The resignation of Representative Eric Swalwell in April 2026 amid misconduct allegations triggered the special election to fill California's 14th Congressional District seat through a June 16 nonpartisan primary, with a potential August runoff if no candidate secures a majority. State Senator Aisha Wahab leads trader consensus due to her California Democratic Party endorsement, prior congressional candidacy, and established support across Alameda County Democratic organizations in a district that delivered nearly 70 percent support for the previous Democratic incumbent. Other listed candidates, including Rakhi Israni Singh, Matt Ortega, and Melissa Hernandez, remain lower-probability alternatives in the crowded Democratic field, while Republican Wendy Huang trails further behind amid the district's partisan composition. Upcoming vote thresholds and ballot order will determine whether the race resolves outright or advances.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाCA-14 Special Election Winner?
CA-14 Special Election Winner?
Aisha Wahab 89%
Rakhi Israni Singh 16.0%
Wendy Huang 5.0%
Matt Ortega 3.9%
Aisha Wahab
89%
Melissa Hernandez
4%
Wendy Huang
5%
Carin Elam
4%
Matt Ortega
4%
Rakhi Israni Singh
17%
Victor Aguilar Jr.
4%
Aisha Wahab 89%
Rakhi Israni Singh 16.0%
Wendy Huang 5.0%
Matt Ortega 3.9%
Aisha Wahab
89%
Melissa Hernandez
4%
Wendy Huang
5%
Carin Elam
4%
Matt Ortega
4%
Rakhi Israni Singh
17%
Victor Aguilar Jr.
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of this election.
This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 16, 2026, 1:41 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the winner of this election.
This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resignation of Representative Eric Swalwell in April 2026 amid misconduct allegations triggered the special election to fill California's 14th Congressional District seat through a June 16 nonpartisan primary, with a potential August runoff if no candidate secures a majority. State Senator Aisha Wahab leads trader consensus due to her California Democratic Party endorsement, prior congressional candidacy, and established support across Alameda County Democratic organizations in a district that delivered nearly 70 percent support for the previous Democratic incumbent. Other listed candidates, including Rakhi Israni Singh, Matt Ortega, and Melissa Hernandez, remain lower-probability alternatives in the crowded Democratic field, while Republican Wendy Huang trails further behind amid the district's partisan composition. Upcoming vote thresholds and ballot order will determine whether the race resolves outright or advances.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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