the runoff threshold is settled.
The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
वॉल्यूम
$508समाप्ति तिथि
5 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jun 12, 2026, 10:41 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ricardo Ferraço (MDB), the current governor who assumed office after Renato Casagrande’s resignation, holds the strongest position in recent Real Time Big Data polling for the October 4, 2026, first-round vote, leading Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos) by 6 points in simulated scenarios while winning all tested runoff matchups. Traders price Ferraço highest at 55.5 percent, reflecting his roughly 77 percent approval rating and institutional backing from the MDB-led coalition, though high undecided shares and multiple other names keep the implied probability from rising further. Pazolini’s 28.5 percent reflects his base among conservative voters and visibility as Vitória’s mayor, while lower-priced contenders such as Arnaldinho Borgo and Euclério Sampaio remain long shots pending clearer alliance patterns. Late-cycle polling shifts, formal party coalitions, or economic indicators under the incumbent could widen or narrow the gap before the runoff threshold is settled.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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