Jorginho Mello (PL), the incumbent governor of Santa Catarina, holds a 92.5% implied probability in the Polymarket market for the October 4, 2026, gubernatorial election due to consistent polling leads of 50% or higher in first-round scenarios and party consolidation behind his reelection bid. Recent confirmation at the PL state convention, backed by national figures including Flávio Bolsonaro, has reinforced his position following his 2022 victory with over 70% of the vote. Challengers such as João Rodrigues (PSD), Gelson Merisio (PSB), and others trail significantly in surveys, with no major shifts reported in the past month. Factors that could narrow the gap include sustained opposition momentum, turnout changes among key voting blocs, or late developments affecting voter preferences before the first-round vote.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाज़ोरगिन्हो मेलो 93%
मार्सेलो ब्रिगेडीरो 5.9%
जुआओ रोड्रिग्स 1.9%
एड्रियानो सिल्वा <1%
$107,312 वॉल्यूम
$107,312 वॉल्यूम
4 अक्टू, 2026
ज़ोरगिन्हो मेलो
93%
मार्सेलो ब्रिगेडीरो
6%
जुआओ रोड्रिग्स
2%
एड्रियानो सिल्वा
1%
गेल्सन मेरीसियो
1%
मार्कोस विएरा
<1%
डेसियो लीमा
<1%
अफ्रानियो बोप्प्रे
<1%
ज़ोरगिन्हो मेलो 93%
मार्सेलो ब्रिगेडीरो 5.9%
जुआओ रोड्रिग्स 1.9%
एड्रियानो सिल्वा <1%
$107,312 वॉल्यूम
$107,312 वॉल्यूम
4 अक्टू, 2026
ज़ोरगिन्हो मेलो
$24,043 वॉल्यूम
93%
मार्सेलो ब्रिगेडीरो
$14,406 वॉल्यूम
6%
जुआओ रोड्रिग्स
$1,783 वॉल्यूम
2%
एड्रियानो सिल्वा
$919 वॉल्यूम
1%
गेल्सन मेरीसियो
$1,193 वॉल्यूम
1%
मार्कोस विएरा
$1,120 वॉल्यूम
<1%
डेसियो लीमा
$62,768 वॉल्यूम
<1%
अफ्रानियो बोप्प्रे
$1,080 वॉल्यूम
<1%
The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Jorginho Mello (PL), the incumbent governor of Santa Catarina, holds a 92.5% implied probability in the Polymarket market for the October 4, 2026, gubernatorial election due to consistent polling leads of 50% or higher in first-round scenarios and party consolidation behind his reelection bid. Recent confirmation at the PL state convention, backed by national figures including Flávio Bolsonaro, has reinforced his position following his 2022 victory with over 70% of the vote. Challengers such as João Rodrigues (PSD), Gelson Merisio (PSB), and others trail significantly in surveys, with no major shifts reported in the past month. Factors that could narrow the gap include sustained opposition momentum, turnout changes among key voting blocs, or late developments affecting voter preferences before the first-round vote.
The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
बाज़ार खुला: Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$107,312समाप्ति तिथि
4 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Jorginho Mello (PL), the incumbent governor of Santa Catarina, holds a 92.5% implied probability in the Polymarket market for the October 4, 2026, gubernatorial election due to consistent polling leads of 50% or higher in first-round scenarios and party consolidation behind his reelection bid. Recent confirmation at the PL state convention, backed by national figures including Flávio Bolsonaro, has reinforced his position following his 2022 victory with over 70% of the vote. Challengers such as João Rodrigues (PSD), Gelson Merisio (PSB), and others trail significantly in surveys, with no major shifts reported in the past month. Factors that could narrow the gap include sustained opposition momentum, turnout changes among key voting blocs, or late developments affecting voter preferences before the first-round vote.
The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
वॉल्यूम
$107,312समाप्ति तिथि
4 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Jorginho Mello (PL), the incumbent governor of Santa Catarina, holds a 92.5% implied probability in the Polymarket market for the October 4, 2026, gubernatorial election due to consistent polling leads of 50% or higher in first-round scenarios and party consolidation behind his reelection bid. Recent confirmation at the PL state convention, backed by national figures including Flávio Bolsonaro, has reinforced his position following his 2022 victory with over 70% of the vote. Challengers such as João Rodrigues (PSD), Gelson Merisio (PSB), and others trail significantly in surveys, with no major shifts reported in the past month. Factors that could narrow the gap include sustained opposition momentum, turnout changes among key voting blocs, or late developments affecting voter preferences before the first-round vote.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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