Lula holds a commanding 95.9% implied probability in trader assessments for first place in Bahia during the October 2026 presidential first round, reflecting the Northeast state's longstanding alignment with the Workers' Party and his incumbency as president. Bahia's consistent historical preference for PT candidates in national contests underpins this positioning, reinforced by Lula's recent formal campaign launch emphasizing sovereignty and social programs. National polling averages place him well ahead of challengers such as Flávio Bolsonaro. Potential shifts could stem from late-campaign developments including health concerns, major scandals, or an unexpectedly strong regional surge by opposition figures, though structural voter patterns have limited such volatility in prior cycles.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयालूला 95.9%
फ्लावियो बोल्सोनारो 2.9%
रोनाल्डो कैइादो <1%
रुइ कोस्टा पिमेंटा <1%
लूला
96%
फ्लावियो बोल्सोनारो
3%
रोनाल्डो कैइादो
1%
रुइ कोस्टा पिमेंटा
1%
समारा
1%
वेटेरिनारियो विल्सन ग्रासी
1%
एडमिल्सन कोस्टा
1%
लेखक ऑगस्टो क्यूरी
<1%
पाब्लो मार्सल
<1%
ज़ेमा
<1%
हर्ट्ज डियास
<1%
क्लारियाना बाराओ
<1%
रेयान सैंटोस
<1%
लूला 95.9%
फ्लावियो बोल्सोनारो 2.9%
रोनाल्डो कैइादो <1%
रुइ कोस्टा पिमेंटा <1%
लूला
96%
फ्लावियो बोल्सोनारो
3%
रोनाल्डो कैइादो
1%
रुइ कोस्टा पिमेंटा
1%
समारा
1%
वेटेरिनारियो विल्सन ग्रासी
1%
एडमिल्सन कोस्टा
1%
लेखक ऑगस्टो क्यूरी
<1%
पाब्लो मार्सल
<1%
ज़ेमा
<1%
हर्ट्ज डियास
<1%
क्लारियाना बाराओ
<1%
रेयान सैंटोस
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Bahia.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Bahia. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 17, 2026, 6:26 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Bahia.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Bahia. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Lula holds a commanding 95.9% implied probability in trader assessments for first place in Bahia during the October 2026 presidential first round, reflecting the Northeast state's longstanding alignment with the Workers' Party and his incumbency as president. Bahia's consistent historical preference for PT candidates in national contests underpins this positioning, reinforced by Lula's recent formal campaign launch emphasizing sovereignty and social programs. National polling averages place him well ahead of challengers such as Flávio Bolsonaro. Potential shifts could stem from late-campaign developments including health concerns, major scandals, or an unexpectedly strong regional surge by opposition figures, though structural voter patterns have limited such volatility in prior cycles.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयासंबंधित
क्या फ्लावियो बोल्सोनारो को अगले ब्राज़ील राष्ट्रपति चुनाव में पाराना से सबसे ज्यादा वोट मिलेंगे?
क्या अगले ब्राज़ील राष्ट्रपति चुनाव में फ्लावियो बोल्सोनारो को फेडरल डिस्ट्रिक्ट से सबसे अधिक वोट मिलेंगे?
क्या अगले ब्राज़ील राष्ट्रपति चुनाव में पराइबा से लूला को सबसे ज़्यादा वोट मिलेंगे?
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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