Brazil's status as five-time World Cup champions and their deep squad under Carlo Ancelotti anchor the 76.5% implied probability for topping Group C. The Seleção enter with strong recent form, a mix of established stars and emerging talents, and favorable matchups against Morocco on June 13, Haiti on June 19, and Scotland on June 24. Morocco's 19.5% chance reflects their continued rise, including an eighth-place FIFA ranking and an unbeaten stretch since late 2025, though the Atlas Lions face a tougher path in a group that includes their first meeting with Brazil since 1998. Scotland and Haiti sit at 4.9% and 0.4% respectively, limited by shallower rosters and minimal recent success at the senior international level. Trader positioning aligns closely with historical performance gaps and current squad depth heading into the June kickoff.