Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $360 million domestic opening in late July has established it as the clear frontrunner, driving its 76.5% market-implied probability. The Tom Holland-Zendaya sequel shattered Avengers: Endgame’s long-standing benchmark through exceptional presales, premium-format demand, and broad audience appeal that overcame superhero fatigue concerns. Avengers: Doomsday maintains a 23.5% share on the strength of its December 18 release, massive trailer buzz, and early ticket sales, though its later slot and direct competition with Dune: Messiah limit upside. Toy Story 5’s earlier $159.6 million debut and the remaining titles’ more modest trajectories leave them as long shots. Traders are pricing in the verified performance as the decisive factor ahead of the holiday frame.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाWhich movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 77%
Avengers: Doomsday 24%
Toy Story 5 <1%
Dune: Messiah <1%
$62,874 वॉल्यूम
$62,874 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
77%
Avengers: Doomsday
24%
Toy Story 5
1%
Dune: Messiah
<1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
<1%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 77%
Avengers: Doomsday 24%
Toy Story 5 <1%
Dune: Messiah <1%
$62,874 वॉल्यूम
$62,874 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
$15,104 वॉल्यूम
77%
Avengers: Doomsday
$16,090 वॉल्यूम
24%
Toy Story 5
$3,120 वॉल्यूम
1%
Dune: Messiah
$3,010 वॉल्यूम
<1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
$3,404 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $360 million domestic opening in late July has established it as the clear frontrunner, driving its 76.5% market-implied probability. The Tom Holland-Zendaya sequel shattered Avengers: Endgame’s long-standing benchmark through exceptional presales, premium-format demand, and broad audience appeal that overcame superhero fatigue concerns. Avengers: Doomsday maintains a 23.5% share on the strength of its December 18 release, massive trailer buzz, and early ticket sales, though its later slot and direct competition with Dune: Messiah limit upside. Toy Story 5’s earlier $159.6 million debut and the remaining titles’ more modest trajectories leave them as long shots. Traders are pricing in the verified performance as the decisive factor ahead of the holiday frame.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$62,874समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $360 million domestic opening in late July has established it as the clear frontrunner, driving its 76.5% market-implied probability. The Tom Holland-Zendaya sequel shattered Avengers: Endgame’s long-standing benchmark through exceptional presales, premium-format demand, and broad audience appeal that overcame superhero fatigue concerns. Avengers: Doomsday maintains a 23.5% share on the strength of its December 18 release, massive trailer buzz, and early ticket sales, though its later slot and direct competition with Dune: Messiah limit upside. Toy Story 5’s earlier $159.6 million debut and the remaining titles’ more modest trajectories leave them as long shots. Traders are pricing in the verified performance as the decisive factor ahead of the holiday frame.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
वॉल्यूम
$62,874समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $360 million domestic opening in late July has established it as the clear frontrunner, driving its 76.5% market-implied probability. The Tom Holland-Zendaya sequel shattered Avengers: Endgame’s long-standing benchmark through exceptional presales, premium-format demand, and broad audience appeal that overcame superhero fatigue concerns. Avengers: Doomsday maintains a 23.5% share on the strength of its December 18 release, massive trailer buzz, and early ticket sales, though its later slot and direct competition with Dune: Messiah limit upside. Toy Story 5’s earlier $159.6 million debut and the remaining titles’ more modest trajectories leave them as long shots. Traders are pricing in the verified performance as the decisive factor ahead of the holiday frame.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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