In the Alagoas Senate race for two seats, trader consensus reflects a fragmented field with Arthur Lira holding the highest implied probability for first place amid several viable contenders. Recent polling shows Lira advancing to around 41% support after steady gains since early 2026, yet figures like Renan Calheiros, Davi Davino Filho, Alfredo Gaspar, Marina JHC, and others remain competitive due to undecided voters, shifting alliances ahead of party conventions, and the state's multi-candidate dynamics. The absence of finalized coalitions and limited late-summer momentum keep probabilities closely bunched, with potential separation likely hinging on upcoming debates, endorsements, or primary results before October voting.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाअलेक्जेंडर फ्लेमिंग 35%
आर्थर लीरा 26%
डॉ. वांडरले 25%
मरीना जेएचसी 25%
नया
नया
4 अक्टू, 2026
अलेक्जेंडर फ्लेमिंग
35%
आर्थर लीरा
26%
डॉ. वांडरले
25%
मरीना जेएचसी
25%
मैरिडसन
23%
डेवि डाविनो फिल्हो
23%
रेनन
22%
अलेक्जेंडर फ्लेमिंग 35%
आर्थर लीरा 26%
डॉ. वांडरले 25%
मरीना जेएचसी 25%
नया
नया
4 अक्टू, 2026
अलेक्जेंडर फ्लेमिंग
$71 वॉल्यूम
35%
आर्थर लीरा
$0 वॉल्यूम
26%
डॉ. वांडरले
$0 वॉल्यूम
25%
मरीना जेएचसी
$0 वॉल्यूम
25%
मैरिडसन
$0 वॉल्यूम
23%
डेवि डाविनो फिल्हो
$0 वॉल्यूम
23%
रेनन
$0 वॉल्यूम
22%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Alagoas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In the Alagoas Senate race for two seats, trader consensus reflects a fragmented field with Arthur Lira holding the highest implied probability for first place amid several viable contenders. Recent polling shows Lira advancing to around 41% support after steady gains since early 2026, yet figures like Renan Calheiros, Davi Davino Filho, Alfredo Gaspar, Marina JHC, and others remain competitive due to undecided voters, shifting alliances ahead of party conventions, and the state's multi-candidate dynamics. The absence of finalized coalitions and limited late-summer momentum keep probabilities closely bunched, with potential separation likely hinging on upcoming debates, endorsements, or primary results before October voting.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Alagoas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 17, 2026, 5:51 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$71समाप्ति तिथि
4 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 17, 2026, 5:51 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Alagoas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In the Alagoas Senate race for two seats, trader consensus reflects a fragmented field with Arthur Lira holding the highest implied probability for first place amid several viable contenders. Recent polling shows Lira advancing to around 41% support after steady gains since early 2026, yet figures like Renan Calheiros, Davi Davino Filho, Alfredo Gaspar, Marina JHC, and others remain competitive due to undecided voters, shifting alliances ahead of party conventions, and the state's multi-candidate dynamics. The absence of finalized coalitions and limited late-summer momentum keep probabilities closely bunched, with potential separation likely hinging on upcoming debates, endorsements, or primary results before October voting.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Alagoas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
वॉल्यूम
$71समाप्ति तिथि
4 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 17, 2026, 5:51 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...In the Alagoas Senate race for two seats, trader consensus reflects a fragmented field with Arthur Lira holding the highest implied probability for first place amid several viable contenders. Recent polling shows Lira advancing to around 41% support after steady gains since early 2026, yet figures like Renan Calheiros, Davi Davino Filho, Alfredo Gaspar, Marina JHC, and others remain competitive due to undecided voters, shifting alliances ahead of party conventions, and the state's multi-candidate dynamics. The absence of finalized coalitions and limited late-summer momentum keep probabilities closely bunched, with potential separation likely hinging on upcoming debates, endorsements, or primary results before October voting.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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