Recent polling and candidate finalization ahead of the June 3 local elections show the Democratic Party maintaining leads in key metropolitan races such as Seoul and Busan, supported by President Lee Jae-myung’s approval ratings near 64 percent and the party’s national momentum following the 2024 general election gains. Yet the People Power Party retains competitive positioning in traditional strongholds through established incumbents and regional consolidation efforts, creating uncertainty across the 17 metropolitan and provincial contests. Trader consensus clustering near 11–12 Democratic wins reflects these cross-pressures, with recent tightening in Seoul surveys and internal party dynamics on both sides limiting clearer separation until voter turnout patterns and final-week developments clarify outcomes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHow many South Korean mayor/governor races will DP win?
11 42.9%
12 26%
13 18%
14 16%
≤10
9%
11
31%
12
38%
13
18%
14
16%
15
6%
≥16
1%
11 42.9%
12 26%
13 18%
14 16%
≤10
9%
11
31%
12
38%
13
18%
14
16%
15
6%
≥16
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of Mayor and Governor elections for South Korea’s upper-level local governments won by the Democratic Party (DP) during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
South Korea’s upper-level local governments include the following cities and provinces:
Cities (mayoral elections): Seoul, Busan, Daegu, Incheon, Gwangju, Daejeon, Ulsan, & Sejong
Provinces (governor elections): Gyeonggi, North Chungcheong, South Chungcheong, North Jeolla, South Jeolla, North Gyeongsang, South Gyeongsang, Jeju, & Gangwon.
If the results of the 2026 South Korean local elections aren’t known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
बाज़ार खुला: May 13, 2026, 6:30 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of Mayor and Governor elections for South Korea’s upper-level local governments won by the Democratic Party (DP) during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
South Korea’s upper-level local governments include the following cities and provinces:
Cities (mayoral elections): Seoul, Busan, Daegu, Incheon, Gwangju, Daejeon, Ulsan, & Sejong
Provinces (governor elections): Gyeonggi, North Chungcheong, South Chungcheong, North Jeolla, South Jeolla, North Gyeongsang, South Gyeongsang, Jeju, & Gangwon.
If the results of the 2026 South Korean local elections aren’t known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling and candidate finalization ahead of the June 3 local elections show the Democratic Party maintaining leads in key metropolitan races such as Seoul and Busan, supported by President Lee Jae-myung’s approval ratings near 64 percent and the party’s national momentum following the 2024 general election gains. Yet the People Power Party retains competitive positioning in traditional strongholds through established incumbents and regional consolidation efforts, creating uncertainty across the 17 metropolitan and provincial contests. Trader consensus clustering near 11–12 Democratic wins reflects these cross-pressures, with recent tightening in Seoul surveys and internal party dynamics on both sides limiting clearer separation until voter turnout patterns and final-week developments clarify outcomes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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