This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors former Health and Human Services Secretary Xavier Becerra at 52% implied probability to win California's 2026 gubernatorial election, reflecting his surge in recent polls like the latest Emerson College survey where he leads amid early voting for the June 2 top-two primary. Becerra's gains stem from consolidating Democratic support after Rep. Eric Swalwell's April suspension, bolstered by his extensive experience as state attorney general and fundraising momentum positioning him as a safe choice against Republican threats from Steve Hilton and Riverside County Sheriff Chad Bianco. Billionaire Tom Steyer holds 32% odds via massive self-funding exceeding $130 million focused on affordability, while the fragmented field of over 30 candidates heightens risks of split votes; upcoming final debate and economy/housing priorities as top voter issues could shift dynamics before the November general.
This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Trader consensus on Polymarket favors former Health and Human Services Secretary Xavier Becerra at 52% implied probability to win California's 2026 gubernatorial election, reflecting his surge in recent polls like the latest Emerson College survey where he leads amid early voting for the June 2 top-two primary. Becerra's gains stem from consolidating Democratic support after Rep. Eric Swalwell's April suspension, bolstered by his extensive experience as state attorney general and fundraising momentum positioning him as a safe choice against Republican threats from Steve Hilton and Riverside County Sheriff Chad Bianco. Billionaire Tom Steyer holds 32% odds via massive self-funding exceeding $130 million focused on affordability, while the fragmented field of over 30 candidates heightens risks of split votes; upcoming final debate and economy/housing priorities as top voter issues could shift dynamics before the November general.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
May 12 2026
Tom Steyer’s polling declines after peak, Becerra rises
Tom Steyer plunges to 47%23%
Steyer’s market price dropped from 70% to 47% while Becerra’s rose, reflecting shifting voter preferences and campaign dynamics as the primary approached.
May 12 2026
Xavier Becerra surges in California governor race polls
Xavier Becerra surges to 52%21%
Xavier Becerra's campaign gained momentum in early May, reflected by a sharp increase in market price from 31% to 52%, indicating growing support ahead of the primary.
May 1 2026
Xavier Becerra gains momentum in California governor race
Xavier Becerra surges to 52%21%
Xavier Becerra's market price surged significantly in early May, reflecting increased support or positive developments in his campaign, possibly due to endorsements or campaign events.
Apr 23 2026
Xavier Becerra’s campaign gains momentum after policy rollout
Xavier Becerra surges to 31%31%
Becerra announced a new health‑care initiative that resonated with voters, lifting his market price from single digits to the low‑30s.
Apr 23 2026
Democrats fear vote splitting in California governor race could allow two Republicans to advance
With many Democratic candidates running, party insiders expressed concern that the split vote could enable two Republicans to advance to the general election, affecting market prices for both Democratic and Republican candidates.
Apr 22 2026
Xavier Becerra surges in polls amid Democratic field uncertainty
Xavier Becerra surges to 31%31%
Becerra’s market price rose sharply as he gained traction late in the primary season, capitalizing on the fragmented Democratic vote and Swalwell’s exit.
Apr 15 2026
Tom Steyer spends $115 million on TV ads in California governor race
Tom Steyer surges to 67%55%
Steyer’s unprecedented ad buy dramatically increased his visibility, pushing his market price from the low teens to a peak of 67% within days.
Apr 15 2026
Billionaire Tom Steyer spends heavily in California governor race
Tom Steyer surges to 70%52%
Tom Steyer launched a massive advertising campaign spending over $115 million, dominating media presence. Despite heavy spending, his polling gains were limited, causing market volatility.
Apr 15 2026
Tom Steyer peaks in polling after heavy ad spending
Tom Steyer surges to 70%21%
Steyer’s market price surged to a peak of 70% reflecting his dominant ad campaign and perceived frontrunner status in the Democratic field.
Apr 14 2026
Steve Hilton endorsed by President Donald Trump for California governor
Steve Hilton jumps to 12%6%
Steve Hilton, a conservative commentator and Republican candidate, received a high-profile endorsement from Donald Trump, boosting his profile and market price despite the crowded field.
Mar 10 2026
Eric Swalwell withdraws from governor race amid sexual assault allegations
Xavier Becerra dips to 1%3%
Swalwell’s abrupt exit removed a leading Democrat, causing a sharp drop in his own odds and a redistribution of support to remaining candidates, notably Tom Steyer.
Mar 10 2026
Polling shows tight race among Steyer, Porter, Hilton, and Bianco
Late winter polling indicated a close contest among Democratic candidates Steyer and Porter and Republicans Hilton and Bianco, reflecting market volatility and uncertainty.
Feb 20 2026
President Donald Trump endorses Steve Hilton for California governor
Steve Hilton jumps to 9%5%
Trump’s endorsement gave Hilton a credibility boost among Republican voters, lifting his market price modestly.
Jan 23 2026
San Jose Mayor Matt Mahan enters California governor race as moderate Democrat
Matt Mahan plunges to 16%30%
Matt Mahan announced his candidacy, positioning himself as a moderate Democrat with a record on homelessness and crime, attracting support from Silicon Valley and business leaders, which influenced his market price.
Jan 15 2026
San Jose Mayor Matt Mahan enters California governor race
Mahan announced his candidacy positioning himself as a moderate Democrat and critic of Newsom, briefly impacting his market price before declining.
Dec 1 2025
Billionaire Tom Steyer launches massive ad spending spree in California governor race
Tom Steyer surges to 38%20%
Tom Steyer began a large-scale advertising campaign using his personal fortune to dominate media presence in the governor's race, significantly increasing his visibility and market support despite no clear frontrunner emerging.
Dec 1 2025
San Jose Mayor Matt Mahan enters California governor race
Matt Mahan plunges to 16%30%
Mahan’s entry added a moderate Democrat to the field, drawing attention from centrist voters and slightly boosting his market price.
Nov 17 2025
Rep. Eric Swalwell suspends California governor campaign amid sexual assault allegations
Tom Steyer plunges to 20%29%
Swalwell's campaign collapsed rapidly after multiple sexual assault allegations surfaced, leading to his suspension of the campaign and eventual resignation from Congress. This event caused a significant reshuffling in the race, with his supporters and donors reconsidering their options, impacting the market prices for other candidates.
Oct 15 2025
Rep. Eric Swalwell launches campaign for California governor
Xavier Becerra plunges to 5%45%
Swalwell announced his candidacy on a national talk show, positioning himself as a fighter against rising costs, which gave his name an early market presence.
Oct 10 2025
Billionaire Tom Steyer begins massive ad spending in governor race
Steyer used his personal fortune to saturate media with ads, becoming the top spender and a leading Democratic candidate, impacting his polling and market price.
This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors former Health and Human Services Secretary Xavier Becerra at 52% implied probability to win California's 2026 gubernatorial election, reflecting his surge in recent polls like the latest Emerson College survey where he leads amid early voting for the June 2 top-two primary. Becerra's gains stem from consolidating Democratic support after Rep. Eric Swalwell's April suspension, bolstered by his extensive experience as state attorney general and fundraising momentum positioning him as a safe choice against Republican threats from Steve Hilton and Riverside County Sheriff Chad Bianco. Billionaire Tom Steyer holds 32% odds via massive self-funding exceeding $130 million focused on affordability, while the fragmented field of over 30 candidates heightens risks of split votes; upcoming final debate and economy/housing priorities as top voter issues could shift dynamics before the November general.
This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Trader consensus on Polymarket favors former Health and Human Services Secretary Xavier Becerra at 52% implied probability to win California's 2026 gubernatorial election, reflecting his surge in recent polls like the latest Emerson College survey where he leads amid early voting for the June 2 top-two primary. Becerra's gains stem from consolidating Democratic support after Rep. Eric Swalwell's April suspension, bolstered by his extensive experience as state attorney general and fundraising momentum positioning him as a safe choice against Republican threats from Steve Hilton and Riverside County Sheriff Chad Bianco. Billionaire Tom Steyer holds 32% odds via massive self-funding exceeding $130 million focused on affordability, while the fragmented field of over 30 candidates heightens risks of split votes; upcoming final debate and economy/housing priorities as top voter issues could shift dynamics before the November general.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
May 12 2026
Tom Steyer’s polling declines after peak, Becerra rises
Tom Steyer plunges to 47%23%
Steyer’s market price dropped from 70% to 47% while Becerra’s rose, reflecting shifting voter preferences and campaign dynamics as the primary approached.
May 12 2026
Xavier Becerra surges in California governor race polls
Xavier Becerra surges to 52%21%
Xavier Becerra's campaign gained momentum in early May, reflected by a sharp increase in market price from 31% to 52%, indicating growing support ahead of the primary.
May 1 2026
Xavier Becerra gains momentum in California governor race
Xavier Becerra surges to 52%21%
Xavier Becerra's market price surged significantly in early May, reflecting increased support or positive developments in his campaign, possibly due to endorsements or campaign events.
Apr 23 2026
Xavier Becerra’s campaign gains momentum after policy rollout
Xavier Becerra surges to 31%31%
Becerra announced a new health‑care initiative that resonated with voters, lifting his market price from single digits to the low‑30s.
Apr 23 2026
Democrats fear vote splitting in California governor race could allow two Republicans to advance
With many Democratic candidates running, party insiders expressed concern that the split vote could enable two Republicans to advance to the general election, affecting market prices for both Democratic and Republican candidates.
Apr 22 2026
Xavier Becerra surges in polls amid Democratic field uncertainty
Xavier Becerra surges to 31%31%
Becerra’s market price rose sharply as he gained traction late in the primary season, capitalizing on the fragmented Democratic vote and Swalwell’s exit.
Apr 15 2026
Tom Steyer spends $115 million on TV ads in California governor race
Tom Steyer surges to 67%55%
Steyer’s unprecedented ad buy dramatically increased his visibility, pushing his market price from the low teens to a peak of 67% within days.
Apr 15 2026
Billionaire Tom Steyer spends heavily in California governor race
Tom Steyer surges to 70%52%
Tom Steyer launched a massive advertising campaign spending over $115 million, dominating media presence. Despite heavy spending, his polling gains were limited, causing market volatility.
Apr 15 2026
Tom Steyer peaks in polling after heavy ad spending
Tom Steyer surges to 70%21%
Steyer’s market price surged to a peak of 70% reflecting his dominant ad campaign and perceived frontrunner status in the Democratic field.
Apr 14 2026
Steve Hilton endorsed by President Donald Trump for California governor
Steve Hilton jumps to 12%6%
Steve Hilton, a conservative commentator and Republican candidate, received a high-profile endorsement from Donald Trump, boosting his profile and market price despite the crowded field.
Mar 10 2026
Eric Swalwell withdraws from governor race amid sexual assault allegations
Xavier Becerra dips to 1%3%
Swalwell’s abrupt exit removed a leading Democrat, causing a sharp drop in his own odds and a redistribution of support to remaining candidates, notably Tom Steyer.
Mar 10 2026
Polling shows tight race among Steyer, Porter, Hilton, and Bianco
Late winter polling indicated a close contest among Democratic candidates Steyer and Porter and Republicans Hilton and Bianco, reflecting market volatility and uncertainty.
Feb 20 2026
President Donald Trump endorses Steve Hilton for California governor
Steve Hilton jumps to 9%5%
Trump’s endorsement gave Hilton a credibility boost among Republican voters, lifting his market price modestly.
Jan 23 2026
San Jose Mayor Matt Mahan enters California governor race as moderate Democrat
Matt Mahan plunges to 16%30%
Matt Mahan announced his candidacy, positioning himself as a moderate Democrat with a record on homelessness and crime, attracting support from Silicon Valley and business leaders, which influenced his market price.
Jan 15 2026
San Jose Mayor Matt Mahan enters California governor race
Mahan announced his candidacy positioning himself as a moderate Democrat and critic of Newsom, briefly impacting his market price before declining.
Dec 1 2025
Billionaire Tom Steyer launches massive ad spending spree in California governor race
Tom Steyer surges to 38%20%
Tom Steyer began a large-scale advertising campaign using his personal fortune to dominate media presence in the governor's race, significantly increasing his visibility and market support despite no clear frontrunner emerging.
Dec 1 2025
San Jose Mayor Matt Mahan enters California governor race
Matt Mahan plunges to 16%30%
Mahan’s entry added a moderate Democrat to the field, drawing attention from centrist voters and slightly boosting his market price.
Nov 17 2025
Rep. Eric Swalwell suspends California governor campaign amid sexual assault allegations
Tom Steyer plunges to 20%29%
Swalwell's campaign collapsed rapidly after multiple sexual assault allegations surfaced, leading to his suspension of the campaign and eventual resignation from Congress. This event caused a significant reshuffling in the race, with his supporters and donors reconsidering their options, impacting the market prices for other candidates.
Oct 15 2025
Rep. Eric Swalwell launches campaign for California governor
Xavier Becerra plunges to 5%45%
Swalwell announced his candidacy on a national talk show, positioning himself as a fighter against rising costs, which gave his name an early market presence.
Oct 10 2025
Billionaire Tom Steyer begins massive ad spending in governor race
Steyer used his personal fortune to saturate media with ads, becoming the top spender and a leading Democratic candidate, impacting his polling and market price.
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न
"कैलिफ़ोर्निया के गवर्नर चुनाव विजेता" Polymarket पर 23 संभावित परिणामों वाला एक प्रेडिक्शन मार्केट है। वर्तमान में, ज़ेवियर बेसेरा 52% (52¢¢ प्रति शेयर) की implied probability के साथ आगे है, उसके बाद टॉम स्टेयर 32% पर है।
आज तक, "कैलिफ़ोर्निया के गवर्नर चुनाव विजेता" ने कुल $21.7 million ट्रेडिंग वॉल्यूम उत्पन्न किया है जब से बाज़ार Oct 9, 2025 को लॉन्च हुआ। ट्रेडिंग गतिविधि का यह स्तर Polymarket समुदाय से मज़बूत जुड़ाव दर्शाता है और यह सुनिश्चित करने में मदद करता है कि वर्तमान संभावनाएँ बाज़ार प्रतिभागियों के गहरे पूल से सूचित हैं। आप इस पेज पर सीधे लाइव मूल्य गतिविधियाँ ट्रैक कर सकते हैं और किसी भी परिणाम पर ट्रेड कर सकते हैं।
"कैलिफ़ोर्निया के गवर्नर चुनाव विजेता" पर ट्रेड करने के लिए, इस पेज पर सूचीबद्ध 23 उपलब्ध परिणाम ब्राउज़ करें। प्रत्येक परिणाम बाज़ार की निहित संभावना को दर्शाने वाली वर्तमान कीमत प्रदर्शित करता है। पोजीशन लेने के लिए, वह परिणाम चुनें जो आपको सबसे संभावित लगता है, उसके पक्ष में ट्रेड करने के लिए "हाँ" या विरुद्ध ट्रेड करने के लिए "नहीं" चुनें, अपनी राशि दर्ज करें, और "ट्रेड" पर क्लिक करें।
"कैलिफ़ोर्निया के गवर्नर चुनाव विजेता" के लिए वर्तमान प्रबल दावेदार "ज़ेवियर बेसेरा" 52% पर है। निकटतम परिणाम "टॉम स्टेयर" 32% पर है। ये संभावनाएँ रियल-टाइम में अपडेट होती हैं जैसे-जैसे ट्रेडर शेयर खरीदते और बेचते हैं।
"कैलिफ़ोर्निया के गवर्नर चुनाव विजेता" के समाधान नियम ठीक-ठीक परिभाषित करते हैं कि प्रत्येक परिणाम को विजेता घोषित करने के लिए क्या होना चाहिए — जिसमें परिणाम निर्धारित करने के लिए उपयोग किए गए आधिकारिक डेटा स्रोत शामिल हैं। आप इस पेज पर टिप्पणियों के ऊपर "नियम" अनुभाग में पूर्ण समाधान मानदंड की समीक्षा कर सकते हैं।
हाँ। सूचित रहने के लिए आपको ट्रेड करने की ज़रूरत नहीं है। यह पेज "कैलिफ़ोर्निया के गवर्नर चुनाव विजेता" के लिए लाइव ट्रैकर के रूप में काम करता है। नए ट्रेड आने पर परिणाम संभावनाएँ रियल-टाइम में अपडेट होती हैं। आप इस पेज को बुकमार्क कर सकते हैं और टिप्पणी अनुभाग में देख सकते हैं कि अन्य ट्रेडर क्या कह रहे हैं।
Polymarket की संभावनाएँ असली ट्रेडरों द्वारा अपने विश्वासों के पीछे असली पैसा लगाकर निर्धारित होती हैं, जो सटीक पूर्वानुमान सामने लाने की प्रवृत्ति रखती है। "कैलिफ़ोर्निया के गवर्नर चुनाव विजेता" पर $21.7 million ट्रेड होने के साथ, ये कीमतें हज़ारों प्रतिभागियों के सामूहिक ज्ञान और विश्वास को एकत्र करती हैं। उदाहरण के लिए, Polymarket का एक महीने का सटीकता स्कोर 94% है। Polymarket की पूर्वानुमान सटीकता पर नवीनतम आँकड़ों के लिए, सटीकता पेज Polymarket पर देखें।
"कैलिफ़ोर्निया के गवर्नर चुनाव विजेता" पर अपना पहला ट्रेड करने के लिए, एक मुफ़्त Polymarket अकाउंट के लिए साइन अप करें और क्रिप्टो, क्रेडिट या डेबिट कार्ड, या बैंक ट्रांसफ़र से फ़ंड करें। एक बार आपका अकाउंट फ़ंडेड हो जाने पर, इस पेज पर वापस आएँ, जिस परिणाम पर आप ट्रेड करना चाहते हैं उसे चुनें, अपनी राशि दर्ज करें, और "ट्रेड" पर क्लिक करें।
Polymarket पर, प्रत्येक परिणाम की कीमत बाज़ार की निहित संभावना को दर्शाती है। "कैलिफ़ोर्निया के गवर्नर चुनाव विजेता" बाज़ार में "ज़ेवियर बेसेरा" के लिए 52¢ की कीमत का मतलब है कि ट्रेडर सामूहिक रूप से मानते हैं कि "ज़ेवियर बेसेरा" के सही परिणाम होने की लगभग 52% संभावना है। अगर आप 52¢ पर "हाँ" शेयर खरीदते हैं और परिणाम सही है, तो आपको प्रति शेयर $1.00 मिलता है — प्रति शेयर 48¢ का लाभ।
"कैलिफ़ोर्निया के गवर्नर चुनाव विजेता" बाज़ार Nov 3, 2026 को या उसके आसपास हल होने के लिए निर्धारित है। इसका मतलब है कि उस तिथि तक ट्रेडिंग खुली रहेगी और संभावनाएँ बदलती रहेंगी।
"कैलिफ़ोर्निया के गवर्नर चुनाव विजेता" बाज़ार में 60 टिप्पणियों का एक सक्रिय समुदाय है जहाँ ट्रेडर अपना विश्लेषण साझा करते हैं, परिणामों पर बहस करते हैं, और ब्रेकिंग विकासों पर चर्चा करते हैं। अन्य प्रतिभागी क्या सोचते हैं पढ़ने के लिए नीचे टिप्पणी अनुभाग तक स्क्रॉल करें।
Polymarket दुनिया का सबसे बड़ा पूर्वानुमान बाज़ार है, जहाँ आप वास्तविक दुनिया की घटनाओं के अपने ज्ञान से सूचित रह सकते हैं और लाभ कमा सकते हैं। ट्रेडर राजनीति और चुनावों से लेकर क्रिप्टो, वित्त, खेल, तकनीक, और संस्कृति तक के विषयों पर परिणामों में शेयर खरीदते और बेचते हैं, जिसमें "कैलिफ़ोर्निया के गवर्नर चुनाव विजेता" जैसे बाज़ार शामिल हैं।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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