Somaliland’s parliamentary elections, originally slated for May 2026 alongside local council votes, were postponed to March 2027, driving the market’s strong consensus around no vote occurring before 2027. This aligns with the region’s recurring pattern of mandate extensions for the House of Representatives and institutional timelines, including the recent presidential transition to Abdirahman Irro of Waddani. The three registered national parties—Waddani, Kulmiye, and UCID—face structural barriers from the delay, including the need for National Electoral Commission preparations and regional security considerations. While the current timeline appears firm, developments such as an expedited legislative agreement, shifts in the Guurti upper house stance, or external diplomatic pressure could reopen the possibility of an earlier contest within the resolution window.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाSomaliland Parliamentary Election Winner
Somaliland Parliamentary Election Winner
No election before 2027 90%
Waddani 6.8%
Justice and Welfare (UCID) 3.0%
Kulmiye 1.3%
$77,131 वॉल्यूम
$77,131 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
No election before 2027
90%
Waddani
7%
Justice and Welfare (UCID)
3%
Kulmiye
1%
No election before 2027 90%
Waddani 6.8%
Justice and Welfare (UCID) 3.0%
Kulmiye 1.3%
$77,131 वॉल्यूम
$77,131 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
No election before 2027
$68,432 वॉल्यूम
90%
Waddani
$2,143 वॉल्यूम
7%
Justice and Welfare (UCID)
$3,919 वॉल्यूम
3%
Kulmiye
$2,636 वॉल्यूम
1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).Somaliland’s parliamentary elections, originally slated for May 2026 alongside local council votes, were postponed to March 2027, driving the market’s strong consensus around no vote occurring before 2027. This aligns with the region’s recurring pattern of mandate extensions for the House of Representatives and institutional timelines, including the recent presidential transition to Abdirahman Irro of Waddani. The three registered national parties—Waddani, Kulmiye, and UCID—face structural barriers from the delay, including the need for National Electoral Commission preparations and regional security considerations. While the current timeline appears firm, developments such as an expedited legislative agreement, shifts in the Guurti upper house stance, or external diplomatic pressure could reopen the possibility of an earlier contest within the resolution window.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$77,131समाप्ति तिथि
31 मार्च, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).Somaliland’s parliamentary elections, originally slated for May 2026 alongside local council votes, were postponed to March 2027, driving the market’s strong consensus around no vote occurring before 2027. This aligns with the region’s recurring pattern of mandate extensions for the House of Representatives and institutional timelines, including the recent presidential transition to Abdirahman Irro of Waddani. The three registered national parties—Waddani, Kulmiye, and UCID—face structural barriers from the delay, including the need for National Electoral Commission preparations and regional security considerations. While the current timeline appears firm, developments such as an expedited legislative agreement, shifts in the Guurti upper house stance, or external diplomatic pressure could reopen the possibility of an earlier contest within the resolution window.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
वॉल्यूम
$77,131समाप्ति तिथि
31 मार्च, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Somaliland’s parliamentary elections, originally slated for May 2026 alongside local council votes, were postponed to March 2027, driving the market’s strong consensus around no vote occurring before 2027. This aligns with the region’s recurring pattern of mandate extensions for the House of Representatives and institutional timelines, including the recent presidential transition to Abdirahman Irro of Waddani. The three registered national parties—Waddani, Kulmiye, and UCID—face structural barriers from the delay, including the need for National Electoral Commission preparations and regional security considerations. While the current timeline appears firm, developments such as an expedited legislative agreement, shifts in the Guurti upper house stance, or external diplomatic pressure could reopen the possibility of an earlier contest within the resolution window.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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