**Tom Cruise’s satirical drama “Digger,” directed by Alejandro G. Iñárritu, faces a sharply revised domestic opening-weekend outlook of roughly $12M or lower.** Tracking has fallen from earlier $20M-plus estimates to the $12–15M range (with some analysts now eyeing $8–12M), driven by soft presales, mixed-to-negative early social and critical reaction to the non-traditional Cruise role, and stiff competition from the higher-tracking Colleen Hoover adaptation “Verity.” Warner Bros. is projecting a modest $12–15M debut from 3,300 theaters, while international results in France have also underperformed relative to expectations. With the three-day frame (Oct. 2–4) imminent and no major positive momentum shift reported, trader consensus has coalesced around the 9–13M brackets.