Hana Ghassan, the incumbent MDB governor who assumed office after Helder Barbalho's resignation to run for Senate, leads recent polling with 38-40% support in the first round against Dr. Daniel Santos (Podemos) at 32-35%, a gap often outside the margin of error. Her broad coalition backing and institutional agenda events in Belém and the interior over the past week reinforce trader consensus around her 59.5% implied probability of winning the October 4 first round or potential October 25 runoff. Daniel's consistent second-place showing and name recognition keep his odds near 32.5%, while other registered candidates like Araceli Lemos and José Moita remain in single digits and below 1% market pricing. The race stays competitive due to high undecided shares near 13-24% and the state's electoral dynamics, with any late shifts in turnout or alliances potentially narrowing the gap before voting.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाहाना घस्सान 62%
डॉ. डैनियल सैंटोस 39%
ईदेर मौरो 1.2%
डिर्सियू टेन कैटन <1%
$46,612 वॉल्यूम
$46,612 वॉल्यूम
4 अक्टू, 2026
हाना घस्सान
62%
डॉ. डैनियल सैंटोस
30%
ईदेर मौरो
1%
डिर्सियू टेन कैटन
<1%
ज़ेक्विन्हा मरीन्हो
<1%
रोजेरियो बारा
<1%
पाउलो रोचा
<1%
हाना घस्सान 62%
डॉ. डैनियल सैंटोस 39%
ईदेर मौरो 1.2%
डिर्सियू टेन कैटन <1%
$46,612 वॉल्यूम
$46,612 वॉल्यूम
4 अक्टू, 2026
हाना घस्सान
$17,312 वॉल्यूम
62%
डॉ. डैनियल सैंटोस
$12,558 वॉल्यूम
30%
ईदेर मौरो
$5,308 वॉल्यूम
1%
डिर्सियू टेन कैटन
$2,835 वॉल्यूम
<1%
ज़ेक्विन्हा मरीन्हो
$2,831 वॉल्यूम
<1%
रोजेरियो बारा
$2,892 वॉल्यूम
<1%
पाउलो रोचा
$2,875 वॉल्यूम
<1%
The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Hana Ghassan, the incumbent MDB governor who assumed office after Helder Barbalho's resignation to run for Senate, leads recent polling with 38-40% support in the first round against Dr. Daniel Santos (Podemos) at 32-35%, a gap often outside the margin of error. Her broad coalition backing and institutional agenda events in Belém and the interior over the past week reinforce trader consensus around her 59.5% implied probability of winning the October 4 first round or potential October 25 runoff. Daniel's consistent second-place showing and name recognition keep his odds near 32.5%, while other registered candidates like Araceli Lemos and José Moita remain in single digits and below 1% market pricing. The race stays competitive due to high undecided shares near 13-24% and the state's electoral dynamics, with any late shifts in turnout or alliances potentially narrowing the gap before voting.
The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
बाज़ार खुला: Jun 9, 2026, 10:18 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$46,612समाप्ति तिथि
5 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jun 9, 2026, 10:18 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Hana Ghassan, the incumbent MDB governor who assumed office after Helder Barbalho's resignation to run for Senate, leads recent polling with 38-40% support in the first round against Dr. Daniel Santos (Podemos) at 32-35%, a gap often outside the margin of error. Her broad coalition backing and institutional agenda events in Belém and the interior over the past week reinforce trader consensus around her 59.5% implied probability of winning the October 4 first round or potential October 25 runoff. Daniel's consistent second-place showing and name recognition keep his odds near 32.5%, while other registered candidates like Araceli Lemos and José Moita remain in single digits and below 1% market pricing. The race stays competitive due to high undecided shares near 13-24% and the state's electoral dynamics, with any late shifts in turnout or alliances potentially narrowing the gap before voting.
The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
वॉल्यूम
$46,612समाप्ति तिथि
5 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jun 9, 2026, 10:18 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Hana Ghassan, the incumbent MDB governor who assumed office after Helder Barbalho's resignation to run for Senate, leads recent polling with 38-40% support in the first round against Dr. Daniel Santos (Podemos) at 32-35%, a gap often outside the margin of error. Her broad coalition backing and institutional agenda events in Belém and the interior over the past week reinforce trader consensus around her 59.5% implied probability of winning the October 4 first round or potential October 25 runoff. Daniel's consistent second-place showing and name recognition keep his odds near 32.5%, while other registered candidates like Araceli Lemos and José Moita remain in single digits and below 1% market pricing. The race stays competitive due to high undecided shares near 13-24% and the state's electoral dynamics, with any late shifts in turnout or alliances potentially narrowing the gap before voting.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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