Toy Story 5's commanding 94.5% market-implied probability for the third-largest 2026 domestic opening weekend rests on its confirmed $160 million June debut, the strongest animated start of the year and a clear step behind only Spider-Man: Brand New Day's record $360 million launch. Pixar franchise loyalty, strong family audience turnout, and favorable summer positioning locked in this standing amid a year featuring fewer comparable mid-tier event films. Late-year releases such as Dune: Messiah or The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping could realistically produce an upset by delivering outsized openings that reorder the top three, though current tracking and historical patterns make such shifts unlikely without exceptional presales momentum.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया2026 में किस फिल्म का तीसरा सबसे बड़ा ओपनिंग वीकेंड है?
2026 में किस फिल्म का तीसरा सबसे बड़ा ओपनिंग वीकेंड है?
Toy Story 5 95%
Dune: Messiah 3.7%
Avengers: Doomsday 2.1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping 1.3%
$30,802 वॉल्यूम
$30,802 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
Toy Story 5
95%
Dune: Messiah
4%
Avengers: Doomsday
2%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
1%
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie
1%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
<1%
Toy Story 5 95%
Dune: Messiah 3.7%
Avengers: Doomsday 2.1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping 1.3%
$30,802 वॉल्यूम
$30,802 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
Toy Story 5
$19,261 वॉल्यूम
95%
Dune: Messiah
$2,175 वॉल्यूम
4%
Avengers: Doomsday
$1,766 वॉल्यूम
2%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
$1,705 वॉल्यूम
1%
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie
$1,961 वॉल्यूम
1%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
$2,300 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses the third-most domestically on its opening weekend among all movies in 2026. The "Weekend Box Office Performance" table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the third-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 3rd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Toy Story 5's commanding 94.5% market-implied probability for the third-largest 2026 domestic opening weekend rests on its confirmed $160 million June debut, the strongest animated start of the year and a clear step behind only Spider-Man: Brand New Day's record $360 million launch. Pixar franchise loyalty, strong family audience turnout, and favorable summer positioning locked in this standing amid a year featuring fewer comparable mid-tier event films. Late-year releases such as Dune: Messiah or The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping could realistically produce an upset by delivering outsized openings that reorder the top three, though current tracking and historical patterns make such shifts unlikely without exceptional presales momentum.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses the third-most domestically on its opening weekend among all movies in 2026. The "Weekend Box Office Performance" table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the third-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 3rd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the third-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 3rd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 23, 2026, 11:38 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$30,802समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jul 23, 2026, 11:38 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses the third-most domestically on its opening weekend among all movies in 2026. The "Weekend Box Office Performance" table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the third-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 3rd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Toy Story 5's commanding 94.5% market-implied probability for the third-largest 2026 domestic opening weekend rests on its confirmed $160 million June debut, the strongest animated start of the year and a clear step behind only Spider-Man: Brand New Day's record $360 million launch. Pixar franchise loyalty, strong family audience turnout, and favorable summer positioning locked in this standing amid a year featuring fewer comparable mid-tier event films. Late-year releases such as Dune: Messiah or The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping could realistically produce an upset by delivering outsized openings that reorder the top three, though current tracking and historical patterns make such shifts unlikely without exceptional presales momentum.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses the third-most domestically on its opening weekend among all movies in 2026. The "Weekend Box Office Performance" table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the third-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 3rd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the third-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 3rd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
वॉल्यूम
$30,802समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jul 23, 2026, 11:38 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Toy Story 5's commanding 94.5% market-implied probability for the third-largest 2026 domestic opening weekend rests on its confirmed $160 million June debut, the strongest animated start of the year and a clear step behind only Spider-Man: Brand New Day's record $360 million launch. Pixar franchise loyalty, strong family audience turnout, and favorable summer positioning locked in this standing amid a year featuring fewer comparable mid-tier event films. Late-year releases such as Dune: Messiah or The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping could realistically produce an upset by delivering outsized openings that reorder the top three, though current tracking and historical patterns make such shifts unlikely without exceptional presales momentum.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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