Recent polling in Florida’s 7th Congressional District Republican primary shows Ryan Elijah leading incumbent Cory Mills by double digits, with one survey from mid-August placing Elijah at 44% to Mills’ 27% among likely voters and another earlier poll showing a narrower but similar gap. The August 18 primary features a four-candidate field that includes Michael Johnson and Sarah Ulrich, contributing to vote fragmentation and uncertainty over the final margin. Mills has drawn scrutiny over ethics issues and Justice Department matters, while Elijah has secured notable endorsements and fundraising support that have boosted his profile. With the contest occurring in two days and a sizable share of voters remaining undecided, traders assign the highest probability to outcomes outside the listed Mills or Elijah margin buckets. This reflects the potential for a multi-candidate split, last-minute shifts, or an unexpected result by one of the lower-polling contenders.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाएलिय्याह <5% 27%
एलिय्याह 20–25% 27%
मिल्स 20–25% 27%
मिल्स 15–20% 26%
नया
नया
18 अग, 2026
मिल्स 25%+
20%
मिल्स 20–25%
27%
मिल्स 15–20%
26%
मिल्स 10–15%
26%
मिल्स 5–10%
25%
मिल्स <5%
26%
एलिय्याह <5%
27%
एलिय्याह 5–10%
25%
एलिजा 10–15%
26%
एलिजा 15–20%
26%
एलिय्याह 20–25%
27%
एलिय्याह 25%+
22%
एलिय्याह <5% 27%
एलिय्याह 20–25% 27%
मिल्स 20–25% 27%
मिल्स 15–20% 26%
नया
नया
18 अग, 2026
मिल्स 25%+
$49 वॉल्यूम
20%
मिल्स 20–25%
$0 वॉल्यूम
27%
मिल्स 15–20%
$0 वॉल्यूम
26%
मिल्स 10–15%
$0 वॉल्यूम
26%
मिल्स 5–10%
$0 वॉल्यूम
25%
मिल्स <5%
$0 वॉल्यूम
26%
एलिय्याह <5%
$0 वॉल्यूम
27%
एलिय्याह 5–10%
$0 वॉल्यूम
25%
एलिजा 10–15%
$0 वॉल्यूम
26%
एलिजा 15–20%
$0 वॉल्यूम
26%
एलिय्याह 20–25%
$0 वॉल्यूम
27%
एलिय्याह 25%+
$57 वॉल्यूम
22%
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Republican Primary for Florida's 7th Congressional District (FL-07).
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Recent polling in Florida’s 7th Congressional District Republican primary shows Ryan Elijah leading incumbent Cory Mills by double digits, with one survey from mid-August placing Elijah at 44% to Mills’ 27% among likely voters and another earlier poll showing a narrower but similar gap. The August 18 primary features a four-candidate field that includes Michael Johnson and Sarah Ulrich, contributing to vote fragmentation and uncertainty over the final margin. Mills has drawn scrutiny over ethics issues and Justice Department matters, while Elijah has secured notable endorsements and fundraising support that have boosted his profile. With the contest occurring in two days and a sizable share of voters remaining undecided, traders assign the highest probability to outcomes outside the listed Mills or Elijah margin buckets. This reflects the potential for a multi-candidate split, last-minute shifts, or an unexpected result by one of the lower-polling contenders.
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Republican Primary for Florida's 7th Congressional District (FL-07).
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Republican Primary for Florida's 7th Congressional District (FL-07).
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 14, 2026, 5:48 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$106समाप्ति तिथि
18 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 14, 2026, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Republican Primary for Florida's 7th Congressional District (FL-07).
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Recent polling in Florida’s 7th Congressional District Republican primary shows Ryan Elijah leading incumbent Cory Mills by double digits, with one survey from mid-August placing Elijah at 44% to Mills’ 27% among likely voters and another earlier poll showing a narrower but similar gap. The August 18 primary features a four-candidate field that includes Michael Johnson and Sarah Ulrich, contributing to vote fragmentation and uncertainty over the final margin. Mills has drawn scrutiny over ethics issues and Justice Department matters, while Elijah has secured notable endorsements and fundraising support that have boosted his profile. With the contest occurring in two days and a sizable share of voters remaining undecided, traders assign the highest probability to outcomes outside the listed Mills or Elijah margin buckets. This reflects the potential for a multi-candidate split, last-minute shifts, or an unexpected result by one of the lower-polling contenders.
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Republican Primary for Florida's 7th Congressional District (FL-07).
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Republican Primary for Florida's 7th Congressional District (FL-07).
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
वॉल्यूम
$106समाप्ति तिथि
18 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 14, 2026, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling in Florida’s 7th Congressional District Republican primary shows Ryan Elijah leading incumbent Cory Mills by double digits, with one survey from mid-August placing Elijah at 44% to Mills’ 27% among likely voters and another earlier poll showing a narrower but similar gap. The August 18 primary features a four-candidate field that includes Michael Johnson and Sarah Ulrich, contributing to vote fragmentation and uncertainty over the final margin. Mills has drawn scrutiny over ethics issues and Justice Department matters, while Elijah has secured notable endorsements and fundraising support that have boosted his profile. With the contest occurring in two days and a sizable share of voters remaining undecided, traders assign the highest probability to outcomes outside the listed Mills or Elijah margin buckets. This reflects the potential for a multi-candidate split, last-minute shifts, or an unexpected result by one of the lower-polling contenders.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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