Florida's Republican-leaning electorate and the appointment of Ashley Moody as interim senator have anchored trader expectations for a GOP victory in the 2026 special election. Recent statewide polls from April and May 2026 consistently show Moody leading Democratic contenders such as Alexander Vindman or Angie Nixon by 7 to 13 points, reflecting the state's partisan voting index and limited Democratic inroads despite notable fundraising by several challengers. With Republican and Democratic primaries set for August 18 and the general election on November 3, the race remains focused on turnout among core voter blocs and any late shifts in national political conditions that could narrow the current margin.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$37,324 वॉल्यूम
$37,324 वॉल्यूम
रिपब्लिकन
80%
डेमोक्रेट
17%
$37,324 वॉल्यूम
$37,324 वॉल्यूम
रिपब्लिकन
$19,980 वॉल्यूम
80%
डेमोक्रेट
$17,344 वॉल्यूम
17%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Florida's Republican-leaning electorate and the appointment of Ashley Moody as interim senator have anchored trader expectations for a GOP victory in the 2026 special election. Recent statewide polls from April and May 2026 consistently show Moody leading Democratic contenders such as Alexander Vindman or Angie Nixon by 7 to 13 points, reflecting the state's partisan voting index and limited Democratic inroads despite notable fundraising by several challengers. With Republican and Democratic primaries set for August 18 and the general election on November 3, the race remains focused on turnout among core voter blocs and any late shifts in national political conditions that could narrow the current margin.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
बाज़ार खुला: Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$37,324बाज़ार खुला
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Florida's Republican-leaning electorate and the appointment of Ashley Moody as interim senator have anchored trader expectations for a GOP victory in the 2026 special election. Recent statewide polls from April and May 2026 consistently show Moody leading Democratic contenders such as Alexander Vindman or Angie Nixon by 7 to 13 points, reflecting the state's partisan voting index and limited Democratic inroads despite notable fundraising by several challengers. With Republican and Democratic primaries set for August 18 and the general election on November 3, the race remains focused on turnout among core voter blocs and any late shifts in national political conditions that could narrow the current margin.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
वॉल्यूम
$37,324बाज़ार खुला
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's Republican-leaning electorate and the appointment of Ashley Moody as interim senator have anchored trader expectations for a GOP victory in the 2026 special election. Recent statewide polls from April and May 2026 consistently show Moody leading Democratic contenders such as Alexander Vindman or Angie Nixon by 7 to 13 points, reflecting the state's partisan voting index and limited Democratic inroads despite notable fundraising by several challengers. With Republican and Democratic primaries set for August 18 and the general election on November 3, the race remains focused on turnout among core voter blocs and any late shifts in national political conditions that could narrow the current margin.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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