Incumbent Mayor Olivia Chow dominates trader consensus at 78% implied probability for the October 26, 2026 Toronto mayoral election, bolstered by the latest Liaison Strategies poll showing her leading challenger Coun. Brad Bradford 50%-37% among decided voters. This reflects strong incumbency advantages and steady approval amid ongoing city challenges like traffic congestion, with no recent developments eroding her position. Nominations opened May 1 and close August 21, potentially solidifying the field where Bradford holds 19.5% as the main alternative, while Ana Bailão and others trail below 3%. Campaign momentum and additional polling could influence the race in the coming months.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाOlivia Chow 79%
Brad Bradford 20%
Ana Bailão 2.1%
Kevin Clarke <1%
$30,162 वॉल्यूम
$30,162 वॉल्यूम

Olivia Chow
79%

Brad Bradford
20%

Ana Bailão
2%

Kevin Clarke
1%

Anthony Furey
<1%

Michael Ford
<1%

Marco Mendicino
<1%

John Tory
<1%
Olivia Chow 79%
Brad Bradford 20%
Ana Bailão 2.1%
Kevin Clarke <1%
$30,162 वॉल्यूम
$30,162 वॉल्यूम

Olivia Chow
79%

Brad Bradford
20%

Ana Bailão
2%

Kevin Clarke
1%

Anthony Furey
<1%

Michael Ford
<1%

Marco Mendicino
<1%

John Tory
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 1, 2026, 2:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Mayor Olivia Chow dominates trader consensus at 78% implied probability for the October 26, 2026 Toronto mayoral election, bolstered by the latest Liaison Strategies poll showing her leading challenger Coun. Brad Bradford 50%-37% among decided voters. This reflects strong incumbency advantages and steady approval amid ongoing city challenges like traffic congestion, with no recent developments eroding her position. Nominations opened May 1 and close August 21, potentially solidifying the field where Bradford holds 19.5% as the main alternative, while Ana Bailão and others trail below 3%. Campaign momentum and additional polling could influence the race in the coming months.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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