Recent polling fluctuations between incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues of the Workers' Party and challenger ACM Neto of União Brasil have kept the Bahia gubernatorial contest highly competitive ahead of the October 2026 vote. Surveys from firms such as Quaest and Real Time Big Data show technical ties or narrow leads that swing by several points depending on the scenario tested, reflecting voter indecision and divided preferences across first-round and runoff matchups. Traders assign ACM Neto the leading probability at 47.5 percent, followed closely by Rodrigues at 40 percent, consistent with the absence of a decisive breakout in state-level surveys. Upcoming campaign events, candidate positioning on public security and economic management, and any consolidation of smaller candidacies could shift momentum before election day.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाACM Neto 48%
Jerônimo Rodrigues 40%
Kleber Rosa <1%
João Roma <1%
$13,978 वॉल्यूम
$13,978 वॉल्यूम
4 अक्टू, 2026
ACM Neto
48%
Jerônimo Rodrigues
40%
Kleber Rosa
<1%
João Roma
<1%
Bruno Soares Reis
<1%
José Carlos Aleluia
<1%
Rui Costa
<1%
ACM Neto 48%
Jerônimo Rodrigues 40%
Kleber Rosa <1%
João Roma <1%
$13,978 वॉल्यूम
$13,978 वॉल्यूम
4 अक्टू, 2026
ACM Neto
$3,766 वॉल्यूम
48%
Jerônimo Rodrigues
$3,844 वॉल्यूम
40%
Kleber Rosa
$1,281 वॉल्यूम
<1%
João Roma
$966 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Bruno Soares Reis
$1,060 वॉल्यूम
<1%
José Carlos Aleluia
$1,938 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Rui Costa
$1,124 वॉल्यूम
<1%
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling fluctuations between incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues of the Workers' Party and challenger ACM Neto of União Brasil have kept the Bahia gubernatorial contest highly competitive ahead of the October 2026 vote. Surveys from firms such as Quaest and Real Time Big Data show technical ties or narrow leads that swing by several points depending on the scenario tested, reflecting voter indecision and divided preferences across first-round and runoff matchups. Traders assign ACM Neto the leading probability at 47.5 percent, followed closely by Rodrigues at 40 percent, consistent with the absence of a decisive breakout in state-level surveys. Upcoming campaign events, candidate positioning on public security and economic management, and any consolidation of smaller candidacies could shift momentum before election day.
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$13,978समाप्ति तिथि
4 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling fluctuations between incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues of the Workers' Party and challenger ACM Neto of União Brasil have kept the Bahia gubernatorial contest highly competitive ahead of the October 2026 vote. Surveys from firms such as Quaest and Real Time Big Data show technical ties or narrow leads that swing by several points depending on the scenario tested, reflecting voter indecision and divided preferences across first-round and runoff matchups. Traders assign ACM Neto the leading probability at 47.5 percent, followed closely by Rodrigues at 40 percent, consistent with the absence of a decisive breakout in state-level surveys. Upcoming campaign events, candidate positioning on public security and economic management, and any consolidation of smaller candidacies could shift momentum before election day.
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
वॉल्यूम
$13,978समाप्ति तिथि
4 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling fluctuations between incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues of the Workers' Party and challenger ACM Neto of União Brasil have kept the Bahia gubernatorial contest highly competitive ahead of the October 2026 vote. Surveys from firms such as Quaest and Real Time Big Data show technical ties or narrow leads that swing by several points depending on the scenario tested, reflecting voter indecision and divided preferences across first-round and runoff matchups. Traders assign ACM Neto the leading probability at 47.5 percent, followed closely by Rodrigues at 40 percent, consistent with the absence of a decisive breakout in state-level surveys. Upcoming campaign events, candidate positioning on public security and economic management, and any consolidation of smaller candidacies could shift momentum before election day.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न