Avengers: Doomsday leads trader sentiment at 73% implied probability due to its record-shattering pre-sales momentum and MCU franchise power ahead of its December 18 release. Domestic advance tickets have surged past $70 million following recent Scarlet Witch reveals and cast promotions, with early tracking projecting a $340–410 million domestic opening weekend that could eclipse Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s $360 million benchmark from July. The Russo brothers’ direction and Robert Downey Jr.’s Doctor Doom casting fuel broad audience anticipation in a year of superhero dominance. Spider-Man: Brand New Day holds 26.5% as the current 2026 record holder but faces no further upside. The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping and Dune: Messiah sit at 0.1% each, reflecting their projected openings in the $60–120 million range amid direct competition and smaller scale.