Iván Cepeda Castro holds a commanding position in trader consensus for Colombia’s May 31 first-round presidential vote because he consolidates support as the Historic Pact nominee succeeding President Gustavo Petro. Recent Invamer and AtlasIntel surveys place him at 37–44 percent, comfortably ahead of a divided opposition. Abelardo de la Espriella and Paloma Valencia split right-leaning voters after the March legislative primaries and party consultations, limiting each to the low-to-mid 20s. Fresh reports of armed-group intimidation in rural areas have prompted Cepeda to demand investigations, underscoring security concerns that could affect turnout. With only two weeks remaining and little sign of opposition consolidation, market pricing reflects the structural advantage Cepeda enjoys in a fragmented field.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाकोलंबिया राष्ट्रपति चुनाव के पहले दौर के विजेता?
इवान सेपेडा कास्त्रो 86%
एबेलार्डो डे ला एस्प्रियेला 14.2%
पालोमा वालेंसिया <1%
विकी डाविला <1%
$5,935,614 वॉल्यूम
$5,935,614 वॉल्यूम

इवान सेपेडा कास्त्रो
86%

एबेलार्डो डे ला एस्प्रियेला
14%

पालोमा वालेंसिया
1%

विकी डाविला
<1%

लुइस गिल्बर्टो मुरिलो
<1%

क्लाउडिया लोपेज़
<1%

डेविड लूना सांचेज़
<1%

जुआन डैनियल ओवीएदो
<1%

गुस्तावो बोलिवर
<1%

सर्जियो फाजार्डो
<1%

जुआन मैनुअल गालान
<1%

जर्मन वर्गास ल्लेरास
<1%

रॉय बैरेरास
<1%

डैनियल क्विंटेरो
<1%

जुआन कार्लोस पिन्ज़ोन
<1%

मौरिसियो कार्डेनास
<1%

एनरिक पेञालोसा
<1%
इवान सेपेडा कास्त्रो 86%
एबेलार्डो डे ला एस्प्रियेला 14.2%
पालोमा वालेंसिया <1%
विकी डाविला <1%
$5,935,614 वॉल्यूम
$5,935,614 वॉल्यूम

इवान सेपेडा कास्त्रो
86%

एबेलार्डो डे ला एस्प्रियेला
14%

पालोमा वालेंसिया
1%

विकी डाविला
<1%

लुइस गिल्बर्टो मुरिलो
<1%

क्लाउडिया लोपेज़
<1%

डेविड लूना सांचेज़
<1%

जुआन डैनियल ओवीएदो
<1%

गुस्तावो बोलिवर
<1%

सर्जियो फाजार्डो
<1%

जुआन मैनुअल गालान
<1%

जर्मन वर्गास ल्लेरास
<1%

रॉय बैरेरास
<1%

डैनियल क्विंटेरो
<1%

जुआन कार्लोस पिन्ज़ोन
<1%

मौरिसियो कार्डेनास
<1%

एनरिक पेञालोसा
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of voting.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 23, 2025, 4:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of voting.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Iván Cepeda Castro holds a commanding position in trader consensus for Colombia’s May 31 first-round presidential vote because he consolidates support as the Historic Pact nominee succeeding President Gustavo Petro. Recent Invamer and AtlasIntel surveys place him at 37–44 percent, comfortably ahead of a divided opposition. Abelardo de la Espriella and Paloma Valencia split right-leaning voters after the March legislative primaries and party consultations, limiting each to the low-to-mid 20s. Fresh reports of armed-group intimidation in rural areas have prompted Cepeda to demand investigations, underscoring security concerns that could affect turnout. With only two weeks remaining and little sign of opposition consolidation, market pricing reflects the structural advantage Cepeda enjoys in a fragmented field.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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