The fragmented field of 13 confirmed candidates for Santa Catarina’s two Senate seats has kept first-place probabilities clustered near even, with recent party conventions finalizing slates in early August 2026 and no dominant frontrunner emerging yet. Marlene Soccas holds the highest implied probability at 27.5 percent, followed closely by Marcos Dorval and several others in the low-to-mid teens, reflecting trader consensus on a wide-open contest ahead of October voting. Limited early polling, diverse party affiliations, and the absence of major endorsements or scandals have prevented any single contender from pulling ahead. Scheduled campaign launches, alliance negotiations, and state-specific economic signals could quickly shift momentum and widen spreads before the first round.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयासांता कैटरीना सीनेट चुनाव: पहला स्थान
सांता कैटरीना सीनेट चुनाव: पहला स्थान
Carol de Toni 16%
Lunelli 13%
Marcos Dorval 13%
Marlene Soccas 13%
नया
नया
4 अक्टू, 2026
Carol de Toni
24%
Lunelli
13%
Marcos Dorval
13%
Marlene Soccas
13%
Túlio de Amorim Pfuetzenreiter
13%
Carlos Bolsonaro
12%
Jeferson da Rocha
12%
Afrânio Boppré
11%
Carol
11%
Décio Lima
11%
Ana Lucia da Silveira Machado
10%
Esperidião Amin
9%
Joaninha de Oliveira
11%
Carol de Toni 16%
Lunelli 13%
Marcos Dorval 13%
Marlene Soccas 13%
नया
नया
4 अक्टू, 2026
Carol de Toni
$96 वॉल्यूम
24%
Lunelli
$76 वॉल्यूम
13%
Marcos Dorval
$56 वॉल्यूम
13%
Marlene Soccas
$56 वॉल्यूम
13%
Túlio de Amorim Pfuetzenreiter
$56 वॉल्यूम
13%
Carlos Bolsonaro
$95 वॉल्यूम
12%
Jeferson da Rocha
$56 वॉल्यूम
12%
Afrânio Boppré
$72 वॉल्यूम
11%
Carol
$56 वॉल्यूम
11%
Décio Lima
$72 वॉल्यूम
11%
Ana Lucia da Silveira Machado
$56 वॉल्यूम
10%
Esperidião Amin
$56 वॉल्यूम
9%
Joaninha de Oliveira
$102 वॉल्यूम
11%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The fragmented field of 13 confirmed candidates for Santa Catarina’s two Senate seats has kept first-place probabilities clustered near even, with recent party conventions finalizing slates in early August 2026 and no dominant frontrunner emerging yet. Marlene Soccas holds the highest implied probability at 27.5 percent, followed closely by Marcos Dorval and several others in the low-to-mid teens, reflecting trader consensus on a wide-open contest ahead of October voting. Limited early polling, diverse party affiliations, and the absence of major endorsements or scandals have prevented any single contender from pulling ahead. Scheduled campaign launches, alliance negotiations, and state-specific economic signals could quickly shift momentum and widen spreads before the first round.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$905समाप्ति तिथि
4 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The fragmented field of 13 confirmed candidates for Santa Catarina’s two Senate seats has kept first-place probabilities clustered near even, with recent party conventions finalizing slates in early August 2026 and no dominant frontrunner emerging yet. Marlene Soccas holds the highest implied probability at 27.5 percent, followed closely by Marcos Dorval and several others in the low-to-mid teens, reflecting trader consensus on a wide-open contest ahead of October voting. Limited early polling, diverse party affiliations, and the absence of major endorsements or scandals have prevented any single contender from pulling ahead. Scheduled campaign launches, alliance negotiations, and state-specific economic signals could quickly shift momentum and widen spreads before the first round.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
वॉल्यूम
$905समाप्ति तिथि
4 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The fragmented field of 13 confirmed candidates for Santa Catarina’s two Senate seats has kept first-place probabilities clustered near even, with recent party conventions finalizing slates in early August 2026 and no dominant frontrunner emerging yet. Marlene Soccas holds the highest implied probability at 27.5 percent, followed closely by Marcos Dorval and several others in the low-to-mid teens, reflecting trader consensus on a wide-open contest ahead of October voting. Limited early polling, diverse party affiliations, and the absence of major endorsements or scandals have prevented any single contender from pulling ahead. Scheduled campaign launches, alliance negotiations, and state-specific economic signals could quickly shift momentum and widen spreads before the first round.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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