Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 310–354 seats for United Russia in the September 2026 State Duma elections, reflecting state-affiliated polls showing the party at 27–41% party-list support in late April amid President Putin's approval rating dipping to 65.6%, its lowest since the Ukraine invasion. This tight range stems from the mixed electoral system—225 proportional seats requiring a 5% threshold and 225 single-member districts—where administrative resources and redistricting in annexed Ukrainian regions bolster United Russia's hold on majorities, offsetting economic discontent and war fatigue evidenced by internal party purges and scaled-back veteran nominations. Separation could arise from electronic primaries outcomes, campaign mobilization in battleground regions, or shifts in undecided voters (15–20% in polls), with constitutional majority (301 seats) firmly in view given opposition suppression.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाअगले रूसी विधायी चुनाव में यूनाइटेड रूस कितनी सीटें जीतेगा?
अगले रूसी विधायी चुनाव में यूनाइटेड रूस कितनी सीटें जीतेगा?
340–354 28%
310–324 21.3%
325–339 19%
355+ 16%
$24,330 वॉल्यूम
$24,330 वॉल्यूम
<280
8%
280–294
6%
295–309
9%
310–324
26%
325–339
19%
340–354
28%
355+
16%
340–354 28%
310–324 21.3%
325–339 19%
355+ 16%
$24,330 वॉल्यूम
$24,330 वॉल्यूम
<280
8%
280–294
6%
295–309
9%
310–324
26%
325–339
19%
340–354
28%
355+
16%
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 310–354 seats for United Russia in the September 2026 State Duma elections, reflecting state-affiliated polls showing the party at 27–41% party-list support in late April amid President Putin's approval rating dipping to 65.6%, its lowest since the Ukraine invasion. This tight range stems from the mixed electoral system—225 proportional seats requiring a 5% threshold and 225 single-member districts—where administrative resources and redistricting in annexed Ukrainian regions bolster United Russia's hold on majorities, offsetting economic discontent and war fatigue evidenced by internal party purges and scaled-back veteran nominations. Separation could arise from electronic primaries outcomes, campaign mobilization in battleground regions, or shifts in undecided voters (15–20% in polls), with constitutional majority (301 seats) firmly in view given opposition suppression.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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