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Aisha Wahab 89%

Rakhi Israni Singh 7.6%

Matt Ortega 3.8%

Melissa Hernandez 3.7%

Polymarket
नया

Aisha Wahab 89%

Rakhi Israni Singh 7.6%

Matt Ortega 3.8%

Melissa Hernandez 3.7%

Polymarket
नया

Aisha Wahab

$429 वॉल्यूम

89%

Melissa Hernandez

$212 वॉल्यूम

4%

Wendy Huang

$165 वॉल्यूम

<1%

Carin Elam

$210 वॉल्यूम

4%

Matt Ortega

$183 वॉल्यूम

4%

Rakhi Israni Singh

$308 वॉल्यूम

8%

Victor Aguilar Jr.

$152 वॉल्यूम

3%

A special election is scheduled for August 18, 2026 to fill the seat of California’s 14th Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. This market will resolve according to the winner of this election. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.Aisha Wahab holds the strongest position in the California 14th Congressional District special election to fill the vacancy created by Eric Swalwell’s April resignation. Her California Democratic Party endorsement and dominant performance in the recent endorsing caucus have consolidated support among party delegates and voters in this heavily Democratic East Bay district. With a top-two special primary set for June 16 and a potential runoff on August 18, traders view Wahab as the clear favorite to advance and prevail, reflecting her state senate experience and broad organizational backing. Other Democratic contenders including Rakhi Israni Singh, Matt Ortega, Melissa Hernandez, and Carin Elam remain in the field but trail significantly, while Republican Wendy Huang faces structural challenges in the district.

A special election is scheduled for August 18, 2026 to fill the seat of California’s 14th Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives.

This market will resolve according to the winner of this election.

This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
वॉल्यूम
$1,658
समाप्ति तिथि
18 अग, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
Apr 16, 2026, 1:41 PM ET
A special election is scheduled for August 18, 2026 to fill the seat of California’s 14th Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. This market will resolve according to the winner of this election. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
A special election is scheduled for August 18, 2026 to fill the seat of California’s 14th Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. This market will resolve according to the winner of this election. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.Aisha Wahab holds the strongest position in the California 14th Congressional District special election to fill the vacancy created by Eric Swalwell’s April resignation. Her California Democratic Party endorsement and dominant performance in the recent endorsing caucus have consolidated support among party delegates and voters in this heavily Democratic East Bay district. With a top-two special primary set for June 16 and a potential runoff on August 18, traders view Wahab as the clear favorite to advance and prevail, reflecting her state senate experience and broad organizational backing. Other Democratic contenders including Rakhi Israni Singh, Matt Ortega, Melissa Hernandez, and Carin Elam remain in the field but trail significantly, while Republican Wendy Huang faces structural challenges in the district.

A special election is scheduled for August 18, 2026 to fill the seat of California’s 14th Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives.

This market will resolve according to the winner of this election.

This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
वॉल्यूम
$1,658
समाप्ति तिथि
18 अग, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
Apr 16, 2026, 1:41 PM ET
A special election is scheduled for August 18, 2026 to fill the seat of California’s 14th Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. This market will resolve according to the winner of this election. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।

अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न

"CA-14 Special Election Winner?" Polymarket पर 7 संभावित परिणामों वाला एक प्रेडिक्शन मार्केट है। वर्तमान में, Aisha Wahab 89% (89¢¢ प्रति शेयर) की implied probability के साथ आगे है, उसके बाद Rakhi Israni Singh 8% पर है।

"CA-14 Special Election Winner?" Polymarket पर एक नवनिर्मित बाज़ार है, Apr 16, 2026 को लॉन्च किया गया। एक शुरुआती बाज़ार के रूप में, यह पहले ट्रेडरों में शामिल होने और संभावनाएँ सेट करने और बाज़ार के शुरुआती मूल्य संकेत स्थापित करने का आपका अवसर है। आप समय के साथ बाज़ार की गति बढ़ने पर वॉल्यूम और ट्रेडिंग गतिविधि को ट्रैक करने के लिए इस पेज को बुकमार्क भी कर सकते हैं।

"CA-14 Special Election Winner?" पर ट्रेड करने के लिए, इस पेज पर सूचीबद्ध 7 उपलब्ध परिणाम ब्राउज़ करें। प्रत्येक परिणाम बाज़ार की निहित संभावना को दर्शाने वाली वर्तमान कीमत प्रदर्शित करता है। पोजीशन लेने के लिए, वह परिणाम चुनें जो आपको सबसे संभावित लगता है, उसके पक्ष में ट्रेड करने के लिए "हाँ" या विरुद्ध ट्रेड करने के लिए "नहीं" चुनें, अपनी राशि दर्ज करें, और "ट्रेड" पर क्लिक करें।

"CA-14 Special Election Winner?" के लिए वर्तमान प्रबल दावेदार "Aisha Wahab" 89% पर है। निकटतम परिणाम "Rakhi Israni Singh" 8% पर है। ये संभावनाएँ रियल-टाइम में अपडेट होती हैं जैसे-जैसे ट्रेडर शेयर खरीदते और बेचते हैं।

"CA-14 Special Election Winner?" के समाधान नियम ठीक-ठीक परिभाषित करते हैं कि प्रत्येक परिणाम को विजेता घोषित करने के लिए क्या होना चाहिए — जिसमें परिणाम निर्धारित करने के लिए उपयोग किए गए आधिकारिक डेटा स्रोत शामिल हैं। आप इस पेज पर टिप्पणियों के ऊपर "नियम" अनुभाग में पूर्ण समाधान मानदंड की समीक्षा कर सकते हैं।