Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the Parti Québécois (PQ) at 56.5% implied probability to win the most seats in Quebec's National Assembly, reflecting aggregated seat projections like 338Canada's (58% PQ majority odds as of late April) despite tight opinion polls showing PQ and Quebec Liberal Party (PLQ) tied around 28-30%. Recent May polls—Synopsis (May 10: PQ 30%, PLQ 30%) and Pallas Data (May 9: PQ 28.5%, PLQ 28.3%)—reinforce PQ's edge in key regions under first-past-the-post voting, amid Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) weakness following Premier François Legault's January resignation and Christine Fréchette's April ascension (CAQ at 18-19%). PLQ trails at 28.5% on urban strength; CAQ at 9.5% reflects incumbency fatigue. Minor parties like PCQ (13-14% polls) and QS split votes without seat-winning paths. Election due by October 5, 2026.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाक्यूबेक आम चुनाव विजेता
क्यूबेक आम चुनाव विजेता
पीक्यू 56%
पीएलक्यू 29%
सीएक्यू 10%
PCQ <1%
$503,546 वॉल्यूम
$503,546 वॉल्यूम
5 अक्टू, 2026
पीक्यू
56%
पीएलक्यू
29%
सीएक्यू
10%
PCQ
<1%
पीवीक्यू
<1%
क्यूएस
<1%
पीक्यू 56%
पीएलक्यू 29%
सीएक्यू 10%
PCQ <1%
$503,546 वॉल्यूम
$503,546 वॉल्यूम
5 अक्टू, 2026
पीक्यू
$52,304 वॉल्यूम
56%
पीएलक्यू
$55,890 वॉल्यूम
29%
सीएक्यू
$58,913 वॉल्यूम
10%
PCQ
$163,325 वॉल्यूम
<1%
पीवीक्यू
$114,822 वॉल्यूम
<1%
क्यूएस
$58,291 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the Parti Québécois (PQ) at 56.5% implied probability to win the most seats in Quebec's National Assembly, reflecting aggregated seat projections like 338Canada's (58% PQ majority odds as of late April) despite tight opinion polls showing PQ and Quebec Liberal Party (PLQ) tied around 28-30%. Recent May polls—Synopsis (May 10: PQ 30%, PLQ 30%) and Pallas Data (May 9: PQ 28.5%, PLQ 28.3%)—reinforce PQ's edge in key regions under first-past-the-post voting, amid Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) weakness following Premier François Legault's January resignation and Christine Fréchette's April ascension (CAQ at 18-19%). PLQ trails at 28.5% on urban strength; CAQ at 9.5% reflects incumbency fatigue. Minor parties like PCQ (13-14% polls) and QS split votes without seat-winning paths. Election due by October 5, 2026.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$503,546समाप्ति तिथि
5 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the Parti Québécois (PQ) at 56.5% implied probability to win the most seats in Quebec's National Assembly, reflecting aggregated seat projections like 338Canada's (58% PQ majority odds as of late April) despite tight opinion polls showing PQ and Quebec Liberal Party (PLQ) tied around 28-30%. Recent May polls—Synopsis (May 10: PQ 30%, PLQ 30%) and Pallas Data (May 9: PQ 28.5%, PLQ 28.3%)—reinforce PQ's edge in key regions under first-past-the-post voting, amid Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) weakness following Premier François Legault's January resignation and Christine Fréchette's April ascension (CAQ at 18-19%). PLQ trails at 28.5% on urban strength; CAQ at 9.5% reflects incumbency fatigue. Minor parties like PCQ (13-14% polls) and QS split votes without seat-winning paths. Election due by October 5, 2026.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
वॉल्यूम
$503,546समाप्ति तिथि
5 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the Parti Québécois (PQ) at 56.5% implied probability to win the most seats in Quebec's National Assembly, reflecting aggregated seat projections like 338Canada's (58% PQ majority odds as of late April) despite tight opinion polls showing PQ and Quebec Liberal Party (PLQ) tied around 28-30%. Recent May polls—Synopsis (May 10: PQ 30%, PLQ 30%) and Pallas Data (May 9: PQ 28.5%, PLQ 28.3%)—reinforce PQ's edge in key regions under first-past-the-post voting, amid Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) weakness following Premier François Legault's January resignation and Christine Fréchette's April ascension (CAQ at 18-19%). PLQ trails at 28.5% on urban strength; CAQ at 9.5% reflects incumbency fatigue. Minor parties like PCQ (13-14% polls) and QS split votes without seat-winning paths. Election due by October 5, 2026.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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