Florida's Republican tilt and Ashley Moody's position as the appointed incumbent have anchored trader expectations for the November 2026 special Senate election. Moody, chosen by Governor Ron DeSantis to finish Marco Rubio's term after his resignation for a cabinet role, leads prospective Democratic nominees Angie Nixon and Alex Vindman by 8–10 points in July University of North Florida polling. The August 18 Democratic primary will set the general-election matchup, but current surveys show limited movement in voter preferences amid Florida's historical Senate voting patterns. Traders have reflected these structural and polling factors in the 87% Republican consensus, with the narrow Democratic path dependent on primary dynamics or late shifts before Election Day.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$68,903 वॉल्यूम
$68,903 वॉल्यूम
रिपब्लिकन
87%
डेमोक्रेट
14%
$68,903 वॉल्यूम
$68,903 वॉल्यूम
रिपब्लिकन
$39,045 वॉल्यूम
87%
डेमोक्रेट
$29,859 वॉल्यूम
14%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Florida's Republican tilt and Ashley Moody's position as the appointed incumbent have anchored trader expectations for the November 2026 special Senate election. Moody, chosen by Governor Ron DeSantis to finish Marco Rubio's term after his resignation for a cabinet role, leads prospective Democratic nominees Angie Nixon and Alex Vindman by 8–10 points in July University of North Florida polling. The August 18 Democratic primary will set the general-election matchup, but current surveys show limited movement in voter preferences amid Florida's historical Senate voting patterns. Traders have reflected these structural and polling factors in the 87% Republican consensus, with the narrow Democratic path dependent on primary dynamics or late shifts before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
बाज़ार खुला: Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$68,903बाज़ार खुला
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Florida's Republican tilt and Ashley Moody's position as the appointed incumbent have anchored trader expectations for the November 2026 special Senate election. Moody, chosen by Governor Ron DeSantis to finish Marco Rubio's term after his resignation for a cabinet role, leads prospective Democratic nominees Angie Nixon and Alex Vindman by 8–10 points in July University of North Florida polling. The August 18 Democratic primary will set the general-election matchup, but current surveys show limited movement in voter preferences amid Florida's historical Senate voting patterns. Traders have reflected these structural and polling factors in the 87% Republican consensus, with the narrow Democratic path dependent on primary dynamics or late shifts before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
वॉल्यूम
$68,903बाज़ार खुला
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's Republican tilt and Ashley Moody's position as the appointed incumbent have anchored trader expectations for the November 2026 special Senate election. Moody, chosen by Governor Ron DeSantis to finish Marco Rubio's term after his resignation for a cabinet role, leads prospective Democratic nominees Angie Nixon and Alex Vindman by 8–10 points in July University of North Florida polling. The August 18 Democratic primary will set the general-election matchup, but current surveys show limited movement in voter preferences amid Florida's historical Senate voting patterns. Traders have reflected these structural and polling factors in the 87% Republican consensus, with the narrow Democratic path dependent on primary dynamics or late shifts before Election Day.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न