Somaliland's House of Elders (Guurti) approved a 27-month term extension for the House of Representatives and local councils on April 28, driving trader consensus to 71.5% on no parliamentary election before 2027, as it postpones the previously scheduled late March 2026 vote amid National Electoral Commission (NEC) preparation challenges and political pressures. Waddani leads at 21.9% implied probability of victory if held, bolstered by President Abdirahman Mohamed Abdullahi Irro's decisive 2024 presidential win representing the party against Kulmiye. Justice and Welfare (UCID) trails at 5.2%, with former ruling party Kulmiye at 1.8%, reflecting diminished momentum post-defeat; opposition critiques the extension as eroding democratic norms, though no reversal appears imminent.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयासोमालीलैंड संसदीय चुनाव विजेता
सोमालीलैंड संसदीय चुनाव विजेता
2027 से पहले कोई चुनाव नहीं 57%
न्याय और कल्याण (यूसीआईडी) 5.2%
कुलमिये 1.8%
वदानी <1%
$18,247 वॉल्यूम
$18,247 वॉल्यूम
31 मार्च, 2026
2027 से पहले कोई चुनाव नहीं
65%
न्याय और कल्याण (यूसीआईडी)
5%
कुलमिये
2%
वदानी
22%
2027 से पहले कोई चुनाव नहीं 57%
न्याय और कल्याण (यूसीआईडी) 5.2%
कुलमिये 1.8%
वदानी <1%
$18,247 वॉल्यूम
$18,247 वॉल्यूम
31 मार्च, 2026
2027 से पहले कोई चुनाव नहीं
$9,899 वॉल्यूम
65%
न्याय और कल्याण (यूसीआईडी)
$3,877 वॉल्यूम
5%
कुलमिये
$2,458 वॉल्यूम
2%
वदानी
$2,013 वॉल्यूम
22%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).Somaliland's House of Elders (Guurti) approved a 27-month term extension for the House of Representatives and local councils on April 28, driving trader consensus to 71.5% on no parliamentary election before 2027, as it postpones the previously scheduled late March 2026 vote amid National Electoral Commission (NEC) preparation challenges and political pressures. Waddani leads at 21.9% implied probability of victory if held, bolstered by President Abdirahman Mohamed Abdullahi Irro's decisive 2024 presidential win representing the party against Kulmiye. Justice and Welfare (UCID) trails at 5.2%, with former ruling party Kulmiye at 1.8%, reflecting diminished momentum post-defeat; opposition critiques the extension as eroding democratic norms, though no reversal appears imminent.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$18,247समाप्ति तिथि
31 मार्च, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).Somaliland's House of Elders (Guurti) approved a 27-month term extension for the House of Representatives and local councils on April 28, driving trader consensus to 71.5% on no parliamentary election before 2027, as it postpones the previously scheduled late March 2026 vote amid National Electoral Commission (NEC) preparation challenges and political pressures. Waddani leads at 21.9% implied probability of victory if held, bolstered by President Abdirahman Mohamed Abdullahi Irro's decisive 2024 presidential win representing the party against Kulmiye. Justice and Welfare (UCID) trails at 5.2%, with former ruling party Kulmiye at 1.8%, reflecting diminished momentum post-defeat; opposition critiques the extension as eroding democratic norms, though no reversal appears imminent.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
वॉल्यूम
$18,247समाप्ति तिथि
31 मार्च, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Somaliland's House of Elders (Guurti) approved a 27-month term extension for the House of Representatives and local councils on April 28, driving trader consensus to 71.5% on no parliamentary election before 2027, as it postpones the previously scheduled late March 2026 vote amid National Electoral Commission (NEC) preparation challenges and political pressures. Waddani leads at 21.9% implied probability of victory if held, bolstered by President Abdirahman Mohamed Abdullahi Irro's decisive 2024 presidential win representing the party against Kulmiye. Justice and Welfare (UCID) trails at 5.2%, with former ruling party Kulmiye at 1.8%, reflecting diminished momentum post-defeat; opposition critiques the extension as eroding democratic norms, though no reversal appears imminent.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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